College Football Picks Against the Spread: Week 11, 2014

Jaelen Strong and Taylor Kelly

My College Football Picks Against the Spread has gone fantastic the past month. October saw my picks go 17-3-1, including a 5-0 week to end the month. November will feature a month of massive games with huge implications. The next four weeks will work to make the final four teams that will be participating in the College Football Playoffs. Week 11 starts November off with a bang. Michigan State Spartans against Ohio State Buckeyes, Arizona State Sun Devils hosts Notre Dame Fighting Irish, and Kansas State Wildcats heading to Fort Worth to take on Texas Christian Horned Frogs.

>Season Total 29-15-2
>Upset Alert 7-5

Arizona State Sun Devils -2.5 vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish

After being blown out at home against UCLA on a Thursday night, the Sun Devils have played much, much better. The defense utilizes an aggressive blitzing strategy that has challenged their opponents. Taylor Kelly finally started to look healthy and regain his confidence a week ago against an impressive Utah Utes defense. Notre Dame rebounded after a tough loss on the road to Florida State to beat Navy last week. Between Navy’s unique offense and physical play, teams tend to play sluggish the following week. I expect Notre Dame to make this a very tough game for the Sun Devils, but Arizona State will get a the win at home and put them on a collision course with Oregon, in the PAC 12 championship.

Kansas State Wildcats +6 at Texas Christian Horned Frogs

Kansas State heads into a tough atmosphere Saturday in Fort Worth to take on TCU. Trevone Boykin had his worst game of the season a week ago against a tough West Virginia defense in Morgantown last Saturday, narrowly escaping with a victory. Despite being home this week, the Horned Frogs have their hands full. Bill Synder and Kansas State has covered 13 of the last 14 games as an underdog. Their defense will be key, especially against the pass. They will do enough to keep this game close. 6 points is 2.5 to 3 points too much. This game will be a close game decided by a field goal or less.

Sammie Coates

(Todd Van Emst photo)

Auburn Tigers -23 vs Texas A&M Aggies

I generally hate to take this many points with any team. However, Texas A&M is a team in free fall since their hot start. Quarterback Kenny Hill went from Heisman contender to benched and suspended. The offense has been a mess the past month plus and the defense has given up points in bunches. Texas A&M hasn’t covered a game since September. The Tigers want to make sure they are one of the four remaining at the end of the season. They will want to win, and win big. Auburn will win this game going away and cover the spread by a touchdown or two.

Washington Huskies +6 vs UCLA Bruins

UCLA has been awful this season against the spread. They have only covered two games this season, one of which was on the road. The Bruins have issues avoiding the costly turnovers. Washington has handed the reigns of the offense over to Cyler Miles who is entering his third full week as the Huskies quarterback. He played much better a week ago on the road against Colorado. The Husky defense will need to continue to play well but should be able to do enough to keep this game close enough to cover the 6 point spread.

**Upset Alert**

LSU Defense

(Crystal LoGiudice/USA TODAY Sports)

LSU Tigers +6.5 vs Alabama Crimson Tide

LSU Tigers get this game at home in Tiger Stadium under the lights. There is something special that happens to this team in night games. They beat Ole Miss two weeks ago, at night in Baton Rouge. Alabama has been awful against the spread this season. They have only covered 2 of their 8 games this season. Outside of the Texas A&M game, Alabama played close games this season. I expect LSU to play this game, like their Super Bowl. They can keep Alabama out the College Football Playoff with a win. The Tigers have continued to improve and the quarterback play by Anthony Jennings. They also come into this game off of a bye week. Les Miles will have them ready to play. LSU will cover and get the outright win at home.

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