Fantasy Football: Jerrell Freeman’s Return Highlights Week 5 IDP Match-up Analysis

Jerrell Freeman returns in Week 5 for his IDP owners
Week 5 marks the return of Jerrell Freeman to the field, much to the delight of his owners in IDP leagues.

Week 5 marks the return of Jerrell Freeman to the field, much to the delight of his owners in IDP leagues.

Injuries have taken their toll on IDPs this year, but good news out of Indy is that Jerrell Freeman will be returning in Week 5. Also good news for IDP owners is that they aren’t as many teams on bye this week; just Oakland and Miami. We’re past the quarter mark of the season, so let’s take a look at Freeman’s return and the rest of the Week 5 match-ups.

 

Baltimore Ravens vs. Indianapolis Colts

-Since missing three tackles in his first two games, C.J. Mosley hasn’t missed any. Mosley has recorded at least six tackles or more in his first games as a rookie and is on pace for 120 total tackles and is producing a tackle rate of 13 percent. Mosley has another great match-up against Indy, as they’ve allowed the 6th most points to opposing LBs and eight LBs to reach double-digit points.

-Elvis Dumervil has recorded 3.5 sacks in his last two games and could give the right-side of the Colts’ offensive line fits, especially Gosder Cherilus. Dumervil is generating pressure on nearly 13 percent of his rush snaps. While he’s not an every-down player, he could be a sleeper LB in big play scoring formats this week.

-Will Hill should be a name to look for as he’s scheduled to return in Week 7. Hill’s return could push current safety, Darian Stewart, back to the bench.

-The Ravens aren’t getting any pass rush from Courtney Upshaw, as he’s blitzed just 22 times. They don’t see him as a three-down player, as he’s appeared in just 50 percent of the total snaps. I don’t see any of that changing for Upshaw against the Colts this week.

-Good news for Jerrell Freeman owners as it looks like he’s returning this week. Freeman has missed the last three games with a hamstring injury and he should be penciled back into IDP lineups this week. The Ravens are 9th in points allowed to opposing LBs.

-D’Qwell Jackson has been the beneficiary of Freeman’s absence. Jackson has recorded 27 tackles, which has led to a tackle rate of 16.5 percent over the last three games. With Freeman’s return, that should go down slightly, but still remains a strong LB2 in most tackle heavy formats this week.

-In what can only be described as a complete surprise, LaRon Landry was popped for using performance enhancing drugs and will miss the next four games. Through four games, Landry produced an 11 percent tackle rate and had three games of double-digit fantasy points. Sergio Brown is next man up at strong safety and Mike Adams’ IDP value increases too.

-Vontae Davis has made a play on the ball on 40 percent of his targets. On 15 targets, he’s defended 5 passes and hawked an INT. Davis should have hands full this week against the likes of the Smiths and is a good play in CB-required IDP leagues.

 

Cleveland Browns vs. Tennessee Titans

-Jurrell Casey is going to be a problem for the Browns, but not his IDP owners. Casey is grading among the top 3-4 ends overall and in pass rushing. He’s also a stuffer against the run, so he should have his opportunities for plays against the Browns’ run game. He’s recorded 11 tackles, two sacks and he’s generating pressure on 13 percent of his rush snaps. He’s played on the right and left side, so he could give the guards fits this week.

-I like Avery Williamson as an LB3 play this week. He’s out played Zaviar Gooden and has recorded a 28.2 percent tackle rate. While I think that will go down when he receives more snaps, the metrics tell me, while the film shows me, he’s quick getting to the ball.

-I guess if there was ever a week to roll with Kamerion Wimbley, it could be this one against his former team. He’s only had one other game against Cleveland, and he recorded three solo tackles. If injuries have decimated your team, he could be a sneaky play in big play scoring formats.

-Jason McCourty has seen more than six balls thrown his way in all four tilts this season, including three games of eight or more targets. He’ll be called upon to cover Miles Austin or Andrew Hawkins, so tackle opportunities will be there. He’s making plays on the ball on nearly 20 percent of his targets on his way to 17 tackles. He’s a CB2 in those leagues requiring a cornerback.

-We’ll see if the Browns have made any adjustments to their defensive alignment coming out of the bye week. One observation of note, Craig Robertson saw more snaps in Week 3 than Christian Kirksey, since Cleveland was in base more. Overall, Kirksey has seen more snaps than Robertson but there are no signs that Kirksey will be the three-down LB anytime soon.

 

Houston Texans vs. Dallas Cowboys

-Bruce Carter suffered a quad injury in Week 4 and is not expected to play this week. Carter has been much improved in coverage, so that aspect of his game will be missed. At this point, he’ll be week to week.

-Orlando Scandrick now has back-to-back weeks of more than five tackles and he added two defended passes against the Saints in Week 4. Scandrick saw eight targets this past week and should see plenty of balls covering either Andre Johnson or DeAndre Hopkins. Scandrick’s posting a near 11 percent tackle rate and is a decent CB play this week.

-George Selvie has been a disappointment for his IDP owners so far. Through four games, he has yet to record a sack and hasn’t recorded more than two fantasy points in a game. He’s only registered three QB hurries and is a barely generating any pressure. He’ll see Derek Newton, who’s yet to give up a sack.

-In two starts, Justin Durant is producing 0.35 points per snap. He’s making tackles and producing big plays for his IDP owners. I like Durant as an LB2 with his 14.5 tackle rate and the Texans have allowed eight LBs to reach double-digit fantasy points.

-Rolando McClain returned to the field in Week 4 and saw 35 of the 63 snaps. He notched two solos and forced a fumble in his return. As long as McClain is a full participant in practices this week, I don’t see any reason why he shouldn’t return to his normal snap count. The Texans are allowing the 13th most points to opposing LBs.

-In almost 32 percent of J.J. Watt’s rush snaps, he was causing some sort of disruption to the opposing QB in Week 4 and was responsible for over 50 percent of the pressure generated. He’s the most intimidating defender in the league.

-In deeper leagues, Mike Mohamed might be a name to key on. The Texans have been trying to find an ILB opposite Brian Cushing and Mohamed might be it. Mohamed is coming off a season-high 52 snaps in Week 4.

– After recording just 11 tackles in the first two weeks of the season, Brian Cushing has notched 26 tackles in his last two tilts. Cushing has increased his tackle rate to over 20 percent and now has a 0.33 points per snap rate. He’s a locked in elite LB1.
Buffalo Bills vs. Detroit Lions

-Nigel Bradham suffered a knee injury and the severity at this point is unknown. He was carted off, so that’s usually not a good sign. Bradham was having himself a solid game, producing three tackles and a sack for a 0.51 points per snap rate. He’s been listed as doubtful, which is good news for Preston Brown owners. Keith Rivers should get the majority of the time, as he appeared in 62 snaps in Week 4.

-Jerry Hughes has blitzed over 100 times and is generating pressure on fewer than 10 percent of his rush snaps. He has a tough match-up against Riley Reiff, who’s allowed 8 total pressures in 172 pass block snaps. He’s a low-end DE3 this week.

-Mario Williams has already eclipsed the 130 rush snap mark in four games. So far, two of his total QB pressures have gone for sacks and he’s generating pressure on over 8 percent of his rush snaps. He’s not going to be confused for a tackle machine, as his tackle rate is 4.5 percent (10 total tackles).

-Kyle Williams suffered a knee injury in Week 4 and was immediately ruled out for the remainder of the game. At this point, it’s being called a sprain; however, he could miss multiple games. Stefan Charles saw the snaps in his absence.

-After seeing 35 snaps in the last two games, Brandon Spikes saw 42 in Week 4. It’s fewer than 60 percent usage, but certainly worth noting the increase. I’m still not running out to the wire to add him.

-Preston Brown has yet to have a game under seven tackles and now has 40 total on the year. Sure, he’s helped out by the friendly Buffalo stat crew, but that’s not his fault. Brown has seen 279 defensive snaps and produced a tackle rate of 14.3 percent. He’s producing at an LB1 rate.

-Ndamukong Suh is playing for a contract and those that own him in DT leagues should reap the benefits. He’s blitzed the QB on 123 rush snaps and has generated pressure nearly 12 percent of the time. In most tackle-heavy formats, he’s recorded over 20 points, placing him among the top 20 scoring defensive tackles. With Kyle Orton now QB in Buffalo, Suh should be unleashed and is a strong DT1 this week.

-Tahir Whitehead was in on all 68 snaps and didn’t disappoint his owners that plucked him from the wire. He recorded 12 tackles (four solo) on his way to a near 18 percent tackle rate while producing 0.24 points per snap. The Bills are 16th in points allowed to opposing LBs and have allowed six LBs to record double-digit fantasy points. Whitehead is a strong LB2 this week.

-Darius Slay has produced double-digit fantasy points in consecutive weeks and is moving up the ranks as a good match-up play in CB-required leagues. In four tilts, he’s recorded 18 tackles (13 solo) and is making a play on the ball on just over 21 percent of his targets. He finds himself in a good match-up this week with Kyle Orton slinging the ball.

-For those in deep leagues, George Johnson might be a sleeper DL play this week. The Bills are allowing the 4th most points to opposing DLs through four games. Keep in mind, Johnson is appearing in fewer than 50 percent of the snaps, but he’s producing 0.20 points per snap and can take advantage of the match-up. Kyle Orton is a stationary QB and the Bills’ tackles have given up 21 total QB pressures. Johnson can play both left and right end.

 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. New Orleans Saints

-Michael Johnson returned in Week 4 and beat the Steeler offensive line for two sacks. Johnson also recorded a 0.37 points per snap in his return. The sledding for Johnson is tougher against the Saints, as Zach Strief and Terron Armstead have yet to allow a sack this season. It’s shaping up to be a good match-up between two solid linemen.

-Mark Barron has recorded double-digit fantasy points in all four games so far. Barron finds himself with another great match-up against the Saints, who are allowing the 5th most points to opposing DBs and have allowed six safeties to reach double-digit points. Barron is averaging more than 7 tackles/gm and is a DB1 against a team he’s averaged close to 10 tackles/gm in his career.

-In four games, Alterraun Verner has been thrown at 20 times but has yet to record an INT or defended pass. He is making more tackles, which is good for those in tackle heavy formats. His tackles are up 60 percent compared to this time a year ago and he’s producing a 5:1 solo-to-assist ratio. He’s currently a CB8 in scoring and is a strong CB1 against the Saints this week.

-Dane Fletcher will start MIKE, once again, as Mason Foster has been ruled out for Week 5. Fletcher hasn’t exactly set the world a blaze with his play, but with injuries everywhere, he’s a body on an IDP roster and makes a decent play in deeper leagues starting three or more LBs.

-Dashon Goldson will miss the Week 5 tilt with the Saints. Major Wright will get the start and log the snaps at FS. Wright is worth adding, especially for Goldson owners, as he ripped off 9 tackles (6 solos) against the Steelers in 70 defensive snaps. He’ll be DB2/3 in a favorable match-up this week.

-Ramon Humber got his 2nd straight start in Week 4 thanks to an injured David Hawthorne. Hawthorne is still dealing with an ankle injury, so his status is still up in the air for Week 5. Humber played on the weak-side and logged 57 snaps in Week 4. If Hawthorne is inactive this week, Humber makes a sneaky play in deeper leagues that start three or more LBs. He just needs to cut down on the missed tackles.

-Kenny Vaccaro and Jairus Byrd combined for six of the Saints 14 missed tackles in Week 4. However, Byrd will miss the rest of the season due to a torn lateral meniscus. He had produced double-digit fantasy points in consecutive weeks. However, he didn’t have the same ball-hawking prowess that he had in season’s past. He was also missing tackles at a great rate. Vaccaro notched seven solo tackles and a sack against Dallas. Vaccaro could be in line for another big game, and remainder of season, if Tampa ties to run and control the ball, as he’s playing nearly 70 percent of his run snaps near the line of scrimmage.

-Rafael Bush will start the remainder of the season at FS and was playing quite a bit in the defensive backfield. In just 91 snaps, Bush is producing a near 19 percent tackle rate and is worth consideration in deeper leagues.

-Might be time to start looking at Corey White in tackle-heavy formats. White has seen 25 targets, though he hasn’t made any big plays, he’s recorded 20 solo tackles with just one miss. In three career games, he’s recorded seven solo tackles. He’s a sneaky CB play this week.

-Junior Galette is generating pressure on nearly 18 percent of his rush snaps. He could see plenty of Anthony Collins, who’s responsible for 11 combined QB hits/hurries.

 

 Atlanta Falcons vs. New York Giants

-Prince Shembo appeared in a season-high 59 snaps in Week 4 and appears to have overtaken Joplo Bartu as ILB. He produced a 13.6 percent tackle rate on his way to eight total tackles in Week 4.

-Though the Giants are giving up the most points to opposing DBs, it’s safeties that are scoring better than corners. Only two corners have scored double-digit points while seven safeties have scored double-figures. This week could be one of those boom games for Dwight Lowery.

-William Moore has landed on IR/Designated to Return with an injured shoulder. His replacement at SS will be Kemal Ishmael, who appeared in 70 of the defensive snaps. He assisted on six tackles and made one solo. With not as many bye weeks, you might be able to do better on the wire for a Moore replacement.

-Jon Beason will miss Week 5 according to Kim Jones of NFL Network. Beason is still dealing with a foot injury that looks to linger all season. Jameel McClain will start once again, however, is a risky LB play due to inconsistencies. In a favorable match-up last week, he registered five assists and has registered 5 or more solo tackles just once.

-Jacquain Williams is on his way to a career-high in snaps, as he’s already appeared in 255, missing just five so far. Six opposing LBs have scored double-digit points against the Falcons and Williams is averaging just over six tackles a game this season. For a three-down LB, I’d like to see the tackle increase to over 10 percent.

-Antrel Rolle’s big plays have kept his IDP value afloat this season, as it hasn’t been the tackling. He’s recorded just 18 tackles and a 7 percent tackle rate. He’s been thrown at 15 times and has made five plays on the ball (2 INTs/3 Defended Passes). He’ll remain a strong DB2 against the Falcons, who are 2nd in points allowed to opposing DBs.

-Prince Amukamara and Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie are strong CB1s this week. DRC has been thrown at 27 times, while Prince is sitting at 17. Amukamara is a CB4 in scoring with 25 tackles and is making a play on the ball on over 50 percent of his targets. Both of the Giant corners are matched up against elite WRs this week.

 

St. Louis Rams vs. Philadelphia Eagles

-Rams are coming off the bye relatively healthy. James Laurinaitis has notched 20 tackles, good for a tackle rate of 11.5 percent. Since Chris Long’s injury, there’s been a rotation at end and Robert Quinn is the only lineman that has crossed the 100 snap mark. Quinn is getting to the QB in just over 12 percent of his rush snaps, however, that’s hasn’t been nearly good enough for his owners. Janoris Jenkins is missing a tackle in every five attempts.

-It was thought that Marcus Smith would get reps at ILB, but it looks like Emmanuel Acho is getting more snaps than Smith, however, he’s still sharing with Casey Matthews. Acho has outplayed Matthews, producing a 16 percent tackle rate, including a tackle for a loss. I like Acho more in deeper leagues. Mychal Kendricks is still not practicing and can’t seem to turn the corner on his injured calf. Kendricks has been ruled out for Week 5.

-Vinny Curry is excelling in his role as a situational pass rusher and I’d really like to see him get more snaps, but Eagles are deep at the line. Curry is generating pressure on more than 11 percent of his blitzes, but unfortunately, his snap count limits his IDP value.

-Malcolm Jenkins is 10th among DBs in scoring in tackle-heavy formats. He’s already appeared in over 300 defensive snaps.

-Bradley Fletcher makes for a good CB play this week. He’s been thrown at 38 times in just four games, allowing just 18 catches on the year. He’s already recorded seven defended passes and recorded 21 tackles on his way to a 6:1 solo-to-assist ratio. The Rams are near the bottom in points allowed to opposing DBs, but if Philly’s offense can rack up the points, Rams will be chucking to keep up.

 

Chicago Bears vs. Carolina Panthers

-Ryan Mundy has started the season with four straight games of double-digit fantasy points. He has a tougher match-up against Carolina, as they are 24th in points given to DBs, allowing five safeties to hit the double-digit mark. The good thing going for Mundy is that he’s playing nearly 60 percent of his snaps near the line of scrimmage.

-After producing consecutive games of more than 20 fantasy points, Kyle Fuller came back to earth with just three tackles. He was targeted six times against the Packers in Week 4.

-The Bears have sent Lamarr Houston in on 125 blitzes in four games. He’s generating pressure on just over 10 percent of those rush snaps, but has yet to record a sack. Houston has a real good chance at breaking out this week, as the Panther tackles have allowed six sacks and 20 combined QB hits/hurries. Houston should line up over Nate Chandler, keeping him very busy.

-In his last two starts, Jon Bostic has recorded 17 total tackles, however, 13 of them came in Week 3. He can be inconsistent in his production, but Bostic does have a more favorable match-up this week against the Panthers, who are allowing the 8th most points to opposing LBs.

-Has Lance Briggs finally hit a wall in his IDP production? In four games, Briggs has recorded 18 tackles for a tackle rate of seven percent. He’s only reached double-digit fantasy points once this season.

-So much for Frank Alexander being in the mix at defensive line this week. As soon as he returned from suspension, he gets popped again for violating the substance abuse policy. This time, he’ll miss 10 games. There figures to be a rotation between Wes Horton, Kony Ealy and Mario Addison next to Charles Johnson. It’s an IDP situation to avoid.

-Charles Johnson could be questionable this week with a hip flexor. Johnson doesn’t have a sack in 130 blitzes, so the injury might be a good thing for his IDP owners.

-Thomas Davis appears ready to go in Week 5. He’s put in a full practice after missing Week 4. Davis owners should feel confident in getting him back in their lineups. A.J. Klein owners might need to find another option this week, as he’s logged just 60 snaps in three games when Davis is healthy.

-Josh Norman will see more snaps outside and has replaced Melvin White. Norman saw just one ball thrown his way but made six tackles in Week 4. Norman carries upside this week against the Bears WR duo of Brandon Marshall and Alshon Jeffery.

-Luke Kuechly’s 12 tackle game in Week 4 was the 19th time he’s recorded double-digit tackles in a game.

 

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

-I was hoping for a little more than three solos out of Sean Spence in Week 4. He did appear in 63 snaps but also left some points on the board by missing two tackles. As long as Ryan Shazier continues to be out, continue to dial in Spence, especially this week. The Jaguars are allowing the most points to opposing LBs and have allowed 11 LBs to hit the double-digit point mark.

Lawrence Timmons didn’t miss on a tackle attempt for the first time in Week 4.

– Mike Mitchell has produced five or more tackles in all four games this season and is averaging close to 6 tackles per game. Mitchell has been good against the run, but isn’t playing near the line much, fewer than 25 percent of his run snaps.

-Cameron Heyward should be lining up over Zane Beadles this week. Beadles has been responsible for two sacks on the year, while Heyward has been sent to blitz 142 times this season. Beadles should have his hands full this week. Heyward makes for a decent DE2 Week 5.

-Sen’Derrick Marks continues to give opposing offensive lines fits. He’s notched 2.5 sacks on the year and has blitzed 130 times already. He’s also stuffing the run, producing a seven percent tackle rate. Marks is a DT1 heading into Pittsburgh, where they’ve allowed the 9th most points to opposing DLs.

-Winston Guy was released this week, opening the door for Josh Evans to finish the season at free safety. I’d consider Evans a solid add as he’ll see an every-down role next to Jonathan Cyprien. He’ll make for a DB3 against the Steelers in Week 5.

-Paul Posluszny has three games of 10 or more tackles and is producing a 3:1 solo-to-assist ratio in four games. Posluszny in three career games against Pittsburgh, is averaging 12 tackles per game. He’s a locked in elite LB1.

-If there was a week to roll with Chris Clemons as a DE1, this would be it. Whether he lines up on the right or left side, he’ll face a turnstile at the tackle position. Kelvin Beechum and Marcus Gilbert have each given up four sacks on the season. Clemons definitely has DE2 upside this week.

 

 Arizona Cardinals vs. Denver Broncos

-The Cardinals re-signed Desmond Bishop. This may not mean much, but I think it signifies they aren’t happy with their ILB situation outside of Larry Foote. Kevin Minter has seen just 77 defensive snaps and has been average, though he’s been solid against the run. Foote, however, is missing too many tackles as he’s missing one in every four attempts. Coming out of the bye week, I look for Tyrann Mathieu‘s workload to increase.

-As expected, Danny Trevathan is coming out healthy after the bye week and is expected to resume his starting role. What does this mean for Brandon Marshall owners? I wouldn’t drop him just yet, if you have the bench to hold on to him. Trevathan is expected to return to his three-down role immediately, which will put him in the LB2 conversation this week. I’ll be watching the match-up between Demarcus Ware and Jared Veldheer, as Veldheer has yet to allow a sack, while Ware has 2.5 on the season and is generating pressure on over 12 percent of his rush snaps.

 

New York Jets vs. San Diego Chargers

-Antonio Allen has settled in nicely on the right side as corner. He’s being targeted at least six times or more in each of the first four games of the season, defending four passes and recording 23 tackles (20 solos). The Chargers are allowing the 11th most points to opposing DBs.

-Quinton Coples is generating pressure on nearly 15 percent of his rush snaps. Coples makes for a boom/bust play in big play leagues. The left side of the offensive line for San Diego, has allowed three sacks and 21 combined QB hits/hurries.

-Calvin Pryor owners in re-draft leagues might have buyer’s remorse. It looks like Dawan Landry has still been plenty productive. Landry is producing an 11.9 percent tackle rate and has yet to miss on a tackle attempt. Seven safeties have scored double-digit fantasy points against San Diego. Landry is averaging close to eight tackles a game and is a solid DB2 this week.

-David Harris is the overall LB25 in scoring in tackle heavy formats and has started the first four games with double-digit fantasy points. In three career games against the Chargers, Harris has a near 4:1 solo-to-assist ratio and is averaging 8 tackles per game.

-Corey Liuget is in the concussion protocol and will need to be cleared to play in Week 5. The Chargers could use his rush presence, as he’s generating pressure nearly 14 percent of the time he blitzes.

-If I would’ve told you that Dwight Freeney would be leading the Charger defense in rushing efficiency, how many laughs would I have received? Freeney has pressured the QB on nearly 19 percent of his rush snaps.

-Keep an eye on Andrew Gachkar. He got the start in Week 4 and was in on 52 of the 66 defensive snaps. Gachkar, for the time being, looks to be the ILB opposite Donald Butler while Manti Te’o nurses his foot injury. Kavell Conner received snaps, as well, but it looks like Gachkar is getting the lion’s share of the work.

-In his last two games, Donald Butler has recorded 19 tackles in 126 defensive snaps. Butler has LB1 upside against a Jets team allowing the 3rd most points to opposing LBs.

 

Kansas City Chiefs vs. San Francisco 49ers

-Josh Mauga has outplayed James Michael-Johnson and separated himself as the IDP to own at the ILB spot. Since Week 2, Mauga has appeared in every snap and is being disruptive around the line of scrimmage. Mauga has a chance to hit double-digit fantasy points, yet again, as 9 LBs have hit double-digit points against the 49’ers.

-Eric Berry has been ruled out for Week 5. He’s still dealing with an injured ankle. Ron Parker will continue to get the snaps at safety and finds himself in a favorable match-up, as the 49’ers are allowing the 7th most points to opposing DBs. Opposing safeties have recorded 56 total tackles against them.

-Justin Houston has two multi-sack games and is getting to the QB on nearly 21 percent of his rush snaps. He continues to be an LB2 in big play scoring formats.

-Justin Smith looks to have a favorable match-up this week. He should be lining up over Mike McGlynn, who’s given up three sacks on the season. Smith continues to disrupt opposing QB, registering 3 combined QB hits/hurries in Week 4 and has already blitzed 130 times this season. He’s a high-upside DE2 this week in a favorable match-up.

-Antoine Bethea has started 100 consecutive games at the DB position. He’s appeared in all 263 defensive snaps this season. He’ll need to increase his tackle rate if he hopes to hit the 100 tackle mark for the 5th consecutive season.

-After seeing 12 balls thrown his way in the first three games, Perrish Cox saw 12 targets in Week 4. Cox turned in big plays and doubled his defended passes from four to eight. The Chiefs are 13th in points allowed to opposing CBs and five corners have scored double-digit fantasy points. Perrish is a decent CB start in deeper CB-required leagues.

 

Cincinnati Bengals vs. New England Patriots

-Fire up Wallace Gilberry and Carlos Dunlap this week against the Pats. The Patriots tackles have allowed five sacks on the year. Since Week 1, Gilberry hasn’t notched a sack, but has generated pressure on 10 percent of his rush snaps. Dunlap notched sacks in three straight games before the bye and has been sent on 117 blitzes. Emmanuel Lamur, through three games, has produced a tackle rate of 11 percent and should lead the Bengals in tackles in Week 5.

-Vontaze Burfict is still considered doubtful and is expected to miss Week 5 against the PatriotsVincent Rey received the start at weak-side but only appeared in 68 percent of the snaps. I like Rey over Rey Maualuga as a possible IDP play with Burfict not expected to suit up.

-Chandler Jones appeared on the verge of a monster game against KC. He registered a sack in the early going, but was pretty quiet the remainder of the game. This week’s match-up could prove tough for Jones, as the Bengals are near the bottom in points allowed to opposing LBs and DEs. Andre Smith and Andrew Whitworth have allowed just four total QB pressures.

-After seeing 20 snaps in Week 3, Jamie Collins resumed a normal workload in Week 4. He responded with seven solo tackles. He has a tougher match-up this week and Jerod Mayo figures to produce better this week. Collins, I believe, is an LB3 this week.

-Vince Wilfork is a DT12 in tackle friendly scoring. Against the Bengals, only one tackle has scored more than five points against the Bengal offense. Wilfork is a risky play even in DT-required leagues.

 

Seattle Seahawks vs. Washington Redskins

-Michael Bennett and Cliff Avril have played both the left side and both could get their chance at turnstile Tyler Polumbus. Polumbus has already given up six sacks on the year. Bennett is generating pressure on 16 percent of his blitzes and Avril is at 14 percent. Kam Chancellor has two games of more than 20 fantasy points and that’s with seven missed tackles. Byron Maxwell has two games of 10 or more targets and has been thrown at 25 times.

-If you’re thinking of benching Perry Riley, I can’t find an argument to talk you out of it. He’s on pace for just 75 tackles and is producing a 7.3 tackle rate. Even though the Seahawks run the ball, the backs cause so many missed tackles, that the ‘Hawks are near the bottom in points allowed to opposing LBs. Only one 3-4 ILB has scored double-digit points.

-I consider Keenan Robinson a better play than Riley this week, but expect a few missed tackles this week. Robinson has four missed tackles and Marshawn Lynch is among the top RBs in missed tackles caused.

-Ryan Clark has produced a tackle rate of over 10 percent, and since missing five tackles in Week 1, has just two since. Amazingly, the Seahawks are a bad match-up for opposing safeties. Clark’s upside is somewhat capped, especially since he doesn’t play near the line of scrimmage on his run snaps.

-Jason Hatcher has another rough match-up this week. Against the Giants, Hatcher managed two QB hurries. Hatcher will line up over the left-side of Seattle’s offensive line; a line that has yet to allow a sack between the tackles and guards.

-Since his return, Brandon Meriweather is averaging over 9 tackles per game and is playing 72 percent of his run snaps near the line of scrimmage. Meriweather is a big hitter, so I’ll be watching his battle with Marshawn Lynch.

 

Mike Woellert is an IDP Contributor for FakePigskin.

Target, grading and rush snap data courtesy of Pro Football Focus
Image Credit: Indy Star

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

You may use these HTML tags and attributes: <a href="" title=""> <abbr title=""> <acronym title=""> <b> <blockquote cite=""> <cite> <code> <del datetime=""> <em> <i> <q cite=""> <strike> <strong>