Two Safeties and their ROS Value Featured in IDP TwitterBag Week 9

Which safety has more IDP value the ROS highlighted in the Week 9 IDP TwitterBag

Week 9 is upon with another group of questions from my Twitter followers this week for the IDP TwitterBag. Lots of rest of reason ranking questions this week and I’ll do my best to project what is in store for these defenders for the stretch run of the fantasy season. Two safeties in particular highlight this week’s IDP TwitterBag for Week 9.

Nicholas Simpson ‏@nsimpson85
For this upcoming week would you go Harrison Smith or Reshad Jones? Also which do you prefer for the ROS?

Smith got off to a great start this season, but since Week 5, production has been on the decline. Smith had double-digit fantasy points in four of the first five games, but one has one since the Week 5. His tackle and point per snap rates are down too (though his tackles have been low regardless):

Weeks 1-5
Points per snap: 0.23
Tackle rate: 8 percent

Weeks 6-8
Points per snap: 0.12
Tackle rate: 5.9 percent

Smith’s early season production and point totals were inflated by the big plays, which he hasn’t made the last few weeks. Rashad Jones has been productive right out of the gate, with 18 or more fantasy points in all three games, which have come thanks to tackles and not as many of the big plays, which are unpredictable. Here’s Jones’s tackle and points per snap rates:

Weeks 6-8
Points per snap: 0.28
Tackle rate: 11.8 percent

While Harrison Smith and the Viking defense are getting more defensive opportunities, he’s losing those big plays and tackles to guys like Chad Greenway and even Anthony Barr. For the next few weeks, point maximizing is crucial and for this week, and the remainder of the year, I like Rashad Jones.

 

Vatch @vatch56
Does Jameel McClain get the every down role in NY?

Yup, it appears that way. When Beason was out earlier, McClain slid inside to man the middle, but he’s been pretty inconsistent and has never been known to be a tackle machine. His tackle rate this season doesn’t jump out at only 10 percent. While I think he’s worth picking up, I look at him as more of a match-up play, rather than an every week starter unless you’re in a league where you’re starting three or more LBs.

Week 9-16 match-ups and their points allowed to LBs rank
Colts: 4th
Seahawks: 25th
49ers: 24th
Cowboys: 6th
Jaguars: 3rd
Titans: 27th
Redskins: 26th
Rams: 8th

I didn’t see the game, but was Dont’a Hightower moved outside? Better tackle opp ROS, McClain or Hightower? Thanks.

It appeared that both Hightower and Jamie Collins played inside, while Rob Ninkovich and Akeem Ayers were the outside linebackers. Both have similar tackle rates at 10 percent, but Hightower has missed a few games this season and his overall production is aided at the big play upside. Hightower has been sent on 66 blitzes, generating pressure 24 percent of the time and converting five of those pressures into sacks. I like Hightower more than McClain.

 

JJ ‏@JonnyLaughtrax
Hey Mike, Jacquian Williams or Jameel Mcclain with Jon Beason out. Long term, no points for assists.

If you’re not getting anything for assists, I’d go with Williams. He’s recording solos at a better rate than McClain this season. He’s producing a solo tackle rate of 8.4 percent and has a 2.4:1 solo-to-assist ratio, recording four or more solos in six of seven games this year.

 

Dwight Williams ‏@DwightAWilliams
ROS rankings…Bashaud Breeland, Brent Grimes, Cortez Allen, Jason McCourty, Chris Harris?

Corners are tougher to project week to week. Cortez Allen, however, I wouldn’t rank just because he’s been benched and has lost snaps. Chris Harris is turning into a shut down corner, and teams aren’t throwing to him as often. Here’s how I’d probably rank them:

1. Jason McCourty (Targeted 64 times this season)
2. Bashaud Breeland
3. Brent Grimes

Corners can be streaky typically, so I suggest streaming them based on the match-up.

 

Souder ‏@TILT67
Due to bye week I need to start 2 of 3 at LB. Jamie Collins, Anthony Barr, or J.T. Thomas.

Well, I benched Barr last week and never again, so he’s a must play. For the 2nd, I’d continue to roll with Collins. Thomas has upside, but seems to be playing more strong-side than middle. Broncos could look to run the ball with the weather predicted to be pretty bad, meaning more opportunities for Collins.

 

Mike Horsman ‏@mikehorsman
I have Rashad Johnson and could get Tyrann Mathieu or Deone Bucannon to go with him. Your thoughts on using two backs from same team?

I don’t like putting my eggs in one basket, as I think you handcuff yourself. At this point, I still couldn’t recomment Mathieu. He has yet to record double-digit points in a game. Bucannon has been okay, but nothing that has jumped out in terms of production. His point per snap is near 0.20 and has a tackle rate of 10 percent. You might be able to find better options to pair with Johnson.

 

Ken Jensen Graham ‏@kg49ers
Always appreciate the help. Start 4…James Laurinaitis, Josh Mauga, Mychal Kendricks, Mason Foster, and Perry Riley

1. Laurinaitis
2. Mauga
3. Kendricks
4. Foster

I’m assuming here that Kendricks is getting the majority of the snaps based on what I’ve read and practice reports. The other three have been fairly consistent in their tackle production this year, though, Laurinaitis’s production has been down.

Excellent questions once again! Good luck in Week 9 and we’ll do it again next week!

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