NBA Futures: NBA Win Totals

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Each year NBA win totals are released, giving NBA fans insight into what Las Vegas thinks the NBA season will look like for each team. Some teams have large followings and these teams can have their lines inflated by a few games. Finding value can be challenge due to the fact that the win totals tend to be pretty spot on. That said, a few lines stood out to me as having value.

Lance Stephenson

(Sam Sharpe-USA TODAY Sports)

Charlotte Hornets – 45.5

The Charlotte Hornets are back officially this season. They have done more to improve this team beyond the new (old) name and the jerseys to match. They were able to sign Lance Stephenson in the off season to a three year, 27 million dollar deal. Stephenson is now 24 and is coming off of his best NBA season to date. I expect Stephenson to be a difference maker on this team. He will provide consistent scoring from the back court and an ability to get a triple double any night. They also added Marvin Williams, who isn’t the player many thought he would be coming out of North Carolina, but he will be a useful rotation piece that will help this team. P.J. Hairston was added via the draft, which will add more scoring which was a clear issue for a team that made strides last year, including a playoff appearance. This team will be flirting with a 50 win season. A trade between now and the deadline could make the over, look even stronger. They have pieces they could move in exchange for a veteran rotation player. Over 45.5

Image Credit: Melissa Majchrzak - NBAE via Getty Images

Image Credit: Melissa Majchrzak – NBAE via Getty Images

Utah Jazz – 25.5

The Utah Jazz were the Western Conference’s worst team last season. As bad as it was, they were able to win 25 games. This season they added Dante Exum and Rodney Hood in the draft. Exum has a tremendous shot to be the Rookie of the Year come seasons end. Hood is going to be a solid rotation wing that will provide bench scoring. Moving on from Tyrone Corbin and bringing Quin Snyder will also help this team progress. Derrick Favors and Gordon Hayward will need to play better and stay healthy all season but a 30 win season seems very probable. Over 25.5

David West

Image Credit: Brent Smith – Reuters

Indiana Pacers – 33

The Indiana Pacers took a huge blow to their team and win potential when they lost Paul George for the 2014-2015 NBA season. They also lost Lance Stephenson to free agency. That said, they still have a talented team that went to the Eastern Conference Finals a year ago. They were a 56 win team a season ago, if they lose 20 more games than last season they still get 36 wins, which is very doable. The Eastern Conference is improved this season, but I see this Pacers team closer to 40 wins than 30. My one concern is if the Pacers are without David West or Roy Hibbert for extended periods this season. David West could be a hot name approaching the trade deadline. They could also battle injuries or rest their players down the stretch and put the over in serious jeopardy. Assuming this team is together and avoids catastrophic injuries i expect a 35-40 win season. Over 33   "<strong

Miami Heat – 44

The Miami Heat are in an interesting position. They lost the best player on the planet, Lebron James, during the off season. While Luol Deng will help the drop off from being disastrous, I still expect a big step backward for this team. They won 54 games in a weaker Eastern Conference with James. Dwyane Wade will miss time once again this season with regularly scheduled rest and nagging injuries. The Heat will be close to the 44 mark but will miss the mark by a couple of games. Under 44

Image Credit: Casey Sapio - USA TODAY Sports

Image Credit: Casey Sapio – USA TODAY Sports

New Orleans Pelicans – 43

I love Anthony Davis as a player and think a massive jump towards a MVP caliber player is coming, but I’m just not sure this is the year. A year ago this team won 34 games. They would need 10 more wins this season to hit the over. I want to say yes they can do that, but there are far too many questions. Can Tyreke Evans and Eric Gordon stay healthy all season? How does Omer Asik fit in for the Pelicans? Does Ryan Anderson shine as a 6th man or will he find himself elsewhere for the All Star break? Under 43

Image Credit: USA Today

Image Credit: USA Today

Houston Rockets – 49.5

I love watching James Harden play offense and Dwight Howard play defense, but this team has too many question marks to be a 50 win team. They lost Chandler Parsons this off season and replaced him with Trevor Ariza. I liked what Ariza did for the Wizards last season, but I worry about his new contract combined with a reduced role offensively. The loss of Omer Asik will be bigger than many expect. He was able to fill both front court spots off the bench and could start in a pinch. I like Donatas Montiejunas off the bench, but I worry about far too many minutes for Joey Dorsey and Terrence Jones. I also worry their point guard rotation of Patrick Beverley, Isaiah Canaan, and Nick Johnson. None feel like they should garner starters minutes. This team will be good and likely be a playoff team but much closer to 45-47 wins than get to the 50 win total.Under 49.5

NBA Win Totals

  • Atlanta Hawks – 42
  • Boston Celtics – 27
  • Brooklyn Nets – 41.5
  • Charlotte Bobcats – 44.5
  • Chicago Bulls – 54.5
  • Cleveland Cavaliers – 58.5
  • Dallas Mavericks – 50
  • Denver Nuggets – 41.5
  • Detroit Pistons – 35.5
  • Golden State Warriors – 51.5
  • Houston Rockets – 49.5
  • Indiana Pacers – 33
  • Los Angeles Clippers – 56.5
  • Los Angeles Lakers – 31.5
  • Memphis Grizzlies – 49
  • Miami Heat – 44
  • Milwaukee Bucks – 24
  • Minnesota Timberwolves – 27
  • New Orleans Pelicans – 43
  • New York Knicks – 40.5
  • Oklahoma City Thunder – 52.5
  • Orlando Magic – 27.5
  • Philadelphia 76ers – 16
  • Phoenix Suns – 44
  • Portland Trailblazers – 49.5
  • Sacramento Kings – 29.5
  • San Antonio Spurs – 57
  • Toronto Raptors – 48.5
  • Utah Jazz – 26
  • Washington Wizards – 48.5

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