Daily Fantasy Basketball Notes 1/27

 

Hopefully everyone was able to get through their first Sunday since August without football (no, I am not counting the pro bowl). Now let’s try to build a little bankroll for the big game on Sunday. There are six games tonight on your Monday NBA schedule. The highest over/under on the board is the Suns/Sixers game at 213.5, the line is 5, so you can expect a close high scoring game and that’s where I will begin my player selections tonight.

Note: I use my player salaries form Draft Street, the site where I do most of my play.

Players I love:

Goran Dragic, PHO at PHI ($16,196)- Dragic has averaged nearly 32 DS (draftstreet) points per game for the month of January with Eric Bledsoe out of the lineup. Tonight, he gets the dream match-up with the defensively challenged 76ers. They recently let up a triple double to Kyle Lowry and although Dragic doesn’t usually approach those rebounding numbers, I can see a 25/5/13 type line from him tonight.

Kyle Lowry, TOR vs BKN ($15,776)- Speaking of Mr. Lowry, tonight the burden of the Raptor offense will squarely be on his shoulders. With DeMar DeRozan sitting this one out, look for Lowry to be more aggressive in getting his own shot. Save for a sickness infected game last Wednesday, Lowry has been a fairly consistent threat at getting you 30+ points and tonight should hopefully be no different.

Michael Carter-Williams, PHI vs PHO ($15,167)- I tend to go PG heavy when I can and MCW will be rostered on a few of my squads tonight. Although it seems he may have hit a bit of a rookie wall, tonight looks like it could be one of his bigger games against a Suns team in the bottom five vs. the PG spot the last 15 days.

Gordon Hayward, UTH vs SAC ($14,510)- Hayward was on fire before a hip injury sidelined him for 5 games.  He is now back, and has played 38 and 36 his previous two games.  Tonight, Utah is one of the highest team totals at 105.5, plus their opponent is Sacramento, who has been one of the league’s worst in defending the SF position.  I look for a big night from Hayward.

Serge Ibaka, OKC vs ATL ($15,752)- One more high priced guy for you.  Although Kevin Durant is the obvious Thunder play, I just can’t see using him at an almost $24,000 price tag.  60 DS points is barely scratching value.  Instead, I’ll look to the bit more inconsistent Ibaka.  Atlanta is very weak in the interior, paving the way for Serge.  He’s averaged 36.75 DS points in his last three.  There’s a pretty good shot he keeps that up tonight.  (Although, I am higher on the 4 mentioned above than Ibaka).

Other higher priced guys to consider: DJ Augustin ($13,925), DeAndre Jordan ($16,509)

In order to fit in the high priced guys, you’re going to need some cheaper “value” plays.

Here are a few guys I think could return some decent bang for the buck tonight:

Channing Frye, PHO @ PHI ($10,748)- All Suns not named Dragic have been maddeningly inconsistent, Frye may be tops among them.  I rarely use anyone on their roster except Dragic (or Bledsoe when healthy).  Tonight though, I make an exception.  The high total of the game makes me want to get a few more guys in my lineup.  I can see a bunch of 3 pointers in this game and that is what Frye excels at.  Also considered Gerald Green, but I like Frye’s cheaper price tag a bit more.

Jason Thompson, SAC @ UTH ($9,198)- Boogie Cousins did not make the trip to Utah, meaning more boards to go around the Kings lineup.  Thompson comes off a 13 point, 10 board performance last night and has averaged almost a double-double (9.6 points, 9.2 rebs) over his last 5.  He has put up 22 or more DS points four times in that five game span, and the lone one he didn’t came at the expense of an 0-8 shooting night.  No reason for him to not double up once again tonight.

Greivis Vasquez, TOR vs BKN ($9,112)-  Somebody will need to pick up the slack with DeRozan out for Toronto tonight.  Terrence Ross will be the obvious choice after his 51 point outburst Saturday night, but his price tag skyrocketed from the $7000 range to over $11000 tonight.  I can see Vasquez sharing the court with Kyle Lowry tonight, compiling some numbers.

Aaron Gray, SAC @ UTH ($6,843)- I don’t love that many center options tonight, and as mentioned with Jason Thompson, no Cousins tonight for Sacramento.  That should leave another start for Gray, who was effective enough with 6 points, 8 boards, 5 assists and 2 steals last night, easily returning value.  I bump him down a bit if Rudy Gay does play as I can see Gay at the 3, Derrick Williams at the 4 and Jason Thompson at the 5 a bunch.

Shelvin Mack, ATL @ OKC ($10,652)- Mack’s first start in relief of the injured Jeff Teague didn’t go so well, as he accounted for just 9 points and 4 boards ina blowout win vs. Milwaukee.  I can see a bounce back tonight, as Atlanta will need a big effort to keep up with the Durantulas tonight in OKC.

Other cheapies to consider: Elton Brand ($7.542), John Salmons ($5,077)

If you have any further questions, feel free to hit me up on Twitter @bsteinhause.

 

Bonus Feature: A Look at CP3’s Value by @RSandersFR

In the last 24 hours alone, I have been bombarded with people questioning whether they should trade CP3 in separate deals. Here are two of the questions I have received:

1. Should I trade Kyle Lowry, Wesley Matthews and Chris Paul for DJ Augustin, Monta Ellis and Andre Drummond (@DBSPORTSMANIAC)

2. Just traded CP3, Ginobili and Bass for Frye and Varejao. Season saver or big regret come April? (@zeedomm)

Okay, first of all I understand why you’d want to trade Chris Paul. Saying his name alone when beginning talk talks gets the other owners attention. Big names, at times, will fetch you a larger amount than they are worth. I get it. However, CP3 went down on January 3rd and was given a six-week timetable to return. By my calculations, we are about 3.5 weeks in, meaning he should be back in about 2.5.

Is three weeks of someone filling in for Chris Paul really worth trading his value that he’ll provide from week 17 on? Fantasy leagues are about winning in the playoffs. I understand if you are a fringe team trying to get in, but still, get something of value. Trading him at this point doesn’t make sense because you’ve already sat through the worst of it. If you asked me who I’d rather own today between CP3 and Goran Dragic, I’d take Paul in a heartbeat. We’re talking about a top five fantasy player that will be back to stardom in about 17 days. Don’t go selling now for way less than he is worth because I actually do think you will regret it very soon.

That is my advice of the day. Good luck tonight, DFS-ers.

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