Texans’ Brian Cushing Probable Return Highlights IDP Week 11 Match-up Analysis

Brian Cushing's return highights the IDP Week 11 match-up analysis

The IDP Week 11 is set to begin and we’re only a few weeks away from the end of the fantasy regular season and a big stretch of games are ahead of us. Much like the owners of Josh Gordon are hoping to cash in, owners that snagged Chris Borland are hoping for the same payoff heading down these last few weeks. Before setting your lineups, make sure you brush up on the IDP Week 11 Match-ups facts, analysis and stats.

Houston Texans vs. Cleveland Browns

-Desmond Bryant, over the last three games, has produced at least a QB hit/hurry, which finally led to a multi-sack game against the Bengals on Thursday night. Though he’s generating pressure on just 7 percent of his snaps over the last three tilts, he’s upped his efficiency over that span. He’s still a boom or bust on a given week, but I like the match-up this week against a rookie (first-start anyway) QB.

-Get Buster Skrine in your CB-required league lineups this week. Joe Haden should lock up with Andre Johnson, while Skrine could draw DeAndre Hopkins. Skrine has logged double-digit fantasy points in five straight games and hasn’t produced fewer than 12 in that span. After not making any plays on the ball from Weeks 1 through 5, he’s now recorded four INTs and 10 defended passes, leading to him making a play on the ball 27 percent of the time on his last 52 targets. He’s also been thrown at more than 11 times, three times in the last five games. He’s a CB1 this week.

-Paul Kruger will be a big play specialist match-up play. Since Week 8, his PFF grades have been trending up and he’s produced pressure nearly 16 percent of the time on his last 116 blitzes. Kruger should line up on the right tackle and match-up with Derek Newton. Even though he’s allowed just a sack, he’s allowed 29 combined QB hits/hurries as he’s much better in run blocking.

-Updated: Tashaun Gipson is practicing and looks to be probable for this week’s tilt with the Texans. It’s great news for his IDP owners that are counting on the big plays. Gipson has recorded INTs in three of his last four games, with a total of 11 in the last season and a half. His low tackle rate (6.5 percent) is aided by the big plays which has led to a 0.17 points per snap rate in over 640 plays.

-After producing an unsustainable 12:1 solo-to-assist ratio in 2013, Karlos Dansby sits at an even 1:1 this season, as he was only credited with one solo in Week 10. He only has one game of six or more solos after producing 10 in 2013. He still remains a weekly LB1, as he should see plenty of Arian Foster or Alfred Blue (or both) this week.

-Brian Cushing is expected to play this week after using the bye week to recover from his knee complications. In his last two games, he had produced just five tackles in his last 137 snaps. If he’s 100 percent and active, get him in your lineup this week.

-Whitney Mercilus has been a big play beast heading into the bye week, producing two multi-sack games in the last three games, generating pressure on 12 percent of his last 92 blitzes. He remains a boom or bust rush OLB, but he’s been productive over the last few games, producing 0.23 points per snap in the last three games. Keep in mind, he has four games of fewer than three fantasy points (including two goose-eggs).

 

Minnesota Vikings vs. Chicago Bears

-Lance Briggs returned to the lineup in Week 10, but like the rest of the Bear defense, was largely unproductive for his owners (if he had any left). Briggs managed three solo tackles and forced fumble, but his days of strong IDP production are long since gone. You can do better on the wire than Briggs’ 6.7 percent tackle rate.

-Willie Young hasn’t had a sack since Week 6, but is still pressuring the QB, including getting to the QB nearly 15 of the time against Green Bay. He’s going to have his ups and downs and should line up over Phil Loadholt,who’s strength is run blocking as opposed to pass protection. Loadholt has allowed four sacks and 25 combined QB hits/hurries. Young has DE2 upside this week.

-Dial up Jared Allen this week as faces up against Matt Kalil, who’s allowed double-digit sacks in nine games. Allen only has 1.5 sacks and is generating pressure on fewer than 10 percent of his blitzes. His streak of 10+ sacks is in jeopardy to end at seven but should be looked at as a strong play in a favorable match-up.

-Ryan Mundy recorded his fourth game of six or more solo tackles against Green Bay and increased his tackle rate to 10 percent on the year.

-Chad Greenway cruised into the bye week posting eight or more tackles in the last three games, leading to a 16.4 percent tackle rate.

-Everson Griffen has posted sacks in five straight games heading into the bye week and is generating pressure on 12 percent of his blitzes. He should provide problems for Jermon Bushrod this week.

 

Seattle Seahawks vs. Kansas City Chiefs

-Jeron Johnson got the start for Kam Chancellor this week and produced a respectable eight tackles, but it looks to be a one-week and done. Chancellor is expected back this week against the Chiefs.

-Earl Thomas has produced 10 or more fantasy points in four of his last five games and produced a near 10 percent tackle rate in that timeframe. It was nice to see him produce his first INT, so hopefully, he can start to produce the mix of big plays and tackles. His tackle opportunities are limited as he’s playing fewer than 10 percent of his snaps near the line of scrimmage. It bodes well for Chancellor to have a better game in stopping Jamaal Charles. Thomas is a low end DB3 this week with the lack of throwing from KC and Alex Smith.

-Unfortunately, Cliff Avril didn’t have a sack but he ate up the Giants’ offensive line, recording a combined eight hits/hurries, which led to pressure on 21 percent of those blitzes. Avril has another great match-up to exploit this week, lining up over Eric Fisher, who’s allowed four sacks and 19 combined QB hits/hurries in nine games. Avril will be a DE play in big play scoring formats, as his tackle numbers don’t justify him being started in tackle heavy formats.

-The Seattle LBs are getting healthier heading into Week 11. Malcolm Smith looks like he’ll practice and should return to the field this week. Bobby Wagner will start some running and getting in some work, so that’s a great sign. We won’t know his status for the week, and he’s likely to be questionable and a game-time decision.

-After missing the last three games, Byron Maxwell returned and saw 27 snaps. He was able to record three solos and defended a pass. It’s a good sign that he didn’t have any setbacks and should start to see more heading down the stretch. I don’t think the match-up is favorable for him this week, so I might hold off, even in CB-required leagues.

-James-Michael Johnson posted his first game of six or more tackles since Week 5. He’s a shaky play as he’s appeared, on average, in just 35 percent of the snaps over the last two games.

-Eric Berry’s tackle rate has been below 10 percent since he returned in Week 9. We’ll see if he plays near the line of scrimmage to combat Beast Mode this week. Marshawn Lynch has forced 43 missed tackles this season, so Berry could be key in stopping the run this week.

-Ron Parker moved to the corner spot and saw 10 balls thrown his way and is now making a play on the ball on 24 percent of his targets. There’s definite upside in CB-required leagues as he’s now produced 16 or more fantasy points in three straight games, leading to a 0.29 points per snap rate.

 

Denver Broncos vs. St. Louis Rams

-So much for Steven Johnson being a sleeper. Johnson only logged 19 snaps at the weak-side this past week. Brandon Marshall and Von Miller will be the only LBs worth rostering until, or even if, Danny Trevathan returns.

-Quanterus Smith saw a season-high 33 snaps in Week 10 and has proved, when he gets the snaps, can be productive from a pass rush standpoint, but unfortunately, is few and far between. He’s coming off a game where he registered 3 combined hits/hurries on 28 blitzes. Smith is a risky play because of limited snaps, but the Rams offensive line and tackles, have allowed seven sacks and 45 combined hits/hurries on the season. If you’re in a deeper league, looking for a lottery ticket, Smith could be it.

-Von Miller has had just one game here he didn’t produce a combined four QB hits/hurries/sacks. He’s generating pressure on over 16 percent of his blitzes and has converted 8.5 of his QB pressures into sacks. He’s still tough to trust in formats where you’re getting 1.5 or more points per tackle, since his tackle rate is near 6.7.

-Don’t look now, but T.J. Ward has consecutive games of 10 or more fantasy points. He’s notched 15 tackles and hawked his first INT. Nearly 35 percent of his tackle production has come in the last two weeks, recording a 10 percent tackle rate. Ward logs the snaps, which brings the metrics down slightly. I like the match-up now that the Rams have gone back to Shaun Hill at QB.

-The switch to the aforementioned Hill, gives Bradley Roby and Chris Harris a jump in their IDP value in CB-required leagues.

-Mark Barron saw 33 snaps at SS in Week 10 after seeing just special teams in his Week 9 debut. In limited snaps, he produced 0.42 points per snap, which led to five solos and a sack. I expect his snaps to increase this week as they’ll need his skills against the high-octane Broncos. He’s recorded double-digit fantasy points in all but two games. I’d get him in your lineups this week.

-After seeing his snap usage barely hit 50 percent in the first four games, Aaron Donald’s usage has been around 70 percent. Since the bye week, he’s produced four games of five or more points and is an every week starter as a DT2 in leagues requiring a defensive tackle.

-Robert Quinn has turned into Robert Quinn the last four games. He’s recorded two games of 20 or more fantasy points in his last three games and now has sacks in four consecutive games. He’s back up to DE1 status this week, even in a match-up against Peyton Manning.

-James Laurinaitis could finish with fewer than 100-plus tackles for the first time in his career. He hasn’t had any of those big 10-plus total tackle games, in fact, has yet to reach double-digit tackles this season. In fact, they’ve been far and few between over the last few seasons. He only has three games of 10 or more tackles in the last season and a half. He’s looking more like a LB2 this week.

 

Cincinnati Bengals vs. New Orleans Saints

-Nico Johnson’s usage skyrocketed with Vontaze Burfict and Rey Maualuga out. He logged 61 snaps and spent his time at the middle. It led to 10 total tackles and a 16.4 percent tackle rate. Johnson’s IDP value is in question with Rey Maualuga expected to return to practice this week. Vincent Rey is expected to continue to get the snaps at WLB with Burfict expected to miss this week.

-Reggie Nelson, in just nine games, is three tackles away from matching his entire 2013 tackle output. His solo-to-assist ratio has dipped below 3:1, but his rate is up near 10 percent and has been a DB9 producing 0.18 points per snap, which seems low, but he’s logged almost 700 snaps this season and is on pace to hit the 100 tackle mark for the first time in his career.

-Terence Newman has been solid in tackle heavy leagues requiring a CB, as he’s recording a 7.5 percent tackle rate, averaging just over five tackles per game and making a play on the ball 14 percent of the time he’s thrown at. He’s in play this week against the pass-happy Saints.

-Cameron Jordan‘s match-up just got more savory this week. Andre Smith looks to be out with Marshall Newhouse drawing the unfortunate assignment. In just 152 snaps, Newhouse has allowed a sack and five combined QB hits/hurries. Jordan gets bumped up to DE1 this week.

-Ramon Humber has been involved in 122 snaps over the last two games and is coming off a, big, 12 tackle game where he also recorded a sack. In games where he starts and sees the majority of the snaps, he’s recorded a 10.4 percent tackle rate. If David Hawthorne misses Week 11, Humber becomes an LB3 sleeper.

-If Bad Andy shows up, Corey White could have a field day. Since the bye week, he’s been making a play on the ball on 21 percent of his last 34 targets, which has led to two INTs and five defended passes. He’s also recorded double-digit fantasy points in four straight, producing 0.19 points per snap. There’s definite CB2 upside this week in CB-required leagues.

 

San Francisco 49’ers vs. New York Giants

-Color me upset at the lack of snaps Devon Kennard received against the Seahawks. He’ll probably settle in as more of a base defense LB and may not see any subpackage roles. Definitely keep him on your radar for the stretch run, just in case his snaps increase.

-Jason Pierre-Paul has just 5.5 sacks in his last 20 games dating back to last season. In 305 blitzes, he’s generating pressure fewer than 10 percent of the time. JPP will draw Joe Staley, who’s locked his side of the line down since allowing three sacks and three QB hurries in Week 7. He’s allowed just three QB hurries in his last 85 pass block snaps. JPP could be in line for some rough sledding.

-With the injuries to the secondary, Jayron Hosley is an intriguing option in CB-required leagues. He didn’t see any targets in Week 10, even though he was on the field for 43 snaps. He’s playing more of the slot, so keep that in mind.

-Jonathan Hankins is up to 3.5 sacks on the year and is recording an 8.7 percent tackle rate, solid numbers for a defensive tackle. He’s a DT5 in overall scoring and you’ll want to continue to start him this week in DT-required leagues.

-Jacquian Williams suffered a concussion and apparently was able to play through 75 percent of the game with it. He missed practice all week and he’s been declared out for Week 11, which is a blow for his IDP owners this week. Jameel McClain figures to swallow up most of the tackle attempts and Devon Kennard should see increased snaps, as well.

-Chris Borland has recorded 35 tackles in his last two games, producing a 16.5 percent tackle rate. 16 of his tackles have resulted on failures for the opposing offense (including five tackles for a loss). He’s recorded 16 or fantasy points in three straight games, including consecutive 30-plus point games good for a 0.67 points per snap rate. Hard to believe he’ll sustain the pace, but continue riding him as an LB1.

-Antoine Bethea has picked up his scoring pace as of late. He’s posted 10 or more fantasy points in his last three games and has an INT in consecutive games. A good match-up awaits Bethea, even on the road, as the Giants are allowing the 8th most points to opposing DBs. I like him as a strong DB3 this week.

As I mentioned, the Giants are allowing the 8th most points to opposing DBs, so this could be a solid match-up for the San Francisco CBs. Perrish Cox saw 11 targets and recorded six solos this past week. He’s making a play on the ball nearly 31 percent of the time he’s thrown at. If Perrish lines up with Odell Beckham, Jr., he could have a busy day. Even though Chris Culliver was thrown at just five times, he recorded an INT and defended two other passes. Both have solid CB value in corner required leagues this week.

 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Washington Redskins

-Alterraun Verner is practicing in limited fashion, which is encouraging, but he’s certainly not in the clear to play this week. Johnthan Banks is a solid handcuff for Verner, as he’s seen 25 targets in the last three games, including an amazing 14 in Week 10. Banks notched eight tackles and two defended passes and is now producing a play on the ball rate of 15 percent. Something tells me the Redskins could throw a little more this week, so keep Banks dialed up for a decent match-up as they are allowing the 9th most points to opposing DBs.

-Since Danny Lansanah‘s 10 tackle game in Week 5, he’s recorded just 16 since. He’s off the IDP radar this week.

-Mason Foster now has four straight games of six or more total tackles and is producing an 11.1 percent tackle rate in his last four games. He’s seeing over 90 percent of the snaps this season and remains dialed in as a solid LB2/3 in most formats.

-Jacquies Smith has been a surprise over the last several weeks. Although his snap usage is near 40 percent, he’s generating pressure on over 16 percent of his last 61 blitzes. He’ll find himself with a difficult match-up this week against Trent Williams, who’s grading among PFF’s top offensive tackles.

-I’m not too worried about Lavonte David‘s lack of big plays. He’s produced just four combined QB hits/hurries/sacks on the year, however, hasn’t produced a sack after notching six QB takedowns last season. He’s still providing more than his share of value with tackles, recording 10 or more in six of nine games this season. He’s already over the 100 tackle mark (102) and is producing a 16.1 percent tackle rate and is on pace for 180 tackles, with 125 of them being solos.

 

Atlanta Falcons vs. Carolina Panthers

-If there were a week you’d want to play Jonathan Massaquoi or Osi Umeyiora, this is the week. It’s safe to say, you might want to start any DL or rush LB against the Panther offensive line in a given week. Byron Bell, Amini Silatolu and Nate Chandler each gave up two sacks, while the offensive line as a whole, was responsible for 23 total QB pressures (including the sacks).

-Jonathan Babineaux has a shot at recording sacks in consecutive weeks against the Panther offensive line. Babs was dominant against the Bucs, recording pressure on 16 percent of his blitzes. He should give Amini Silatolu fits this week.

-Desmond Trufant saw a season-high eight balls thrown his way in Week 10. Though he only had a defended pass, he also recorded seven tackles. The Panthers are middle of the road in points allowed to defensive backs, Trufant could be lined up on Kelvin Benjamin and will be heavily targeted once again.

-Robert Alford has 10 or more fantasy points in two of his last three games and now has 11 defended passes on the season. He’s coming off a game where saw 13 balls thrown his way and his usage is reaching 90 percent of the defensive snaps. He makes for a decent play in deeper leagues that require a CB.

-Star Lotulelei will miss this week and should return after the bye week after suffering an injury Monday night. Lotulelei owners in deeper leagues, might want to consider Colin Cole or Dwan Edwards as a possible replacement as they’ll battle for snaps next to Kawann Short.

-After replacing Antoine Cason, Melvin White saw 37 defensive snaps but produced a nice goose-egg for those that took the chance on him in CB-leagues. If White can’t produce fantasy points against the Eagles, I’m not sure what to expect against the Falcons. The Eagles were allowing the 3rd most fantasy points to CBs, and the Falcons are allowing the 7th most points to opposing CBs. I’m more inclined to use Josh Norman in leagues that require a CB over someone like Melvin White.

-Charles Johnson is not on the injury report after suffering an elbow injury. He still logged 44 snaps and recorded pressure on 21 percent of his blitzes. I still like Johnson as a strong DE2 this week.

 

Oakland Raiders vs. San Diego Chargers

-A forced fumble couldn’t save Khalil Mack’s fantasy day in Week 10, after producing three straight games of 10 or more fantasy points. Mack is still in play as an LB3 even though the Chargers are near the bottom in points allowed to LBs, they are getting Ryan Mathews back, so they could be inclined to run the ball a bit more. Sio Moore and Miles Burris are still swallowing up on 35 percent of the tackle opportunities among the Raiders starting LBs.

-Did you know, since the bye week, Charles Woodson has four games of 11 or more fantasy points? The old man continues to produce and has a near 9 percent tackle rate on well over 600 defensive snaps.

-Sio Moore has produced seven or more tackles in four of his last five games and is producing 0.23 points per snap in that timeframe. Two missed games has derailed his tackle pace a bit, but he’s still at a 13 percent tackle rate and is on pace for over 115 tackles. Continue to roll with him this week.

-Tarell Brown missed his first tackle of the year in Week 10. He’s produced a 6.2 percent tackle rate, but has just two defended passes on the year. Sneaky match-up this week, as the Chargers are 15th in points allowed to opposing CBs.

-Manti Te’o returned to a full practice and is on track to play against the Raiders. He’s missed the last six games after recording 19 tackles in his first three games of the season. He was starting to see more snaps, but still could be more of a desperation play if bye weeks or injuries are playing hell on your roster.

 

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Green Bay Packers

-Clay Matthews seemingly played more ILB for the Packers Sunday night and it led to huge IDP production. He only had 18 blitzes, but he recorded 11 tackles (9 solos) and was still able to record a sack. After not reaching double-digit fantasy points since Week 2, he exploded for a 0.43 points per snap rate and produced over 20 fantasy points. Is Clay Matthews going to stick at ILB? PFF’s Sam Monson had some great analysis with LB assignment. As Monson pointed, they spent quite a bit of time outside of their base defense to eliminate the passing attack. Even though he was inside, he was able to make plays in the backfield. As Monson concludes, his strength is rushing the passer, so I don’t see Green Bay eliminating that threat by playing him inside and we’ll see whether or not he gets more base snaps.

-After missing Week 8, Morgan Burnett returned to the lineup in Week 10 and produced for his IDP owners that had faith in him to play. He only appeared in 68 percent of the snaps, however, he produced 0.31 points per snap. When he’s active, he needs to be in your lineup and is a weekly DB1. Should be a shootout, giving him plenty of opportunities to fill the stat sheet.

-Another DB that returned to the lineup in Week 10, was Sam Shields. He just missed an INT, but notched a season-high six solo tackles. His presence will be needed against the pass happy Eagles, as Shields is making a play on the ball 24 percent of the time he’s thrown at. It’s a plus-match-up as the Eagles are allowing the 3rd most points to opposing CBs. Tramon Williams is in play, as well.

-Mike Daniels hasn’t recorded a sack since Week 5, but has a decent match-up against the Eagle guards. Even though Todd Herremans hasn’t allowed a sack, he’s grading near the bottom among guards according to PFF. Daniels is producing pressure on over 11 percent of his blitzes, so he’s an interesting play in deeper leagues.

-Casey Matthews got the start at ILB, but only saw 31 snaps, which was good for a usage rate of 37 percent. He produced a huge 22.6 percent tackle rate, however, is going to be an inconsistent IDP option if he doesn’t receive the snaps and I won’t be one to count on tackle rates in the 20s when he’s receiving 30-50 percent of the snaps.

-Fletcher Cox notched his first sack of the year and was disruptive all game on Monday night, recording pressure on 26 percent of his blitzes, really taking advantage of the horrible Caroline offensive line play. The Green Bay offensive line is much better, so Cox is going to find the traction a little slicker, lining up against T.J. Lang, who’s grading out as PFF’s 8th best offensive guard.

-Brandon Graham has produced a combined four or more combined QB hits/sacks/hurries in four of his last five games. It’s led to an insane pressure rate of 30 percent on his last 80 blitzes, converting 2.5 of those pressures into sacks. He’s big play specialist, however, his usage rate is only 39 percent this season and has two games where he’s seen more than 50 percent of the snaps. Graham is a boom or bust play, as I think the Eagles want to make Aaron Rodgers uncomfortable in the pocket.

-Bradley Fletcher is a great match-up plays this week against the Packer passing game. I don’t see it happening again, but Fletcher defended five passes on his 9 targets on Monday night and is making a play on the ball on 21 percent of the time he’s thrown at. When he records double-digit points, it’s in the 20s. He’s a high-upside CB2 this week and four tackles with three to four defended passes is not out of the question.

-Outside of those in DEF/ST leagues, how many of you actually enjoyed and benefitted from Connor Barwin’s huge night? Barwin has been a big play specialist for much of his career and after notching four sacks in 2013, he’s already up over 10. He’s been hot over the last several weeks and is generating pressure on over 15 percent of his blitzes. More of a play in formats that favor the big plays over tackles.

 

Detroit Lions vs. Arizona Cardinals

-Tahir Whitehead saw his lowest usage rate since Week 2, appearing in 64 percent of the snaps in Week 10 coming off the bye. At this point, he’ll be hard to trust with these inconsistent snaps. The fact that the Cardinals are allowing the 3rd least amount of points to opposing LBs, makes it an easy choice to leave him on the bench this week.

-Ezekiel Ansah has a tough match-up, even with Drew Stanton taking over the helm. Ansah looks to be lining up over Jared Veldheer, who’s allowed just one sack on the year in 9 games. Ansah still offers enough upside to start this week, as he’s generating pressure on over 13 percent of his blitzes.

-DeAndre Levy recorded his fourth game of 20-plus fantasy points in Week 10. He now has six games of 10 or more tackles and is inching closer to the 15 percent tackle rate.

-The Cardinals are 16th in points allowed to opposing CBs, but those numbers could go up. Darius Slay, even though he’s been thrown at 21 times in the last four games, is a nice match-up play in CB-required leagues. Stanton is a statue and has plenty of receiver options to throw to this week. In total, Slay has seen 59 balls thrown his way this season.

-Are you buying in on Patrick Peterson this week? 32 percent of his point production came this past week and recorded his first two INTs of the season. Up until last week, Peterson had produced 0.09 points per snap and in Week 10, produced 0.31 points per snap, but that rate was aided by two INTs, including the pick six. Don’t count on the big plays again, but he’ll be make a decent match-up play against the pass-happy Lions.

-Since returning from injury, Calais Campbell has returned to form and has 12 tackles and two sacks in his last three games. He’s also generating pressure on over 11 percent of his last 108 blitzes. Campbell should line up over Rob Sims, who’s grading in the red in pass blocking, allowing two sacks and a combined 21 QB hits/hurries. Continue to plug in Campbell as you normally would.

 

New England Patriots vs. Indianapolis Colts

Both of these teams coming off a bye and not much news surrounding these guys.

-LaRon Landry looks like he’ll be returning to the lineup this week, as he’s served his suspension, but what will be his usage? I can’t trot him out just yet, as Sergio Brown has played well, grading much higher overall according to PFF. From an IDP standpoint, Landry was producing an 11 percent tackle rate, but his question marks surrounding snaps make him a risky play.

-D’Qwell Jackson recorded 70 total tackles leading into the bye week. He’s producing a 12.3 percent tackle rate and is on pace for 120 total tackles.

-Vontae Davis is on pace for 24 defended passes at his current pace. He’s making a play on the ball 36 percent of the time he’s thrown at. Davis makes a solid match-up against the pass-heavy Patriots.

-Jamie Collins has upped his game, producing 17 or more fantasy points in three straight games heading into the bye week, which has led to 0.26 points per snap and has upped his tackle rate to 12.3 percent.

-Patrick Chung figures to be busy. Chung has been revitalized back in New England, as his usage rate has been around 77 percent, including five straight games of appearing in over 80 percent of the snaps. His tackle rate is up near 10 percent and should be a strong DB2 in what’s appearing to be a shoot-out.

 

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Tennessee Titans

-Ryan Shazier looks to be out for his second straight game. After such a promising start in his rookie year, his season has derailed off the tracks. Sean Spence and Vince Williams rotated, with Spence receiving most of the snaps (37 to 24). Spence notched two solos, while Williams also recorded two solos. With the rotation at ILB next to Lawrence Timmons, neither of them appear to be IDP options this week. I’d stay away.

-I am not buying into James Harrison’s output over the last several weeks. Over 60 percent of his point production has come in the last two weeks. After producing 0.14 points per snap, he’s produced 0.36 points per snap between Weeks 9 and 10. His usage is near 50 percent, making him a risky play weekly.

-Cameron Heyward didn’t get bit by the Justin Bieber curse, as he recorded six tackles and notched his first sack since Week 6. Heyward’s match-up is extremely favorable, finding himself up over Michael Oher and Chance Warmack, who’ve allowed a combined eight sacks on the year. Heyward has DE2 upside this week.

-Avery Williamson was a nice Week 10 match-up play and continues to produce. Williamson followed up his 10 tackle game in Week 8 before the bye, with another 10 tackle game against the Ravens. I really like Williamson’s 0.27 points per snap and the Steelers are 2nd in points allowed to opposing LBs heading into the match-up. Play Williamson as a high-upside LB2 this week.

-QB punching bag, Blidi Wreh-Wilson is another strong CB match-up play this week. Over the last four games, since missing Week 5, he’s been thrown at 32 times. It’s led to four straight games of 12 or more fantasy points and is making a play on the ball 22 percent of the time he’s thrown at. Between Martavis Bryant and Antonio Brown, he could have decent tackle numbers with the chance for defended passes. Strong play in CB-required leagues with possibility of a high volume of targets.

 

Mike Woellert is an IDP Contributor for FakePigskin.

Target, grading and rush snap data courtesy of Pro Football Focus
Image Credit: Fansided

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