Pitching Preview Week 1

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As you will have noticed if you have followed my tiers series, I didn’t do an article for pitchers. The reason for this is that I have never really tracked pitchers and their performances in the past like I have hitters so I did not feel comfortable doing tiers for a group I wasn’t confident with. However, my aim for this year is to have a better understanding of pitchers come the end of the year and by previewing the pitching options each week that is how I intend to do this.

Each week I will highlight the two start pitchers and then further highlight the ones I feel are worth your time and the ones that aren’t. In addition, I will also take a look at the one start pitchers and highlight guys you may want to pick up when they have a decent match up.

This week will actually cover 8 days as because of opening night on Sunday (If you league week started with the Australia games then sorry but rotations were impossible to fully predict at that point). Here are this week’s match ups:

Sunday

Monday

Tuesday

Wednesday

Thursday

Friday

Saturday

Sunday

BOS

@ BAL

@ BAL

@ BAL

vs MIL

vs MIL

vs MIL

NYY

@ HOU

@ HOU

@ HOU

@ TOR

@ TOR

@ TOR

BAL

vs BOS

vs BOS

vs BOS

@ DET

@ DET

@ DET

TB

vs TOR

vs TOR

vs TOR

vs TOR

vs TEX

vs TEX

vs TEX

TOR

@ TB

@ TB

@ TB

@ TB

vs NYY

vs NYY

vs NYY

DET

vs KC

vs KC

vs KC

vs BAL

vs BAL

vs BAL

CWS

vs MIN

vs MIN

vs MIN

KC @

KC @

KC @

KC

@ DET

@ DET

@ DET

vs CWS

vs CWS

vs CWS

CLE

@ OAK

@ OAK

@ OAK

vs MIN

vs MIN

vs MIN

MIN

@ CWS

@ CWS

@ CWS

@ CLE

@ CLE

@ CLE

TEX

vs PHI

vs PHI

vs PHI

@ TB

@ TB

@ TB

OAK

vs CLE

vs CLE

vs CLE

vs SEA

vs SEA

vs SEA

vs SEA

LAA

vs SEA

vs SEA

vs SEA

@ HOU

@ HOU

@ HOU

HOU

vs NYY

vs NYY

vs NYY

vs LAA

vs LAA

vs LAA

SEA

@ LAA

@ LAA

@ LAA

@ OAK

@ OAK

@ OAK

@ OAK

NYM

vs WSH

vs WSH

vs WSH

vs CIN

vs CIN

vs CIN

WSH

@ NYM

@ NYM

@ NYM

vs ATL

vs ATL

vs ATL

ATL

@ MIL

@ MIL

@ MIL

@ WSH

@ WSH

@ WSH

MIA

vs COL

vs COL

vs COL

vs COL

vs SD

vs SD

vs SD

PHI

@ TEX

@ TEX

@ TEX

@ CHC

@ CHC

@ CHC

CHC

@ PIT

@ PIT

@ PIT

vs PHI

vs PHI

vs PHI

MIL

vs ATL

vs ATL

vs ATL

@ BOS

@ BOS

@ BOS

STL

@ CIN

@ CIN

@ CIN

@ PIT

@ PIT

@ PIT

CIN

vs STL

vs STL

vs STL

@ NYM

@ NYM

@ NYM

PIT

vs CHC

vs CHC

vs CHC

vs STL

vs STL

vs STL

LAD

@ SD

@ SD

@ SD

vs SF

vs SF

vs SF

ARI

vs SF

vs SF

vs SF

vs SF

@ COL

@ COL

@ COL

SF

@ ARI

@ ARI

@ ARI

@ ARI

@ LAD

@ LAD

@ LAD

COL

@ MIA

@ MIA

@ MIA

@ MIA

vs ARI

vs ARI

vs ARI

SD

vs LAD

vs LAD

vs LAD

@ MIA

@ MIA

@ MIA

Here are all the starting pitchers for each team this week:

Sunday

Monday

Tuesday

Wednesday

Thursday

Friday

Saturday

Sunday

BOS

Lester

Lackey

Doubront

Peavy

Buchholz

Lester

NYY

Sabathia

Kuroda

Nova

Tanaka

Pineda

Sabathia

BAL

Tillman

Jimenez

Chen

Gonzalez

Tillman

Norris

TB

Price

Moore

Cobb

Archer

Odorizzi

Price

Moore

TOR

Dickey

Hutchison

Buerhle

Morrow

McGowan

Dickey

Hutchison

DET

Verlander

Scherzer

Sanchez

Porcello

Smyly

Verlander

CWS

Sale

Paulino

Quintana

Johnson

Danks

Sale

KC

Shields

Vargas

Ventura

Guthrie

Chen

Shields

CLE

Masterson

Kluber

McAllister

Salazar

Carrasco

Masterson

MIN

Nolasco

Correia

Hughes

Pelfry

Gibson

Nolasco

TEX

Scheppers

Perez

Ross

Saunders

Martinez

Scheppers

OAK

Gray

Kazmir

Chavez

Straily

Milone

Gray

Kazmir

LAA

Weaver

Wilson

Richards

Santiago

Skaggs

Weaver

HOU

Feldman

Cosart

Oberholtzer

Harrell

Keuchel

Feldman

SEA

Hernandez

Ramirez

Paxton

Elias

Young

Hernandez

Ramirez

NYM

Gee

Colon

Wheeler

Mejia

Gee

Niese

WSH

Strasburg

Gonzalez

Zimmerman

Jordan

Roark

Strasburg

ATL

Teheran

Wood

Harang

Hale

Teheran

Wood

MIA

Fernandez

Eovaldi

Alvarez

Turner

Koehler

Fernandez

Eovaldi

PHI

Lee

Burnett

Kendrick

Hernandez

Lee

Burnett

CHC

Samardzija

Jackson

Hammel

Wood

Samardzija

Villanueva

MIL

Gallardo

Lohse

Peralta

Garza

Estrada

Gallardo

STL

Wainwright

Wacha

Lynn

Miller

Kelly

Wainwright

CIN

Cueto

Cingrani

Bailey

Leake

Cueto

Simon

PIT

Liriano

Morton

Rodriguez

Cole

Liriano

Volquez

LAD

Ryu

Grienke

Haren

Kershaw

Ryu

Greinke

ARI

McCarthy

Cahill

Miley

Arroyo

Delgado

McCarthy

Cahill

SF

Bumgarner

Cain

Hudson

Lincecum

Vogelsong

Bumgarner

Cain

COL

De La Rosa

Anderson

Chatwood

Nicasio

Morales

De La Rosa

Anderson

SD

Cashner

Kennedy

Ross

Stults

Cashner

Kennedy

 

Two Start Pitchers

We have 41 pitchers who are starting twice this week with many of them being some of the best pitchers around so are likely to be 100% owned. Of those many will be started regardless of the match up so they are basically irrelevant to this article so the intrigue lies with the guys beyond the top tier.

Within the tiers below players are not listed in any particular order.

Must Start (All 100% owned):

Image courtesy of cbs sports

  • Verlander: A relatively good match up vs KC and a tougher one against Baltimore but at least it is at home
  • Sale: Minnesota and KC aren’t match ups that will worry you overly
  • F. Hernandez: @LAA and @ Oakland means he is playing in two good parks this week
  • Strasburg: Neither matchup is overly damaging
  • J. Fernandez: Playing twice in his home stadium.
  • A. Wainwright: Match up @Cincy has potential for danger but then he goes to Pittsburgh
  • Ryu: Two match ups in decent pitching stadiums
  • Grienke: Same as above
  • Bumgarner: Tough stadium @Arizona and then a potentially tricky match up with the Dodgers but you aren’t sitting him this week.
  • Cain: Same as above.
  • Weaver: Playing at a great pitchers park in Seattle and playing a poor Houston team = A good week

Safe Starts (Ownership 100% unless stated):

  • Price: Two games in his home, pitcher friendly, stadium but against strong line ups.
  • Moore: As Above
  • Shields: Tough game at Detroit but a better match up against Chicago
  • Masterson: Playing in two pitchers parks and one of those is a weak Minnesota line up
  • Gray: Two games at home in a pitcher friendly park.
  • Teheran: Should be solid against two middle of the road line ups
  • Lee: Game @ Texas is a tough match up but I love the one @ Cubs
  • Burnett: As above.
  • Samardzija: Two nice match ups in decent parks.
  • Cueto: Could struggle a little against St. Louis but should be ace @ Mets
  • Liriano: Two games at home in a pitchers park.
  • Cashner: Always love it when he pitches at home and then add in a start @ Miami and it becomes a really nice week.
  • Kazmir (6%): Two starts in Oakland is always nice

Tough Choices (Ownership %):

Image courtesy of ign

  • Lester (100): Really Tough match up @ Baltimore followed by a tough return home.
  • Sabathia (100): Love his match up in Houston but less keen about the one in Toronto. Both hitter friendly parks.
  • Dickey (100): Pitchers park in Tampa Bay but his return home concerns me
  • Tillman (98): A game at home in a tough park followed by a fearsome Detroit match up
  • Wood (88): Playing two weaker line ups but I’m not crazy enough about the parks to think he could be as good as Teheran
  • Gee (50): Should provide some strikeouts in two home games
  • Kennedy (13): Pitching at home and at Miami is always a good combination. Just not sure I trust him quite enough to be a definite start.
  • Scheppers (7): Philly don’t have a great line up but pitching in Texas is always tough and then he goes to pitcher friendly Tampa but they have a decent line up.
  • Ramirez (1): Two games in pitchers parks but against two hard hitting line ups
  • Eovaldi (1): Playing at home twice against weak line ups means I want to trust him more but I just can’t
  • Cahill (1): Two tough games in hitter friendly parks with one of those being in Denver

Risky Starts (Ownership %):

  • Gallardo (96): Two tough match ups
  • Nolasco (7): Two tough games this week.
  • De La Rosa (3): I love the match up @ Miami but in Colorado against Arizona worries me a lot
  • Hutchison (2): Has been given the number 2 role in the rotation but I’m not trusting him yet.
  • McCarthy (1): A tough match up with San Fran followed by a game in Denver.
  • Anderson (1): Same as De La Rosa

 

One Start Pitchers

Intriguing match ups (Ownership %):

Image courtesy of rantsports

  • Kuroda (100) & Nova (99): Both play Houston and there isn’t much in Houston’s line up to worry about
  • Kluber (12): I like guys pitching in Oakland whether it is as the home or away team
  • Salazar (100) & Carrasco (<1): Both playing against the Twins in Minnesota’s pitcher friendly park. Salazar could potentially have an elite week with this match up and his ability.
  • Santiago (2) & Skaggs (2): You may notice a theme developing here because these guys are listed here as they are playing Houston. Downside is that Houston is hitter friendly.
  • Roberto Hernandez (0): Match ups against the Cubs have the potential to be very promising.
  • Morton (1) & Wandy Rodriguez (1): Simply a case of playing the Cubs at home
  • Kennedy (13) & Ross (3): Love San Diego Pitchers when they play at home even in a tough LA Dodgers match up
  • Stults (0): Nice match up in Miami

So there we have it for my two start pitchers and my intriguing one start guys for week 1. By no means am I saying drop people who don’t appear on this list for those that do. For example do not drop Cingrani for Kluber but you might want to consider starting the two start guys in the top three tiers over Cingrani. When it comes to the one start guys listed above it is a more of a deep league view in many cases of people who may be worth picking up and plugging in where you are waiting on a Hamels or Minor to return.

2 Comments

  1. Jeff

    March 30, 2014 at 9:11 am

    Ok so im in a 12 team H2H points dynasty league. I’m the defending champ and i have what i’d like to call a stable of horses as my pitchers. I gotta start 5 of the following 10 guys… Three of which are easy to sit this week with Yu (out on DL), Cole (1 start), Morrow (1 start). The other 7 are tricky. Strasburg, Sale, Lee, Fernandez, Gray, Cain, Lester. Realistically like you stated above, Lester has 2 tough games and im content sitting him. Sale, Lee, Fernandez, and Strasburg for me are must starts given their talent and match ups. Comes down to who do i wanna start between Gray and Cain. Cains the better pitcher but he’s got two tougher offenses to face both of which are road games i believe. Gray gets both games at O.Co and while he goes up against two legit aces in Felix and Masterson their offenses don’t scare me as much as the dbacks and dodgers do. Would you roll with Gray or Cain in my decision? Thanks!

  2. Ben Rolfe

    March 30, 2014 at 9:24 am

    To me this is actually a three way debate: Cain, Lee and Gray

    Cain: Arizona struggled to get going in Australia and their line up isnt that amazing. LAD’s park isn’t likely to hurt him either.
    Lee: Plays the toughest line up in the best hitting park in Texas and then plays the worst hitting team
    Gray: Two games at home against less than great line ups.

    Im playing Cain and Gray and sitting Lee

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