Calvin Johnson leads the way in DraftKings Plays and Fades

QUARTERBACK

High-Dollar Boys
The one high-dollar quarterback I want in my lineups this week is Aaron Rodgers (@TB, $9,000). He is coming off his worst fantasy day of the year and should look to rebound against the lowly buccaneers. This game gets ugly quick and Rodgers will be the cause of that. Rodgers might be done by halftime, but if that’s the case that means that he has posted huge numbers in the first half. Which I will totally be happy with.

One high-dollar boy I am worried about playing this week is Peyton Manning (v. CIN, $8,400). In the last five weeks Manning has only had one game where he has scored over 21 points. When it comes to DFS I tend to rely on trends and Manning is trending downward still. This is a result of the Broncos having a much stronger running game as the year moves on. Manning can always go off, its Peyton Manning, but if I am spending this amount of bankroll on a quarterback I want the guarantee. It is also starting to get colder in Denver and it just seems like Manning isn’t playing well enough for his price right now.

From the Value Pool

Matt Ryan (@NO, $7,400) – Ryan is heating up as of late and he should have Julio Jones back this week, which will only help his value. This game should be a shootout as both teams have terrible defenses and are fighting for a playoff spot in the worst division in the league. In his first game against the Saints Ryan was 31-43 for 448 yards and three touchdowns. I want a piece of that pie this week, sign me up please.

Matthew Stafford (@CHI, $7,000) – When Stafford has bad game this year he always follows it up with a very solid performance. This week he gets to face the terrible Bears coming off a ten point performance and looks to bounce back. In his first meeting against the Bears Stafford put up 25 fantasy points. I will take that any day.

Cheaper than Dirt
Andy Dalton (@DEN, $5,900) – Should have to pass the ball a lot to stay in the game with the Broncos offense. This is shot in the dark since I think both teams will try to pound the ball on the ground and the only way that Dalton gets any value is if the Broncos get up big early and the Bengals are in catch up mode.

RUNNING BACK

High-Dollar Boys
Demarco Murray (v. IND, $9,300) – Yeah I know this is probably crazy, but I have a feeling that if Murray is able to play, and all reports so far and saying that he will, the Cowboys will take a page out of the Patriots book and pound the rock against the Colts. Very speculative play, but if you are feeling lucky play Murray in your lineups, I doubt many people will be playing him because they will be afraid of the injury.
I’m fading on Matt Forte (v. DET, $8,700). Detroit’s run defense is the real deal and in the first meeting against the Lions Forte had a measly eleven points. If that’s all I am getting from such a high-dollar player I am staying far away from him. I am even benching Forte in one of my championship games this week. I want no part of the Bears offense right now.

From the Value Pool
CJ Anderson (v. CIN, $6,900) – He keeps getting more and more of the load as the Broncos continue to run the ball a lot. This game could get ugly quick and Anderson will take advantage of that and put up big fantasy numbers for your lineups.
Mark Ingram (v. ATL, $6,100) – Ingram had two touchdowns in week one when these two teams played earlier this year. Both these offenses will be able to do whatever they want so I think that Ingram benefits from that and he will also get all of the goal line carries so that only helps his value. I am playing Ingram in multiple lineups this week and you should too.
Lamar Miller (v. MIN, $4,400) – Miller is the only back in town and I want to use that to my advantage. The Vikings don’t defend the run that well and the Dolphins offense should be able to run the ball against them. Miller is my flier for the week and he could break, be ok, or could be a dud. Play at your own risk, I will be playing him a few lineups this week.
Cheaper than Dirt
Pierre Thomas (v. ATL, $3,800) – I already listed Ingram,but like I said with Ingram I think that both teams will be able to do whatever they want. Thomas is the cheaper back for the Saints so if you want to spend your money elsewhere and still want a cheap upside play, Thomas is your guy. He is the passing down back and does very well in that role.

WIDE RECEIVER
High-Dollar Boys
You want to pay for Calvin Johnson (@CHI, $8,700) this week. The Bears secondary is terrible and Johnson torched them for eleven catches, 146 yards and two touchdowns in their week thirteen meeting. Easily Johnson’s best performance of the year and he can easily duplicate that again this week. I am getting Johnson in all of the lineups I can.
I am staying away from Odell Beckham Jr. (@STL, $9,000). The price is just too high for me. I know he has been a stud since coming back from his injury, but I just can’t justify paying such a high price. I also think that the Rams will try to do everything they can to stop Beckham since Beckham is the only true threat that the Giants have. No thanks this week Mr. Beckham.

From the Value Pool
Mike Evans (v. GB, $6,700) – Tampa should be in catch up mode early in the game and that should be benefit Evans. He had an off game last week and still caught a touchdown. He should have a huge day against a Packers defense that doesn’t defend the pass very well. Two touchdowns for Evans this week is something that I will enjoy.
DeAndre Hopkins (v. Bal, $6,300) – Gets to face the worst pass defense this week and Andre Johnson should be back this week and take some coverage his way and leave Hopkins to get more open down the field. The only downside is that we don’t know who will be throwing Hopkins the ball. If you are feeling dangerous put Hopkins in your lineup and hope he connects on a deep bomb or gets some garbage time yardage and touchdowns.

Cheaper than Dirt
Marquess Wilson (v. DET, #3,600) – I called for a Wilson touchdown last week and he delivered late in the game last week. The same thing might happen this week and I am ok with that since he is a starting wide receiver and should garner garbage time points.
Davante Adams (@GB, $3,400) – The rookie continues to see the field and if it wasn’t for a couple of bad throws and drops last week he would have posted a very manageable stat line. He really is getting more in sync with Rodgers and his low price is a good flier to go after as Adams will see the field for the whole game even if it is a blow out.

TIGHT END
High-Dollar Boys
If I am spending high dollar money on a tight end this week the only tight end I am will to spend my money on is Rob Gronkowski (@NYJ, $7,000). He is Tom Brady‘s favorite target and really the only reliable receiving threat for the Patriots. If you are sticking to the value pool at most other positions you should be able to get the best fantasy tight end in your lineup and Gronk will satisfy you. He destroyed the Jets the first time they played this year.
I’m staying away from Jimmy Graham (v. ATL, $6,300). Something is wrong here, and I am not willing to continue to play Graham. His value is great for the price, but he seems like he is just a red zone threat at the moment and I’m just not going to spend that money on just red zone targets. He started to come on last week, but still didn’t get into the end zone. Not worth the risk for me.

From the Value Pool
Greg Olson (v. CLE, $6,000) – When Derek Anderson was quarterback in week one against Tampa Bay Olson hauled in eight catches for 83 yards and a touchdown. I am looking for Olsen to score close to the same thing for him this week. Olsen should be a solid play in all formats this week. He was Anderson’s go to guy last week and if Anderson plays again this week Olson should have another solid week.
Jason Witten (v. IND, $4,000) – He is coming on as of late and if he’s hot Witten is one of the best receiving tight ends in the league. Witten should see a lot of targets again this week. He is a manageable play, nothing flashy will come from him, but he will have a solid stat line.

Cheaper than Dirt
Scott Chandler (@OAK, $3,000) – Chandler is the only tight end under $3,000 that I would be willing to play. So if you are looking for a cheap tight end since you have spent heavily elsewhere your only option is Chandler.

DEFENSE
Seattle (v. SF, $3,700) – They’re back. It’s taken them awhile, but the Seahawks defense of last year is back and what a time for them to come back. They get the Cardinals this week and they are all sorts of messed up with injuries. This game shouldn’t even be close. I see a lot of turnovers for the Cardinals offense and Seattle is playing at home. I almost feel bad for Ryan Lindley.
Carolina (v. CLE, $3,000) – I know I usually put the defense that is going against the Jaguars in my defense list, but this week it’s all about the Johnny Manziel sweepstakes. The Panthers win that this week and will get after Manziel forces multiple sacks and turnovers. The Panthers have been quietly getting back to their 2013 season form and should only continue to improve going against the Browns.

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