Daily Fantasy Basketball Notes 2/18

Welcome back Hoop Heads! I don’t know about you guys, but I am glad the All-Star weekend is over. It feels good to be back and writing about daily hoops once again. I was able to get my fix this weekend on the FakeRoundball Roundtable podcast (I’ll post a link to it after the article is published). Ricky (@RSandersFR) and I sat down to give a recap of the season so far and a preview of the rest of the season.  If you haven’t given it a listen yet, be sure to check it out.

Now, I know nine games is a lot to take in on the first day back, but tonight has some great games to look forward to and I want to jump right into things. As always, my prices are based off of DraftKings. Good luck, and allons-y!

Start ‘Em

Some higher price guys I like:

Chris Paul ($9,000) vs the Spurs – It’s a bit much to play such a pricey guy on only his third game back after missing over a month, but if this weekend was any indication of what is to come, CP3 is back to full health. Not only is this game the biggest over/under tonight, the Spurs will be without Tony Parker for the foreseeable future. The cherry on top is that San Antonio is in the bottom five in the league against the point, so I expect big numbers from CP3.

Kyrie Irving ($8,400) vs the Sixers – Say what you want about his inconsistent play this year, but Kyrie put on a show this weekend in Nola. I think that he rides that high against a bad Sixers team. No Varejao also means more of the offense will run through Kyrie. I have a gut feeling that Kyrie finishes around the 50 point fantasy mark tonight.

Some cheaper guys I like:

Jordan Hamilton ($3,100) vs the Suns – I think JHam is an absolute steal tonight, to the point to where I debated writing about him because I believe he will be on a lot of winning teams. But, I’m always one to share the love to our loyal readers so no worries. With Lawson not playing, it means more minutes and production for JHam. He’s coming off a 40+ fantasy night before the break, and he scored his most points this season against the Suns in December. All signs point upward and I think he vastly outplays his price.

Tobias Harris ($5,900) vs the Bucks – Harris hasn’t quite broken out like I thought he would in his third season, but tonight his value is hard to pass up. A player that has the potential for a 20/10 night for less than $6,000 is a gift from the fantasy gods. Not to mention that Milwaukee has only won two games since the new year. Any Magic is a solid play tonight, but Harris has the most value for his price.

Sit ‘Em

Paul George ($8,400) vs the Hawks – Maybe the All-Star break will give George a kick in the ass from his last two games before the break. His shot selection has not been what it was in the beginning of the year, and going into a slump only made matters worse. Do I think George is capable of a 30/10 night? Absolutely. Do I think he will have one tonight? Probably not. Atlanta’s defense is tops in the league against George’s position and averaging slightly more than 30 fantasy points a game is not something you want to see for a guy with that kind of price.

Mike Conley ($7,700) vs the Knicks – I talked about this on the podcast I did with Ricky this weekend, but I have a hard time starting guys that are coming off of injury for their first game back. The price looks appealing, but New York is a much better defensive team than people realize. Calathes should still get some minutes as well, as he’s earned it, so I’m taking that into consideration. Conley could very well outplay his value, but expecting a 25/10 outing from him is wishful thinking.

Greg Monroe ($7,000) vs the Bobcats – Monroe is the very definition of a boom or bust play for me. His price isn’t outrageous, but the inconsistency for a guy who can have a 15/10 or a 12/5 night is infuriating. Add that to the Bobcats being one of the better defensive teams in the league (that everyone seems to forget about), and I’m hard pressed to fit him into my lineup confidently. The risk outweighs the reward for me tonight, so I’m going to error on the side of caution and sit him against Charlotte.

BONUS MATERIAL FROM @BSTEINHAUSE

(note: The salary’s Brian uses come from Draft Street)

BIG SHOTS:
G- Goran Dragic, PHO ($16,715)- Dragic has been nothing short of sensational ever since Eric Bledsoe went down. Tonight he faces a Ty Lawson-less Denver squad that has given up 41.75 to Ricky Rubio and 50.75 to Brandon Jennings lately.
F- Tim Duncan, SA ($15,754)- The Big Fundamental returns after a nice layoff during the break. Averaging 20.8 PPG and 10.3 RPG for February, a recharged Duncan gets a high scoring matchup with a Clipper team towards the bottom in defense vs. PF. Still a viable play at full rest, it’s a good night to use Timmy D.
F- Tristan Thompson, CLE ($12,952)- It’s a big jump in salary tonight for TT as he has jumped to the almost 13K level after being at 8911, 9037, and 9862 his previous three. His play over the last two games, averaging 20.5 points and 14 boards, along with a matchup vs. those fun 76ers justifies it. No Anderson Varajeo again for Cleveland, so we should hopefully see a 3rd straight big double double tonight.
C- Nikola Vucevic, ORL ($13,521)- He’s a double double machine, has five of them in six February games. His minutes have jumped lately as well as he comes back from a concussion, and has played 37 minutes in consecutive games. No Larry Sanders in the middle tonight for Milwaukee leads to a feast for Vucevic on the glass, where he could possibly see his second 20 board game of the season tonight.

CHEAPSKATES:
Randy Foye, DEN ($9,743)- After a few games in the 12-13K range (where, quite frankly, he didn’t belong), Foye returns to four figures tonight. I am much more comfortable with him in this price range. He will handle PG duties tonight as Ty Lawson continues to sit, and has had time to rest a bum ankle. PHO/DEN is the highest total on board and Foye could make for a nice play.
Ersan Ilyasova, MIL ($8,465)- It is always painful to list a Milwaukee Buck in this column, but the price on Ersan is too tough to ignore. He is so capable of putting a 20/10 type line with some 3’s, yet also very capable of leaving early with an injury. Plus, can never fully trust mad scientist Larry Drew with his minute distribution. I’ve been a sucker too many times this season, yet will I be one again tonight ?
Kenneth Faried, DEN ($8,302)- A play I like in a GPP, not a double up game. Faried has been pretty bad lately, averaging just 9 points and 4 boards over his last four. Another player lost in Coach Brian Shaw’s shuffle, Faried just oozes that big game potential, as his 28/11 line on Feb 3rd can attest too. The price is right to take a shot in good matchup against a bad Phoenix front line.
Anthony Bennett, CLE ($6,434)- The #1 pick in this year’s draft seems to have turned the corner a bit. He registered his first career double double with a 19/10 effort vs. Sacramento two games ago. He then came back with 15 minutes played, so you can’t be too certain of what you’re gonna get. No Varajeo tonight leaves some extra frontcourt minutes on the table, and as discussed earlier, Cleveland gets the fantasy friendly 76ers tonight.

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