Daily Fantasy Basketball Notes 1/23

Some people take Thursdays off for daily fantasy basketball. For the average DFS fan, two games is not enough to get their competitive juices flowing. I get that. However, I think the experts have the added advantage in smaller scheduled nights. Seemingly, I have the highest success rate on these two game-type nights. I also study rotations, write three full length articles a week on yearly fantasy basketball and am genuinely enamored by the NBA. Just for you though, I will refrain from keeping my opinions to myself.

Tonight, I am here for you. Join the contests I am in and take my money. I don’t care. I take more pride in you succeeding than myself (except for the big money contests because then, full disclosure, I’d rather have that kind of dough for me). Two things about tonight’s games:

  1. Miami at home against the Lakers looks to be a blowout
  2. Denver at Portland doesn’t look to be a blowout and also should be incredibly high scoring

For this reason, I’m going to try and pound game number two as much as I can. Obviously, you will still need to play a few guys from the first game, but I will be spending the big money in the second game. Here is a sneak peak into the lineup I will be throwing out there tonight (and recommend you do too). All prices are based on my favorite daily site (Draftkings).

Players I Love:

LaMarcus Aldridge – $10,000 – Denver hasn’t been getting trampled by the PF position like they were earlier in the season. Still, they are allowing the 10th most fantasy points to the position over the last 15 days and Aldridge is on fire. He’s basically match-up proof at this point, and considering the match-up is good, I can’t sit him. LeBron won’t have Wade, which is enticing, but he may only play three quarters. The Lakers are terrible (in case you forgot). For my money, Aldridge is the guy tonight as the highest scoring player in a game with an over/under of 220 (!!!!!).

Ty Lawson – $8,100 – Did I mention I’m hammering this game tonight? Lawson, if I had to choose, would be my PG of choice in this game. I like him more than Lillard because his match-up is better and he’s been the hotter player. Over the last 15 days, Lawson is averaging a ridiculous 46.4 fantasy points to Lillard’s 37.3. Lawson is emerging as an elite point guard and Portland is a bottom six team defending the position for the season. Even at $8,100, Lawson should exceed his value. Don’t get cute and fade him tonight.

Damian Lillard – $8,100 – While I prefer Lawson, Lillard is no slouch. Denver has actually been giving it up like crazy to the point guard position lately: they are allowing 44.04 FPPG to the position over the last 15 days which is third most in the NBA. Lillard actually averages two more PPG on the road but there’s nothing wrong with 20.2 PPG and 5.3 AST at home. Don’t be afraid to go with the two-headed monster at PG.

J.J. Hickson – $6,200 – Portland defends the center position the weakest of all position besides the point (which I already noted). They allow the 11th most points to the position, but more importantly, Hickson is averaging 14.0 PPG and 14.3 REB in his last four games. Faried has been quiet lately leaving Hickson as above and beyond the most consistent big man on the team. Against Robin Lopez’s weak resistance, expect another big double-double from JJ tonight.

Ryan Kelly – $3,400 – Recently, Mike D’Antoni promised he’d find Ryan Kelly some more minutes. Since making that promise, Kelly has played 30+ minutes in four straight games and produced 13+ points in the last three. For $3,400 in a short night, I don’t care if Miami is a top ten defense against both the SF and PF. If you can find a guy with 30+ minutes for $3,400, you almost have to take it…….especially if the guy can put the ball in the basket. The good news is that Kelly may stay on the floor even in the blowout to gain experience. I think the odds are pretty solid that he exceeds his tiny value so I will be taking a shot on him in all my lineups.

Others strongly worth considering: Robin Lopez, Mario Chalmers, Ray Allen and Randy Foye

That’s all for today’s notes, folks. If you have any further questions, feel free to hit me up on Twitter @RSandersFR.

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