Daily Fantasy Basketball Notes 3/5

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Another full slate of exciting NBA action is on tap for Wednesday night. None of the ten games have double digit spreads, and several totals are over 210 points. Expect another night of high scoring, close, and competitive contests. When you look at the NBA slate for tonight and see no double digit spreads and several games with totals over 210 points, you might think you died and went to heaven. Close, high scoring games mean tons of fantasy points, not only for your key players, but your value players as well.

The last two weeks I have switched my philosophy in playing DFS, and it has been paying off in a big way. I switched to a much more balanced lineup, and have tried to play no one over $8,500 in value. This has helped me produce scoring between 280-310 points consistently over the last two weeks. With scoring like that you should be cashing much more often then not.

There is no question that the top studs produce 40-50 points a night if not more. However, they come with a very high price tag and a lot of risk as well. When at least 20% of your salary goes to one player your leaving your team seriously handicapped if he doesn’t have a monster game. You must hope there are no blowouts or injuries in that game as well. Furthermore, now you must stack the rest of your lineup with maybe one or two middle tier players and a lot of lower tier players. That doesn’t mean these players can’t produce nice results, however, on a regular basis I believe a more balanced attack will lead you to the promise land more consistently. A perfect example was last night. I played someone head to head who stacked Kevin Durant and LeBron James in their lineup. This left the rest of their team handicapped. KD and LJ produced around 100 fantasy points for their team, while the other six players produced another 127 points only. In the meantime, I had no players valued over $8,400, I rostered Thaddeus Young who only had 14 fantasy points, and I still won 285 to 227. So you can see how I can afford a player or two to have an off night and still have enough points to win in most cases.

Lets make Wednesday night the start of Christmas come early and fill our pockets with lots of vitamin C. With my new found success of staying away from the higher priced players and playing a more balanced lineup, I hope to make your Wednesday night a very successful one. All prices listed are according to Draft Kings $50,000 salary daily leagues.

Players To Start:

Jeff Teague – $7,200 – Jeff is been on quit the roll lately, producing like an elite PG while only spending mid level money. Great value tonight playing in Portland where a high scoring game is expected. Over the last four games, Jeff has been averaging 28 PPG, 6 APG, and 3.5 RPG. Doing the quick math , he is averaging around 41 fantasy points a game over his last four games while only costing you $7,200. Jeff is a top play tonight. Their used to be a toy that sold like hotcakes called tickle Me Elmo. Well their is a new toy in DFS, its called Teague Me To The Bank. Playing him will have you laughing just like Elmo all the way to the bank.

Nikola Vucevic – $7,900 – Nikola has been filling up the stat sheet lately. He has become one of the better big men, while giving you great value costing you under $8,000. Over last seven games, he is averaging 18 PPG, 12 RPG, 1.5 APG, 1.5 SPG, and 1 BPG. Their aren’t many big men producing numbers like that at any price. Now he gets a tired Miami Heat team playing the second end of a back to back. Miami is very bad against the bigs, and expect Nikola to produce 40 plus fantasy points for you tonight. Nikola is another must start, that will have you smiling all the way to the bank.

Trevor Ariza – $7,000 – Trevor is another player filling up stat sheet lately, producing like a top player while costing you only $7,000. Over the last seven games, he is averaging 19 PPG, 7 RPG, 2.5 APG, 1.5 SPG, .5 BPG, and is shooting the three ball as good as anyone right now. Trevor is grinning from ear to ear knowing he is playing the Jazz at home tonight. Trevor won’t be hearing any light jazz music tonight, however, he will be hearing some heavy rock music playing ” We Will We Will Rock You”. Expect Trevor to be rocking the Jazz all night long.

Players To Sit:

Joe Johnson – $5,000 - Joe has been playing pathetic for most of the season and the last seven games have been no exception. His price on DraftKings continues to drop and he still has not even close to a value play. Over the last seven games which includes one pretty good game, he is averaging 14 PPG, 2 RPG, and 3 APG. Now he is playing a very good defensive team in Memphis. Joe making the All Star team was a crime. Joe should be a no go on everyone’s bench tonight.

Brandon Jennings – $7,100 – Brandon is another player that is playing at a vey poor level. In fact, he has been losing playing time to Bynum, which has turned out to be the right call. Over the last seven games, he is averaging a pathetic 9 PPG, 7.5 APG, 2 RPG, while committing over two turnovers a game. Not what you are looking for from your starting PG. Now he must face a very tough defense in the Bulls. When you add up how poor he is playing, plus playing against such a very good defensive team, this equals a recipe for disaster. This is no BULL, leave him on your bench tonight.

Marvin Williams – $3,500 – Marvin’s stock continues to take a nose dive quicker then the ball drops on New Year’s Eve. His price on DraftKings is down to $3,500, and you couldn’t give him to me for free. Over the last seven games he is averaging a very pathetic 6.5 PPG, 3.5 RPG, 1 APG, while his minutes continue to drop faster then a kid trying to run to the bathroom without dropping his pants to avoid an accident. In fact over the last two games he is averaging under 20 minutes a game. Marvin’s days are numbered. Sit him on your bench until further notice.

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