Daily Fantasy Basketball Notes 3/17

Lost in the NCAA tournament hoopla and lost amongst the drunkens on this St Patty’s Day is an NBA Monday night with seven games to concentrate on.   So here is a three step process for you:

1) Put down the green beer ( just for a minute)

2) Put down your brackets (just for a minute)

3) Play some NBA DFS tonight to make some cash to pay for more green beer and enter more brackets.

Simple, huh ??

On to some plays tonight:  (Note- salaries come from Draft Street (DS)

HIGH STAKES:

Blake Griffin, LAC ($19,113)- The Clips are a slight road favorite tonight (-4.5) in Denver with a team total of 111.5  (tied for highest on the board).  Blake Griffin is averaging 27 points, 9 boards and almost 5 assists over his last five games.  In two games vs Denver this season, Blake Griffin is averaging 30 points, 13.5 boards and 4.5 assists.  Denver is really really bad against power forwards (2nd to last over the last two weeks).  Play Blake Griffin.

James Harden, HOU ($18,429)- Over his first six games is March, Harden was averaging over 43 DS points per game.   Then he ran into Jimmy Butler and the Bulls and bombed to a 7.5 DS  point showing.  He followed that up with 30 points scored vs Miami, but only chipped in with 3 rebounds and an assist, leading to a subpar 26.25 DS outing.  Tonight, Harden gets a friendlier matchup, facing a Utah team surrendering the 3rd most fantasy points per game to shooting guards over the past 15 days.  A return home should help Harden return back to his early March ways.

Al Jefferson, CHA ($18,981)- Big Al is another top option tonight.  26.5 points and 10.5 points per game in March along with a block and a steal, Jefferson faces an Atlanta team towards the bottom of the NBA in fantasy points allowed to centers.

CAUGHT IN BETWEEN:

Thaddeus Young, PHI ($14,352)- Not really a high price for a “high stakes” guy but a bit high for “middle of the road” guy, so I made another category for Thad.  Young has turned in consecutive solid games, with 40.5 and 36.75 DS scores.  One of those games came against tonight’s opponent, Indiana, where Young put up a 25/6/10 line ( although he had 21 MFG !).   The spread here is 20 so potential blowout is in play, but Thad should see his 35+ minutes anyway

MIDDLE OF THE ROAD: 

Derrick Favors, UTH ($12,452)- Favors is an immense talent and has turned up his game a notch over his last five.  Had 28 and 10 last night with 3 steals and has two double doubles and has fallen just one rebound short of two more in those last five games.  Utah is a big underdog in Houston tonight, but the matchup is favorable as the Rockets are bottom five against PF for the season.  One word of caution: it seems whenever I play or recommend Favors, he bombs, so take the recommendation with a grain of salt.

Lance Stephenson, IND ($13,032)- I mentioned the huge line in this game in the Thad Young section, but I like the price on Stephenson tonight.  He had 13 points and 12 boards in Philly Friday night.  His numbers have dipped a bit in March, so he could be due for one of his triple double type games.  Plus, I’m playing against him in the playoffs in one of my yearly leagues so I figure he’ll go off tonight.

CHEAPSKATES:

Wilson Chandler, DEN ($9,723)- After losing a few hands in blackjack, you usually feel like it’s your turn to win a hand, this is what I call the “I’m due” theory.  This is where I stand with Chandler tonight.  He had a solid stretch in early March, in 3 consecutive home games he averaged 28.5 DS points.  The Nuggets then hit the road for 5 straight and Chandler faced foul trouble the last two games, putting up a 7.75 and 8.25  spot.  Its back home for the Nuggets tonight, the game with the Clippers is the highest total on the board (218.5), and Chandler “is due” to get back on track.

Patrick Beverley, HOU ($7,831)-  Purely a value play here, as Beverley has seen his price plummet.  He doesn’t handle it so much for a PG with Harden taking that role on, but Beverley aids his fantasy potential in other areas, like  steals.  His matchup with rookie Trey Burke is one he can take advantage of, and Beverley usually sees 30+ minutes a night, so the price could be right as a punt play.

Elliot Williams, PHI ($4,351)- A play I am making in a few lineups based solely on the dirty cheap price and expected blowout in Indiana where Williams could see some extended minutes.  He usually plays somewhere in the teens minutes wise, but I could see 20+ tonight, and he doesn’t need to do too much in order to hit value.

Thanks and go back to drinking and filling out your brackets

Any questions or comments, give a follow on twitter @bsteinhause or the @fakeroundball crew: @RSandersRX, @PatsFever24 and @SaidHeHadAStory.

 

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