Daily Fantasy Notes 2/4

Andrew Bogut

Tonight, if you’re like me, is one of my favorite nights to play fantasy hoops. Only four games to choose from, but this is where you can truly shine and win some serious cash in daily leagues. Tonight I am slightly favoring two games more than the other two. The Lakers/Timberwolves game has the highest over/under at 215. The other game I like a lot tonight is the Warriors/Bobcats game, though I have to admit that I am leaning towards the under on this one. Two solid defensive teams will make for a great game to watch.

All of my prices are accruing to DraftKings, the main website I use for daily play. Good luck, and allons-y with the picks:

Start ‘Em

Andrew Bogut ($6,300) vs the Bobcats – Lee has been out with a bum shoulder, so I think even if he plays big minutes tonight, Bogut is the way to go. The Bobcats rank in the bottom third in the league against centers. Last game Bogut dropped 55 fantasy points against the Jazz, and I think he will continue to ride that momentum into tonight for another great outing.

Anyone from the Lakers/Wolves game – I know this is kind of a cop out, but I really like the matchups tonight on both sides. Both teams aren’t great defensively, and with the Lakers lineup looking to split a lot of minutes with all of their injuries coming back, it’s hard for me to pick one particular play from each team I like more than the other. I will say this though, I think KLove is a must start in all formats. The Lakers rank dead last against big men, so Love should have another spectacular game.

Sit ‘Em

Klay Thompson ($6,300) vs the Lakers – Saying that Splash has been on a slump is an understatement. Over his last four games, he has shot 20/72, a mere 28% from the field. The good news is that he still isn’t afraid to shoot the ball and he is getting the minutes you would want to see in a coach sticking with a young guy. At some point he is going to explode, but until that day comes, Splash is taking a backseat in my daily leagues.

Any Sun not names Goran Dragic vs the Bulls – I think the Suns are one of the most fun teams to watch in the entire league. They have defied all expectations this season and really look to be a playoff contender in the West, which is no easy feat. But Chicago has been better defensively after the Deng trade, and it’s hard for me to pinpoint who will be the big name to step up besides Goran. With this game also having the lowest over/under of the night, I am staying away from the Suns if I can.

Bonus Picks from @RSandersFR

First – The Obvious Ones

Kevin Love – $11,300 – I just have to reiterate Josh’s point from before. As the most expensive player on most sites, including DraftKings, Love will still absolutely be worth using. Although the Lakers have allowed the seventh fewest fantasy points to PFs over the last fifteen days, Pau Gasol will be out. Gasol is one of their better defensive players and his absence may leave Ryan Kelly on Kevin Love. If so, Kelly is toast. Also, the Lakers allowed the second most points per game in the month of January (106.1), just behind the 76ers. Love is virtually matchup proof as-is, so add in the fact that this should be a high-scoring game and a single-digit spread, and you have yourself a stud.

Steph Curry – $10,400 – The Baby Faced Assassin has been playing out of his mind lately. In his last five games, he is averaging 32 PPG on 53.4% FG, 5 3PM, 3.6 REB, 7.6 AST and 1.6 STL. Charlotte, Curry’s opponent, is a middle of the road team against opposing PGs. However, Steph absolutely torched the Bobcats in the one previous matchup: 43 PTS, 5 3PM, 6 REB, 9 AST and 2 BLK. While I wouldn’t expect him to be quite that good, coming close wouldn’t surprise me either. Curry is an absolute must-play on Tuesday.

Paul George – $9,000 – Recently, I have leaned Lance Stephenson over Paul George on most occasions because of the price difference. Tonight, I finally prefer Paul George. Atlanta has been a bottom defense against opposing SFs over the last 15 days. Kyle Korver is borderline miserable as a defender while DeMarre Carroll isn’t quite as bad. Regardless, the Hawks defend the SG position much better than SF, especially over the last 15. George has been heating up lately, averaging 20 PPG and 8.2 REB over his last five. Considering they are on the road, the threat of a blowout lessens at least a little. Either way, you should get three solid quarters at the very least. If you’re going to pay the price for George, this is the night.

Now – The Not So Obvious Ones

DJ Augustin – $6,000 – Unlike Noah who i also kind of like tonight, Augustin actually has a solid matchup. Phoenix has been a bottom four team in terms of fantasy points allowed over the last 15 days. People who worried about Hinrich’s return effecting Augustin’s value significantly can rest easy. Two games ago, Augustin netted nearly 39 minutes with 23 PTS and 7 AST. Expect more of that against a fast paced Suns team, as Augustin is basically the Bulls best offensive player at this point.

Ramon Sessions – $5,400 – If Kemba Walker is out once again, continue to start Ramon Sessions. His low price tag means he can be solid/unspectacular and still produce to value. Golden State has been extremely effective against PGs recently but sometimes value is greater than matchup. Sessions is a big part of the offense and has the ball in his hands constantly. Golden State allows 99 points a game so there will be plenty of baskets made. Compared to all the others in the price range, I think Sessions has a greater chance of success. If you’re looking for a punt option at PG, Sessions is your man.

Ryan Kelly – $3,600 – Pau Gasol is out which opens up big minutes for Ryan Kelly. Kevin Love is a great offensive player but a mediocre defender. Assuming Love doesn’t get Kelly in foul trouble, his basement price will be worth every penny. He should play 30+ minutes and averages about 12 and 7 per-36 minutes. If you get around that 12 and 7 with a three and a steal, he’s worth the low price because you can put studs around him.

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