NFL: Season Win Totals

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The season win totals for the 2014 NFL season were released yesterday. We are now one step closer to the season kicking off. Las Vegas typically is spot on with their season predictions, however a few win totals stood out to me as either too high or too low.

Too High

Indianapolis Colts – 9.5 wins

Andrew Luck is an elite level quarterback who is capable of making spectacular plays. However this team reminds me of the Atlanta Falcons from last season. The Colts offensive line was a mess last season and while they added depth in the draft, it is still a weakness. Protecting Andrew Luck and creating run lanes will be crucial. I don’t see that group being up to the task. The Colts defense that was shaky last season is already without Robert Mathis for the first four games. Between the issues along the offensive and defensive lines and an improved division I see the Colts much closer to a 7 win team than a 10 win team.

Houston Texans – 7.5 wins

While I love the idea of JJ Watt and Jadeveon Clowney anchoring one of the best defensive lines in the NFL, the thought of Ryan Fitzpatrick under center week one should be giving Texans fans nightmares right now. The Texans were in a complete tailspin last year. They hired Bill O’Brien in the off season replacing Gary Kubiak. While O’Brien has done wonders with quarterbacks i expect this season to be more rebuilding than contending. The offense is going to be counting on Arian Foster to carry much of the load, and while I love Foster’s talent, his health history isn’t exactly spotless. I expect the Texans to be much closer to 6-10 than 8-8.

 

Too Low

New England Patriots – 10.5 wins

Since 2001 New England has went OVER season wins 9 times & UNDER 3 and one push. Tom Brady and Bill Belichick are as rock steady a coach and quarterback duo you can find. The Patriots get to play the Bills, Dolphins and Jets twice a season. I expect the Patriots to reach the 12 win total yet again this season.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers – 7 wins

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are my prediction to make a huge jump. This team is talented and is now led by a coach that will get them moving in the right direction. The offense will get Doug Martin back from injury this season. They also added Mike Evans in the draft. The offense will resemble much of what makes the Bears offense so impressive. Two big, physical receivers on the outside with a do it all running back. Josh McCown or Mike Glennon should be solid enough to move the offense and avoid turnovers. Defensively the Bucs are loaded with talent. Lovie Smith will employ his defensive scheme and return the Bucs to an elite defensive squad.

Jacksonville Jaguars – 4.5 wins

Its hard to put your faith in a rookie quarterback but in Gus I trust. Gus Bradley is putting together a strong defense that should be able to be a tone setter for the Jaguars. Blake Bortles should be asked to shoulder too much of the load. I’m not predicting a Super Bowl by any means but the Gus Bus should be able to drive this team to a 5-11 or 6-10 season pretty easily.

 

Others I like

Arizona Cardinals – Over 7.5
Philadelphia Eagles – Over 9
New York Giants – Under 7.5
New Orleans Saints – Over 9.5

 

The Rest

Denver Broncos – 11
Seattle Seahawks – 11
San Francisco 49ers – 10.5
Green Bay Packers – 10
Cincinnati Bengals – 9
Baltimore Ravens – 8.5
Pittsburgh Steelers – 8.5
Detroit Lions – 8
Chicago Bears – 8
Atlanta Falcons – 8
Carolina Panthers – 8
Kansas City – 8
San Diego Chargers – 8
Dallas Cowboys – 8
Miami Dolphins – 8
St Louis Rams – 7.5
Washington Redskins – 7.5
Tennessee Titans – 7
New York Jets – 7
Cleveland Browns – 6.5
Buffalo Bills – 6.5
Minnesota Vikings – 6
Oakland Raiders – 5

2 Comments

  1. Adam Rainbolt

    May 20, 2014 at 4:57 pm

    Liked this article a lot. Always one of my favorite things to watch in the offseason, preseason and into the regular season! :)

  2. Kyle Robert

    May 20, 2014 at 8:56 pm

    Thanks Adam! I love season win totals. Ill be checking back towards the end of the season to how I did.

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