NFL Eliminator Challenge: Week 17

NFL Eliminator Challenge

Welcome to the final week of the 2014 NFL Eliminator Challenge series. This season has been a roller coaster with a streak of nine in the first half of the season and now working on a streak of six, trying to extend to seven. Let’s try to finish the season on a high note! Read on and feel free to comment at the end.

Step 1 – Avoid Division Matchups

Anyone who reads my articles will know I absolutely hate picking division games. They are the most unpredictable games where upsets are seen throughout the season. That being said, the NFL loves week seventeen because every single game is a division matchup. For that reason, and that reason alone, this is the only week of the season where I pick a winner from a division game.

Step 2 – Avoid Marquee Matchups

After watching Cincinnati upset Denver on Monday night, I am still sticking to my guns and avoiding the Sunday night game this week. Who knows what Cincinnati team will show up in Pittsburgh. Avoid the below marquee game this week:

  • Cincinnati at Pittsburgh

Step 3 – Avoid Picking Against Home Field Advantage

Last week there were two away teams playing for their playoff lives: Baltimore and Buffalo. That being said, neither were able to win on the road against the Houston Texans and Oakland Raiders. Week sixteen was just another week showing how important home field advantage is in the NFL. Stay safe and avoid the below games where the favorite is the away team:

  • Dallas at Washington
  • Indianapolis at Tennessee
  • Philadelphia at NY Giants
  • New Orleans at Tampa Bay

Step 4 – Make your pick!

The Denver Broncos lost a very tough game last week, causing them to surrender home field advantage throughout the playoffs to the New England Patriots. After that loss, there is no way that they will risk losing their first round bye this week. The Broncos are my lock of the week as they should demolish their division foes, the Oakland Raiders. My pick of the week is:

Denver over Oakland

 

Other options I like this week:

New England over Buffalo

While the Patriots don’t have a lot to play for in this game, we all know Tom Brady and Bill Belichick hate to lose to division opponents. With this game in New England I just don’t see any way Buffalo pulls off the upset.

Seattle over St. Louis

If the St. Louis Rams can’t beat the NY Giants, then there is no way that they are beating the Seahawks in Seattle. This week should be smooth sailing for Russell Wilson and Pete Carroll.

 

Good Luck and Happy Holidays!

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