Daily Fantasy Basketball Playbook – November 10th

daily fantasy basketball

Ah, Monday Monday.  So we begin week three of our NBA schedule.  A five game slate of daily fantasy basketball this evening, with the highlight coming from Cleveland, where its LBJ and the Brow.  Otherwise, not the tastiest of menus.  Three of the five games have totals under 200, although the spreads are five or less in four of the five contests so we could see some close basketball.

On to the plays ( Note:  I use salaries from DraftKings):

New Orleans at Cleveland (-5, 202.5):

Top Plays:

Anthony Davis ($11,000)- Um, yeah, he’s gonna cost you, but in cash games you almost need him in your lineup.  Averaging nearly 57 DK points a game and that’s with last Monday 30.5 point “clunker” thrown in there.

Jrue Holiday ($7,300)- One thing about New Orleans starters, they play a ton of minutes.  Holiday has seen a minimum of 35 minutes over his last four games.  He gets Kyrie Irving tonight, who has faced basically one quality PG this year in Damian Lillard.  Lillard lit him up for 27 points, 6 boards and 7 assists.

LeBron James ($10,500)- Back home for the first time since opening night, LeBron comes in off two straight good starts of 46.25 and 51.75 DK points.  Personally, I’m spending the extra $500 for Brow though

Value Plays:

NONE

 

Utah at Indiana (-2.5,  188.5):

Top Plays:

Derrick Favors ($7,100)- Gets a plus matchup against a suspect Indiana front line (especially if Roy Hibbert is out).  He has three double-doubles early on this season, including one yesterday in Detroit.  It wouldn’t surprise me to see a line similar to what Zach Randolph put up in Indiana a few weeks ago of 22 points and 13 boards.

Value Plays:

Donald Sloan ($4,900)- Sloan struggled his last time out and has seen his price subsequently drop from $6,000 to the $4,900 it’s at for tonight.   I am much more comfortable rostering him at this price.  I like him for two reasons tonight:  1) he still is going to see at least 30 minutes of court time and 2) he gets Trey Burke on the other side of the ball, one of my favorite PG’s to pick on.

Solomon Hill ($4,200)- A bit of a price jump after his 28 points Saturday night ( and 42 DK points).  I am not quite as comfortable rostering him at this price point but it’s a good value play and with CJ Miles likely sitting this one out again.  Hill should again play 35+ minutes and playing with confidence, should continue to shoot the ball.

Dante Exum ($3,700)- A deeper sleeper, Exum has now posted two straight games with 20+ DK points.  The rookie has facets of the game to contribute stats across the board.  With Rodney Hood likely out, Exum should continue to see some good minutes.  There’s also been talk of him playing alongside with Trey Burke at times.

 

Atlanta (-2, 196.5)  at New York :

Top Plays:

Carmelo Anthony ($8,400)- You can just sense one of Melo’s 40 point outbursts coming.  He had 14 in the first quarter against Atlanta Saturday before fizzling out to finish with just 20.  He also pulled down a season high nine rebounds in that contest.  He’s due for a big game soon.

Jeff Teague ($7,300)- Teague is off to solid start this season.  Outside of a 15 DK point dud in San Antonio last Wednesday, he is averaging 42.5 FPG.  Start him with confidence.

Value Plays:

Iman Shumpert ($4,500)-  Shump has been terrific value since taking over the PG duties for the Knicks.  A big advantage is that he is still being listed as SG on DraftKings (a much weaker position than PG).  Also, he has four straight games with at least 25 DK points, culminating with a season best 35.5 Saturday in Atlanta.  He gets those same Hawks tonight and will hopefully continue his solid play.

Tim Hardaway Jr ($3,400)- After a 20 point effort off the bench in Detroit last week, Hardaway was moved into the starting lineup.  He’s gone for 25.75 and 21.5 DK points in those starts and is still a very cheap option tonight.

 

Detroit at Chicag0 (-9, 190.5)

Top Plays:

Pau Gasol ($7,900)- He’ s been between 33 and 43 DK points every game this year.  I’m not enthralled though with him tonight against the Detroit bigs.  Same can be said the other way with Andre Drummond ($7,200) or Greg Monroe ($6,800).  Scarily enough, the top play here may be Brandon Jennings ($5,600) who after a slow start has turned it up a notch lately with 30 plus DK points in three of his last four contests.

Value Plays:

Well, as much as we’ve all the loved the Jimmy Butler value express, DK has finally made him over $6000.  He is still very usable, but the value is a tad diminshed.

Aaron Brooks ($4500)-We’re gonna just start nicknaming Derrick Rose “GTD”, cause he is an (annoying) game time decision every night.  If he decides to sit tonight, then Brooks becomes an option once again.  His price has jumped from $3200 on Saturday.  He has been instant offense for Chicago off the bench.

Mike Dunleavy ($4400)- Sometimes you throw him in a lineup and he gets you 40+, sometimes he gets you single digits. Dunleavy on any night can return great value on a $4400 price tag.  I wouldn’t feel safe with him in a cash game lineup, but he can definitely be used in a GPP.

 

San Antonio at LA Clippers (-2, 202):

Top Plays:

Chris Paul ($9800)- Not much of a shocker here, Paul has been on fire.  44.5 DK point minimum in five of six games, five straight double-double games (including one triple-double).  On of the higher totals on the board tonight with a tight spread.  All stars align here.

DeAndre Jordan ($7500)- After a slow start, Jordan has come around with back to back 41.75 and 38 DK point efforts.  San Antonio is weak at the center position and Jordan’s backup Spencer Hawes is questionable with an ankle injury.

Value Plays:

Kawhi Leonard ($5,600)-Usually a better season long roto guy than DFS guy, Leonard has some upside with his price.  Although his 14 point, 14 rebound performance last time out has upped the salary a bit, Leonard still has that all around ability to accrue DK points in different ways.

Danny Green ($4,700)- One of my kryptonite players, Green is another who could crush his value (in the good way) or crash and burn.  No Marco Belinelli makes him a bit of a less risky play but you never know with Pop.  Green could score and hit 3’s and also adds in steals and blocks.  Another GPP play.

 

Any questions or addition players you want to talk about, feel free to hit me up on twitter @Bsteinhause or any of the @fakeroundball crew.  Good luck tonight.

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