Steelers’ Lawrence Timmons Dominance Highlights IDP Week 6 Match-up Analysis

Lawrence Timmons has dominated Cleveland and is highlighted in IDP Week 6 Match-ups

Unbelievable that we’re headed into Week 6 already. Hopefully, you’re sitting over .500 in your IDP leagues. If not, there’s still time. Hopefully, you don’t have any 0’fers like one of my squads. Injuries continue to pile on, so in-season management is becoming more and more important. Heading into the action, here’s some of the news, facts and analysis of the IDP Week 6 Match-ups.

New England Patriots vs. Buffalo Bills

-Chandler Jones only appeared in 20 snaps against the Bengals in Week 5. His usage has been quite puzzling, and after appearing in 98 percent of the snaps in the first three games, he’s appeared in just 53 percent of snaps over the last two games. You still need to start Chandler as you normally would. In four career games against Buffalo, he’s recorded just a sack. Jones, however, looks like he should be a handful against Seantrell Henderson.

-Keep an eye on Dont’a Hightower throughout the week. He was held out of Week 5 due to a knee injury.

-Rob Ninkovich‘s last sack came in Week 2 and over the last two games, he’s barely generating any pressure at all; just 2 QB hurries in his last 56 blitzes. Even in a favorable match-up, I’d have a hard time trusting Ninkovich until he shows signs of breaking from his slump.

-Jerod Mayo has been the only bright spot for IDPs on the Pats defense. He’s recording a 2:1 solo-to-assist ratio and is averaging just under 10 tackles per game, producing a 14.9 percent tackle rate. His overall scoring puts him at LB7.

-Marcel Dareus is coming off a dominant effort against the Lions and has produced sacks in consecutive games. Three of his QB pressures were sacks on his 41 blitzes. The Patriot offensive line has had trouble with defensive linemen, allowing seven sacks. After not generating any pressure in his first two games, Dareus has generated pressure on 11 percent of his last 104 blitzes. He’s trending up as a DT1 in defensive tackle-required leagues.

-I mentioned a few weeks ago that Jerry Hughes‘s sacks could come in bunches. Well, his first bunch came in Week 5. Before last week, his last sack was Week 2 against Miami and he notched two more against the Lions. He’s still generating consistent pressure on the QB, 12 percent of the time on his 144 blitzes. He’s a high-upside DE2 in big play scoring formats this week. His 7.3 percent tackle rate makes him a low-end DL3 in tackle-heavy formats.

-Brandon Spikes has appeared in 96 snaps over the last two games, including a season-high 53 in Week 5. I’m not quite ready to dust him off and recommend picking him up, let alone playing him. But his snaps are trending up. I like Spikes as a sneaky start, especially since there could be some chips on the shoulder after leaving New England. I always like players that are facing their former teams.

-Since Aaron Williams‘ 14 tackle outburst in Week 3, he’s recorded just seven tackles since. This could be a good week to start him, as the Patriots have allowed six safeties to score double-digit fantasy points, and in four career games against New England, he’s recorded 20 tackles.

 

Carolina Panthers vs. Cincinnati Bengals

-Luckily, Thomas Davis missed just one game and returned in Week 5. He logged all 67 defensive snaps, showing no signs of discomfort on the hip. He produced an 11.9 percent tackle rate, however, did miss on two attempts and is now missing a tackle in every six attempts. The Bengals are near the bottom of the league in points allowed to opposing LBs and have given up 91 tackles total.

-What if I told you Dwan Edwards was the Panthers’ leader in sacks? I couldn’t believe it either. Edwards is looking like a decent addition in defensive-tackle leagues, as he’s converted 3 of his total QB pressures into sacks. He’s worth adding in big play scoring formats that require a defensive tackle, but has a tougher match-up as the Bengal offensive line has given up one sack.

-Until this past week, only two corners scored double-digit fantasy points against the Bengals. In Week 5, two in one game had more than 10 points. Antoine Cason has regressed a bit. After producing 20 or more points in the first two games, he’s produced 28 in his last three games, depending on scoring. Andy Dalton doesn’t make many mistakes and only has one INT on the year. I would play Cason as a CB2 this week in cornerback-required leagues. His tackles will make him valuable this week.

-Even though Roman Harper is playing 60 percent of his run snaps near the line of scrimmage, he’s only recorded 17 tackles. The Panthers should be lucky that he’s healthy, but he should be left on fantasy benches this week.

-Carlos Dunlap has blitzed 155 times and has three sacks in his first four games. Dunlap should be able to feast on RT Byron Bell. Bell has allowed 16 total QB pressures, including three sacks, on 214 pass block snaps. Dunlap has DE1 upside this week in a favorable match-up.

-Vontaze Burfcit owners that had patience, are receiving good news. Burfict is considered probable for Week 6. He’s missed the last two games and he’d have an ideal match-up with the Panthers, who have allowed 10 LBs to hit double-digit fantasy points and eight LBs to hit six total tackles or more. Get him in your lineups this week.

-For those that drafted Geno Atkins where DL designation doesn’t matter, you are free to drop him. For those in DT-required leagues, you’re going to have leave him on the bench for now. Atkins has just five tackles and eight total QB pressures. Even though the Panthers have allowed opposing DTs to score six or more points six times, he hasn’t shown any burst or signs of breaking out of his slump. It’s not worth the risk.

-George Iloka has three games of double-digit fantasy points and, though he’s producing a tackle rate south of 7 percent, he’s been on the field for all but one snap. He’s making the big plays and has 2 INTs and 4 defended passes and is coming off a 9 tackle game against the Pats. Even though the Panthers are a neutral match-up for safeties, they have allowed six safeties to score double-digit fantasy points. Iloka is a sneaky DB3 this week.

 

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cleveland Browns

-Lawrence Timmons has now gone two straight games without a missed tackle. In those two games, he’s recorded 17 tackles and a near 5:1 solo-to-assist ration. He’s also recorded 16 or more fantasy points in those two games. In his last five games against Cleveland, Timmons has 37 tackles, 2 INTs and 3 sacks. Dial up Timmons as an LB1 this week.

-In his last go-round against the Browns in Week 1, Jason Worilds recorded a sack and five tackles. In his last 125 blitzes against Cleveland, he’s generated pressure nearly 21 percent of the time. He figures to be a solid LB play in leagues that reward the big plays.

-Sean Spence is coming off a rough outing against the Jags. He recorded three solo tackles but missed on two other attempts. In his last three games, he’s missed a total of five tackles. He’s just keeping the ILB spot warm for Ryan Shazier. Spence should be considered an LB3 this week against the run-heavy Browns, setting the stage to see plenty of Ben Tate.

-Troy Polamalu is leading safeties in percentage of run snaps near the line of scrimmage. Polamalu should be plenty busy this week, making him a sneaky DB3 play against Cleveland as he’s producing a tackle rate of 10.4 percent (34 total tackles).

-Joe Haden is looking questionable for Week 6 with a hip injury. If he misses against the Steelers, Justin Gilbert would get the nod and become a viable start in CB-required leagues since he’d have a big bulls-eye on his back. In their Week 1 tilt, Gilbert was thrown at 8 times and, though he didn’t make a play on the ball, recorded seven total tackles.

-Donte Whitner is averaging over seven tackles per game and a 10.2 percent tackle rate in four games. Whitner had a huge game against Pittsburgh in Week 1, racking up 13 tackles (12 solos). Fire him up as a DB2 this week.

-Karlos Dansby has six missed tackles in four games so far. He had 12 in all of 2013. That’s points he’s left on the field. Through four games, Dansby is an LB27, producing a 0.23 points per snap rate. He’s producing well below his 2014 ADP, but still remains a must-start. However, he might be producing as an LB2.

-Jabaal Sheard is leading the Browns in total QB pressures, and is getting to the QB on nearly 13 percent of his blitzes. His LB designation certainly devalues him in most IDP formats, since he’s so dependent on sacks.

-If there were a week for the Browns defensive line, Armonty Bryant and Desmond Bryant especially, to show up, this would be the week. The Steelers are allowing the 2nd most points to opposing DLs. The offensive line has given up 11 sacks and 33 total hits/sacks/hurries on 210 pass block snaps.

 

Green Bay Packers vs. Miami Dolphins

-Julius Peppers has rediscovered himself in Green Bay. He’s grading out as the 6th best 3-4 OLB in pass rushing. In 139 blitzes, he’s generating pressure nearly 12 percent of the time and he’s appeared in just under 71 percent of the total defensive snaps. Of the four sacks given up to LBs, two of them have been from 3-4 OLBs. Peppers should get consideration in leagues that reward the big plays as opposed to tackles.

-Tramon Williams was thrown at a season-high 12 times in Week 5. He faces a Miami team that is giving up the 9th most points to opposing corners. Over the last three games, five corners have compiled double-digit fantasy points. Williams is making a play on the ball on nearly 20 percent of his targets. He’s shaping up to be a CB1 in corner-required leagues.

-A.J. Hawk‘s two missed tackles in Week 5 were the first misses since Week 1. He’s getting all of the snaps and has produced a tackle rate of 12.7 percent is on pace for 135 total tackles this year, with 90 of them pacing to be solos.

-Mike Daniels could have himself another big game against Miami in Week 6. Daniels should line up on the left side, lining up over Daryn Colledge. Colledge has been responsible for three sacks and four combined QB hits/hurries on 178 pass block snaps. Daniels is shaping up to be a high-upside DE2 this week.

-Reshad Jones is set to make his 2014 debut in Week 6 after being suspended for the first four games of the season. He’s coming off a 2013 season that saw him appear in almost 1,200 snaps and record 107 tackles. He’s worth the pick-up, if he’s not already gone off the wire.

-I’m not set in throwing the towel on Jelani Jenkins. I want to see how things shake out when Koa Misi returns from injury. In Week 4, Jenkins only saw 47  of the 67 snaps, however, he’s been one of the top graded 4-3 OLBs and top scoring LBs, so hopefully, his three solo tackle effort in Week 4 isn’t a sign of things to come. It does appear, according to Armando Salguero, Jason Trusnik would hit the bench when Misi returns and Jenkins would continue to see the field.

Since Cameron Wake’s two sack outburst against New England, he’s registered none. He’s still generating pressure, nearly 18 percent of the time in his last 63 blitzes. Also, he hasn’t blitzed more than 30 times since Week 1. Hopefully, Miami unleashes him this weekend, but Bryan Bulaga stands in his way.

-Brent Grimes through four games, has been thrown at 19 times. On those targets, he’s making a play on the ball nearly 32 percent of the time. He’s averaging five tackles per game, however, has a rougher match-up against Green Bay. The Pack are near the bottom of the league in points allowed to opposing CBs and only three corners have tallied double-digit fantasy points. Grimes, and even Cortland Finnegan, are boom-or-bust CB plays this week.

 

Detroit Lions vs. Minnesota Vikings

-In seven career games against Minnesota, Ndamukong Suh has 3.5 sacks and has tallied 22 tackles. Suh has blitzed 157 already, generating pressure on over 10 percent of those snaps. He’s a DT1 this week in leagues requiring a defensive tackle.

-DeAndre Levy is on pace to smash his career high in tackles. Right now, he’s on pace to rack up around 160 tackles, with 115 of those being solo. He’s producing a near 3:1 solo-to-assist ratio and a 15.5 percent tackle rate. He could be the top scorer had he not missed on eight tackles, but he’s still a top-3 LB in scoring.

-Darius Slay hasn’t been thrown at fewer than six times this season. On his 38 targets, he’s defended six passes and has notched 23 tackles on the year. I could see Slay covering more Cordarrelle Patterson than Greg Jennings this week. Slay has three straight games of double-digit fantasy points and I like him as a CB2 this week.

-Glover Quin has been one of Detroit’s better defenders, but it hasn’t shown up in the stat sheet for IDP owners. This could be one of those weeks to consider him as a match-up play. In three career games against Minnesota, he’s notched 16 tackles and an INT. Also, the Vikes are allowing the 9th most points to opposing safeties, allowing six safeties to reach double-digit fantasy points.

-Chad Greenway is uncertain for Week 6. He was coming off a short week, but is still dealing with rib and wrist issues. It’s hard to call him a bust because of the injuries, but he’s not helping his owners being on the sidelines.

-Brian Robison is one of the few 4-3 DE that has logged over 240 snaps that have yet to record a sack. He has a combined 15 QB hits/hurries, but hasn’t gotten the elusive takedown. Robison, at this point, looks to be lining up over LaAdrian Waddle in Week 6. It’s a tough call on whether to give Robison the nod this week. The Lions are allowing the most points to opposing DLs this seasons. Robison has recorded 3.5 sacks in 10 career games. He’s risky start this week, no matter the scoring format.

-Owners of Harrison Smith should be monitoring the injury reports this week. He was spotted in walking boot after last week’s tilt with the Packers. Luckily, there wasn’t anything significant to report, so hopefully, the rest did him some good. He’s been a monster through five games, notching 26 tackles, 3 INTs and 6 defended passes.

-The Lions are allowing the 6th most points to opposing CBs and have allowed 10 corners to reach double-digit fantasy points. This bodes well for Captain Munnerlyn in a favorable match-up. Even though Munnerlyn has yet to make a play on the ball, he has recorded 22 tackles. He hasn’t been thrown at much, only seeing 16 balls come his way with no more than five in a game.

 

Denver Broncos vs. New York Jets

-Danny Trevathan didn’t get the start, but played in 56 of the 59 defensive snaps in his 2014 debut. He notched seven tackles and also blitzed seven times. So much for being eased back in. He has a favorable match-up with the Jets, so definitely start him going forward.

-Chris Harris has seen 24 balls thrown his way and is emerging as a solid cover corner. He’s making a play on the ball nearly 38 percent of the time he’s thrown at. Even though five corners have recorded double-digit fantasy points against the Jets, I still like him as a strong CB option this week.

-Through four games, T.J. Ward is the DB98 in overall scoring in tackle-heavy formats. To say his production is down, would be an understatement. His tackle rate is hovering at 6 percent, but he’s not making the big plays to compensate (just one sack). He’s playing less in the box (55 percent of his run snaps) in Denver than he did in Cleveland, so that has contributed to the decrease in production. This is a week that Ward owners hope for a break-out, as the Jets are allowing the 2nd most points to opposing safeties.

-Von Miller has converted 3.5 of his total QB pressures into sacks. In his 128 blitzes, he’s generating pressure 15 percent of the time. In his last tilt with the Jets, he beat the offensive line for 1.5 sacks and recorded 9 tackles (8 solos).

-The Jets defense should be hope that David Harris doesn’t miss too much time. He continues to produce decent IDP digits, as he’s putting together a near 12 percent tackle rate and is averaging nearly eight tackles per game. In two career games against Denver, he’s notched 12 solo tackles and would be an LB2 if active this week.

-Demario Davis is missing a tackle in every 20 attempts this season and hasn’t missed a tackle since Week 3. The Broncos are a tougher match-up for opposing LBs, however, six ‘backers have registered five more total tackles against them.

-Muhammad Wilkerson is picking up steam over the last few games. He’s logged sacks in two of his last three games. Wilkerson does face a tough Bronco offensive line that doesn’t give up many sacks.

-Sheldon Richardson has sacks in three straight games and is generating pressure on 12 percent of his blitzes. Again, it’s a tough match-up for opposing linemen, as Denver is giving up the least amount of points to opposing defensive linemen.

 

Baltimore Ravens vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

-In most scoring formats, C.J. Mosley has been the highest scoring rookie, no matter the position. He’s an LB6 in overall scoring and is averaging 0.26 points per snap. He’s produced 18 or more fantasy points in three games and is an elite LB1 this week against the Bucs.

-Lardarius Webb logged 45 of the 85 snaps against the Colts in Week 5. A good sign that he’s getting back on the field. He was thrown at 9 times, defended two passes and notched six solo tackles. He appears safe to use in corner-required leagues as the Bucs have allowed the 5th most points to opposing corners.

-Matt Elam is missing a tackle in every four attempts. He’s safe to bench in dynasty leagues and drop in re-draft as he hasn’t hit double-digit points since Week 2.

-Elvis Dumervil is on pace to reach double-digit sacks for the first time since 2012. He lines up, typically, on the left side and should match-up with Demar Dotson, who’s given up two sacks and five QB hurries in 197 pass block snaps.

-For the first time this season, Lavonte David didn’t miss a tackle. He had missed 12 tackles in his previous four games. That’s about the only bad thing I can say about the IDP stud. He’s on pace for 125 solo tackles and is producing a 4:1 solo-to-assist ratio. I don’t think I need to tell you to start him this week.

-Mason Foster should be good to go for Week 6. He got in full practices, so definitely a good sign since the injured shoulder. If active, Dane Fletcher will go back to the bench.

-Gerald McCoy has had to pick up the slack on the line when it comes to the pass rush. McCoy has been beyond the best pass-rushing interior lineman this season. He’s generating pressure 11 percent of his blitzes, and even though he didn’t get a sack in Week 5, he registered 9 combined hits/hurries on 57 rush snaps. McCoy has a tougher match-up this week with Baltimore, but is a must start DT in defensive tackle required leagues.

-Since Michael Johnson’s return, he’s notched two sacks and eight combined QB hits/hurries/sacks in his last 91 blitzes. He seems to getting his footing back and should be looked at as a DE2, as he’ll lineup against James Hurst, who gave up three sacks and seven combined QB pressures in Week 5.

-Mark Barron will look to continue his streak of five consecutive games of seven or more tackles. He’s averaging nearly 8 tackles per game on the season. Opposing safeties have been able to register double-digit safeties in all five games against Baltimore this season. Barron should be looked upon as a DB1 this week.

 

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Tennessee Titans

-Dwyane Gratz has been cleared to practice after missing Week 5. He should return to his starting role, but keep an eye on Demetrius McCray, who played well in his absence. McCraw saw 6 targets, defending a pass and recording four solo tackles, only allowing 32 yards. Gratz has been thrown at 20 times, recording 19 tackles and two defended passes. Gratz would get a boost if Charlie Whitehurst starts in Week 6.

-Chris Clemons is going to get a boost in my DL rankings this week. Titans’ LT, Michael Roos, will be out several weeks leaving the job to rookie Taylor Lewan. Clemons has posted two sacks, but isn’t generating consistent pressure. I look for that to change this week.

-Jonathan Cyprien has 24 tackles in his last three games and is posting a near 10 percent tackle rate. In two games against the Titans his rookie year, he notched 14 tackles (10 solos). Get him in your lineup this week.

-The Titans got the worse possible news about Bernard Pollard coming out of Week 5. Pollard ruptured his Achilles’ tendon and will miss the remainder of the season. George Wilson will start the remainder of the season at SS. Wilson has posted an 11.7 percent tackle rate over the last five seasons.

-I do like Michael Griffin the remainder of the season, but his scoring has been aided by some big plays. He’s already posted 2 INTs this season, after notching two total in his past two seasons. He is posting a 3:1 solo-to-assist ratio and a 10 percent tackle rate. I like Griffin’s match-up this week against the Jaguars, who are giving up the 11th most points to DBs. Griffin should be a solid DB2 this week.

-After posting back-to-back weeks of 14 or more fantasy points, Wesley Woodyard was noticeably shy on the stat sheet. Woodyard was in on 73 percent of the total defensive snaps in Week 5. He was taken out on 8 run snaps and 14 coverage snaps. It’ll be something to monitor this week against Jacksonville. I’d still start him as you normally would, as Jaguars are giving up the most points to opposing LBs, allowing 12 of those ‘backers to score double-digit fantasy points.

-Avery Williamson could be wearing the communication device going forward. Good news for those that scooped him up, could be bad news for Woodyard owners going forward.

-Could this be the week Derrick Morgan gets his first elusive sack? All indications point to yes. The Jags have given up 12 total sacks to the LB position, including eight from a 3-4 OLB. Morgan has generated pressure on 13 percent of his blitzes this season. For those in big play scoring formats, there’s upside in playing him this week.

 

San Diego Chargers vs. Oakland Raiders

-I took notice of Jahleel Addae Week 4, but wanted to see what he could produce the following week. He’s on my radar now, as he’s appeared in 98 snaps over the last two games, producing 0.33 points per snap seeing time at both safety spots.

-Eric Weddle is on pace for his lowest tackle amount since 2009. Through five games, he’s only had one game over five total tackles. I still might trot Weddle out there this week, as in 14 career games against the Raiders, he’s notched 84 total tackles (69 solos).

-On 144 blitzes, Dwight Freeney is generating pressure 17 percent of those snaps. Freeney has a tough match-up this week, as Oakland has yet to allow a sack to an opposing rush linebacker. Keep in mind, they are also giving up the least amount of points and not allowing many tackles.

-Outside of Donald Butler, it’s hard to trust any of the other Charger ILBs for consistent snaps.

-Corey Liuget lining up against the left side of the Oakland offensive line should make for an interesting match-up. Liuget is generating pressure on 13 percent of his blitzes. He should be facing Donald Penn or Gabe Jackson. Penn has given up a sack and 7 QB hurries, while Jackson has allowed just 7 combined hits/hurries on 167 pass block snaps.

-Raiders are coming of their bye week, hopefully, their LB group is getting healthy. However, they’ll be moving forward without their defensive captain, Nick Roach. Roach was placed on IR as he’s yet to recover from his concussion. Rookie Khalil Mack has registered 24 total tackles, recording at least five in each of his first four games. Oakland does look like it’s getting back Sio Moore, who’s also missed the last two games. So there’s good news for both the Raiders and Moore‘s owners.

 

Washington Redskins vs. Arizona Cardinals

-Perry Riley suffered a sprained MCL that could cost him a few games. Will Compton would replace him opposite Keenan Robinson and shouldn’t be on the IDP radar at this point. Unless you’re in a 16-team, all-IDP, NFC East only league, then I’d consider it.

-Since beating the Jaguars for four sacks, Ryan Kerrigan has now produced consecutive games with a sack. He’s producing pressure on 15 percent of his blitzes and faces a Cardinal line that has given up just 2.5 sacks to opposing LBs. To look on the bright side, they’ve been to OLBs.

-Bashaud Breeland has started the last two weeks at left corner and has been thrown at 11 times. He’s a lower upside corner, as he’s only recorded six tackles over two games.

-It’s still an unknown how much Tyrann Mathieu is going to be used. It was thought his work would increase coming out of the bye, but he received just 16 snaps. At this point, you’ll need to keep him on your bench. I wouldn’t drop him just yet, just give it a few more weeks to see if anything changes with his snaps. For those with shallow benches, you might need to cut bait.

-Tony Jefferson received his normal work and was in on every snap in Week 5. He logged 82 of the 82 defensive snaps and notched five solo tackles. I like Jefferson’s match-up this week, as the Redskins are allowing the 9th most points to opposing DBs, including allowing six safeties to score double-digit fantasy points.

-Calais Campbell looks like he’ll miss the next few weeks with a sprained MCL after taking what appeared to be a cheap shot from Julius Thomas. For IDP purposes, Campbell doesn’t have a backup that will provide enough value to consider.

-After recording 16 tackles in his first two games, Larry Foote has tallied just 11 in his last two. His points have been aided by some big plays. Foote’s production is trending down and the Redskins are near the bottom of the league in points and tackles allowed to opposing LBs.

 

Chicago Bears vs. Atlanta Falcons

-What do I have in common with Jared Allen and Lamarr Houston? We all have the same amount of sacks in the 2014 season. You got it … zero. Allen, in his last five games of the 2013 season, notched 6.5 sacks in the last five games, but hasn’t registered one in 2014. Houston has been equally as bad for his owners, if he has any left. Houston has just five total tackles. The sledding isn’t getting easier, either, as the Falcons have allowed the 9th least amount of points to opposing DLs, including just 3.5 sacks.

-If you’re looking for production, you might want to turn to Willie Young. He’s recorded sacks in four of the first five games and is on pace for his first double-digit sack campaign of his career. He’s also produced double-digit fantasy points in three of his first games.

-Tim Jennings has been thrown at 28 times this season and his production, in terms of play on the ball, has been down. He’s only defended two passes and has yet to pick a pass off. It’s a good week to use Jennings in corner-required leagues, as he’ll line up against the team giving up the most points to opposing CBs. Eight corners have scored 10 or more points.

-If you’re looking for DB or safety play in deeper leagues, Danny McCray could be a sleeper this week. He saw 58 snaps at SS in Week 5. 10 safeties have scored double-digit points against Atlanta and in his limited snaps, he’s producing 0.21 points per snap and an 11.1 percent tackle rate.

-The Bears could be without D.J. Williams this week, as the Bears brought in Terrell Manning to fill a spot, leading to belief that Williams won’t be available.

-Lance Briggs looks to be out this week, which might be good news for those that continue to agonize starting him. The choice is made for you. Dynasty leaguers will want to watch Christian Jones as he’ll slide into the weak-side spot.

-Prince Shembo has compiled 22 tackles in his last 117 defensive snaps and has yet to miss on a tackle attempt.

-Robert Alford has been thrown at 23 times, allowing 12 catches, however, four have gone for scores. Alford has quite the assignment coming in Week 6, lining up on either Brandon Marshall or Alshon Jeffery. He should see plenty of targets, giving him upside this week in CB-required leagues.

-Paul Worrilow has recorded 14 or more fantasy points in all five games this season. He’s on pace for over 100 solo tackles this season.

-The Bears rank 8th in points allowed against opposing safeties. Kemal Ishmael has produced 20 or more fantasy points in two of his last three games.

 

Dallas Cowboys vs. Seattle Seahawks

-Bruce Carter is not expected to be available in Week 6. Anthony Hitchens would get the nod at SAM in Week 6, however in keep in mind, he appeared in 34 of the 61 snaps this past week. As of now, Kyle Wilber isn’t factoring in the mix, seeing two snaps in the last two weeks.

-The Seahawks offensive line has been responsible for two sacks, which doesn’t bode well for the Cowboy defensive line, as only two DLs have provided sacks. Jeremy Mincey is generating pressure on just over 9 percent of his blitzes and Tyrone Crawford is generating pressure on 13 percent of his blitzes. They would be tough to rely on in IDP leagues this week.

-Justin Durant, since returning in Week 4, has recorded 14 tackles in the last two games. He’s produced double-digit fantasy points in all three of his appearances this season.

-J.J. Wilcox is missing a tackle in every four attempts this season. Wilcox shouldn’t be in lineups this week, as the Seahawks are allowing the 4th least points to opposing DBs. Barry Church can still be slotted into your starting lineup this week.

-The Cowboy offensive line hasn’t allowed a sack to a defensive linemen since Week 2. Michael Bennett and Cliff Avril have a combined 40 hits/hurries/sacks and are generating pressure on over 15 percent of their blitzes. The battle in the trenches will be an IDP match-up to watch this week.

-Kam Chancellor status for Week 6 is up in the air, even though he’s listed as questionable. He hadn’t practiced all week due to a hip injury, and, the Seahawks brought in Steven Terrell from the practice squad. The PS signing could be an indication that Seattle will be without their in-the-box safety. Chancellor owners may need to seek out other options with the later start.

-Of cornerbacks that have seen over 200 snaps, Richard Sherman is one three players to be targeted fewer than 15 times. Sherman makes a risky CB play this week, but I don’t see Tony Romo avoiding Sherman completely this week.

-K.J. Wright could be an LB3 play this week, as the Cowboys are allowing the 8th most points to opposing LBs. Wright has recorded five or more tackles in four games this season and is producing 0.22 points per snap.

 

New York Giants vs. Philadelphia Eagles

-On the official depth chart, Quintin Demps is the official FS and Stevie Brown has been relegated back-up 3rd safety. Demps is worth adding, especially if you’re a Brown owner looking for a replacement. Demps has consecutive weeks of 12 or more fantasy points and INTs. In those last two games, Demps is producing 0.23 points per snap.

-Antrel Rolle has had quiet season, but has been productive with his big plays. He’s notched two INTs in the last three weeks. His eight solo tackles in Week 5 brought his solo-to-assist ratio to near 2:1. Demps is a decent match-up play this week.

-Jonathan Hankins has been a valuable replacement for Linval Joseph and solid in IDP leagues. In his last 76 blitzes, he’s generating pressure over 15 percent of the time. Hankins has a neutral match-up this week, but should still be considered a DT1 in leagues requiring tackles.

-Jason Pierre-Paul has 3.5 sacks in his last 16 games and will lineup against Jason Peters this week. Peters has allowed one sack and 5 combined hits/hurries in 222 pass block snaps. JPP has some tough sledding this week.

-Jacquian Williams, after missing three tackles in Week 1, has missed just two since. In his last 124 snaps, he’s posting an 18.5 percent tackle rate. Eagles have been a rougher match-up for opposing LBs, allowing the 5th least points allowed to LBs. I still like Williams as an LB3.

-It’s looking like Jon Beason will be able to suit up Week 6. Jameel McClain will move back to the strong-side. Measure your own risk when considering playing him. For this week, I’d play it safe with another option, especially with it being a night game.

-It’s shaping up that IDP owners of Mychal Kendricks will be without his services for the 4th straight game, after hurting his calf against the Colts in Week 2. Without Kendricks, the Eagles are using Casey Matthews next to Ryans.

-DeMeco Ryans suffered a groin injury in Week 5 and it’s likely that he suits up Week 6, however, he is listed as questionable. Keep in mind, it’s a night game so if you have another top 15 or 20 option, you might want to roll with that options. Emmanuel Acho would get the nod this week if Ryans is inactive.

-I would like to see what Vinny Curry could do in more snaps. Curry has sacks in consecutive games and is generating pressure on over 16 percent of his last 44 blitzes. If he gets in the game, he should line up over Justin Pugh or John Jerry, who’ve given up a combined two sacks and 12 combined hits/hurries in 381 combined pass block snaps.

-Cary Williams has been on the field for all 401 defensive snaps this year. Even though he’s only defended two passes, he faces a Giants team giving up the 2nd most points to opposing DBs this year. Williams has CB1 upside.

 

 San Francisco 49’ers vs. St. Louis Rams

-Surprisingly, Patrick Willis has a tackle rate less than 10 percent this season. It did increase this last week, thanks to a 15.4 percent tackle rate against Kansas City.

-Aaron Lynch has seen a slight increase in snaps over the last two games. He’s also been very aggressive as rusher, generating pressure on over 18 percent of his last 39 blitzes. He’s been getting more consistent pressure than the other rush OLBs.

Justin Smith hasn’t had a sack since Week 2 and will line up over a strong St. Louis offensive line on the left side. Jake Long and Roger Saffold have allowed three sacks and 17 combined hits/hurries in 348 combined pass block snaps. Smith does have 8.5 sacks and is averaging 5 tackles per game in 12 career games against the Rams.

-Robert Quinn has been sent on 90 blitzes and has yet to record a sack. It appears that Quinn has missed Chris Long and is getting the attention from the opposing line. He isn’t getting any tackles either, with just 9 in 186 defensive snaps. Through 4 games in 2013, Quinn had three double-digit fantasy point games and five sacks. It might be time to think about benching him until he shows some signs of a break-out.

-Coming out of the bye week, T.J. McDonald recorded 11 tackles, which accounted for 44 percent of his tackle production. McDonald has a nice match-up as San Francisco is allowing the 6th most points to opposing safeties. McDonald is playing nearly 70 percent of his snaps near the line of scrimmage, making him an integral part of the run defense.

-Hope you bought low on Alec Ogletree, or didn’t jump ship in the early going. After recoding 9 tackles in his first two games, he’s recorded 18 tackles (17 solos) in his last two. He’s also recorded consecutive games of 18 or more fantasy points, leading to recording 0.31 points per snap. He’s a locked in LB1 this week.

 

Mike Woellert is an IDP Contributor for FakePigskin.

Target, grading and rush snap data courtesy of Pro Football Focus
Image Credit: CBS Cleveland

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