Daily Fantasy Playbook – 01/13/2015

John Wall

Welcome to Tuesday’s Daily Fantasy Playbook! Tonight we’ve got 7 games to help you win some money.  Here’s some of my favorite plays from each team.
Kyle Korver – SG – Atlanta Hawks – $5,000
– The Hawks just keep winning; boasting one of the top records in the NBA right now. While Korver isn’t always the biggest reason why they win, he always contributes. He’s hit a three-pointer in 25 straight games and he’s hit three of them in each of his last five games. On the season, the Sixers are allowing about 27PPG from three-pointers and while their last three games they’ve cut that in half to 15PPG, they haven’t faced a shooter the caliber of Korver. The potential for a huge night is right for Korver and his tendency to get some peripheral stats makes him a great play for cash games and big tournaments.

Robert Covington – PF – Philadelphia 76ers – $5,600
– Covington is still listed at PF on DraftKings even though he’s mainly started and played at SG for Philadelphia. Atlanta is a lot better than Philly on defense, but they give up similar numbers when it comes to three-pointers. That plays right into what Covington does for his team. He’s shot it from three at 36% over his last ten games (25 for 69). He’s playing a lot of minutes and seems to always have the green light to let it fly. Here’s to hoping he gets a lot of them to drop tonight.

Gorgui Dieng – C – Minnesota Timberwolves – $7,000 – Questionable, watch for news
– Dieng had a huge game versus the Spurs and looks to have another against Indiana. His price is a little high for me (3rd highest Center on DK) which will keep him out of my cash game lineups. If he plays, Dieng should be a solid contrarian play as most people will be on Cousins or Whiteside. Dieng isn’t going to blow up but a double-double is more than possible. He’ll mostly be matched up with Roy Hibbert who only has a 100 Defensive Rating (about average) on the season. Dieng did come down with an illness so make sure you don’t blindly throw him in there, watch Twitter and other places for any news.

Solomon Hill – SF – Indiana Pacers – $4,100
– Indiana is still really banged up. George Hill is out and Rodney Stuckey is questionable. They will need somebody to step up and score. Minnesota is currently 29th in FPPG allowed to the SF position. His shot hasn’t been falling lately and you’ll need him to fix that tonight to give you a solid line. His price tag can open up a lot of money to get a stud in there and it’s low enough to where he doesn’t need a ton to hit value.

Danny Green – SG – San Antonio Spurs – $5,700
– Leonard is out. Belinelli is questionable. Manu is probable but he will come off the bench. Danny Green is the most solid wing the Spurs have right now. Playing 30+ minutes in all but one of their last ten games, Green will have every opportunity to deliver a big night. The Wizards are 26th vs SF, which is where Green has been starting. I still like Green if Belinelli sits (Anderson would then likely start at SF with Green at SG) because San Antonio just simply doesn’t have a lot of options on offense. He gives you a little bit of everything and if his three ball is dropping, he’ll be on his way to a monster night.

John Wall – PG – Washington Wizards – $9,500
– I don’t like starting anybody against the Spurs usually so for tonight, I’ll go with who I think is the safest play on the Wizards. This offense runs through Wall and after a lackluster game versus Atlanta, his price has come down a bit. If there’s anybody on this Wizards team capable of having a good game tonight, it’s Wall. Also worth noting, he’s averaging seven more fantasy points per game at home than on the road. There’s some other PGs with better matchups tonight which makes me believe Wall is a little under the radar. He rarely disappoints.

Draymond Green – SF – Golden State – Warriors – $8,300
– Speaking of rarely disappointing, Draymond Green has been an absolute monster. He’s matchup proof and his price is still at a spot where it’s easy to roster him. Very few guys in the league contribute to every category, every night like he does. The Jazz are not great at defending the PF spot (where Green actually plays) and while their defense in the paint has been solid when Gobert starts, Green delivers in so many areas that it just doesn’t matter. He’s averaged 10.3RPG in his last seven games and that should continue so even if he doesn’t score he’s still going to be a solid start.

Trey Burke – PG – Utah Jazz – $5,500
– I can’t explain it, but Trey Burke has been fantastic since returning from inury. Playing all of the minutes he can handle, Burke has delivered. While a matchup with Stephen Curry and the Warriors isn’t ideal, the Jazz just simply don’t have anyone else. Alec Burks is out for the year and his replacement, Rodney Hood, has already been declared out for tonight. That leaves only Dante Exum to take any real minutes away and he has just been awful. Burke’s price hasn’t moved much despite his great play and that makes him a very sneaky play tonight.

Monta Ellis – SG – Dallas Mavericks – $7,200
– Ellis was terrific last game against the Clippers. Tonight’s an easier matchup for him against the lowly Kings. Monta is almost always a decent play and it’s normally just a matter of his effinciency that keeps him from being a great play. I think tonight will be a night of easy shots as Ben McLemore is not exactly an elite defender. Rondo’s arrival in Dallas does take the ball out of Monta’s hands more but the more they play together the more the chemistry will form. The Mavericks are only a 5-point favorite so it should be a close game, allowing Ellis every opprtunity to do what he does.

Darren Collison – PG – Sacramento Kings – $7,000
– Everyone is going to be on DeMarcus Cousins tonight from the Kings and it’s hard to argue against him. I’m going to go a different direction because Dallas has been TERRIBLE against the PG spot. Collison’s ceiling is a bit limited since Rudy Gay and Boogie Cousins need the ball to be productive. While Collison’s price is a bit high for me to use him in cash games, he’s always a contrarian play for tournaments and tonight is no exception.

Mario Chalmers – PG – Miami Heat – $4,300
– Chalmers gets the wonderful matchup against the Lakers this evening. This team has given up big games to guys like Zach Lavine so Chalmers should easily do more than enough to hit value for his low price. I like paying up for wings and bigs tonight which means I need value at PG and I don’t think there’s a better value play at PG than Chalmers.

Kobe Bryant – SG – Los Angeles Lakers – $8,600
– Kobe hasn’t played since 1/7/15 and should be well rested for tonight’s game against the Heat. Bryant has a real tendency to show up for games against other “elites” such as Dwayne Wade tonight. Kobe is going to shoot the ball and he’s going to shoot the ball a lot. His price has come down to near must play status considering what his ceiling is compared to others at the position. Kobe’s going to score but his night will likely be determined by how much he contributes to the peripheral stats. He might feel like a boom or bust type of play but I think Kobe will be more than safe tonight for all your lineups.

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