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The Ultimate Daily Fantasy Football Guide: Week 13
Welcome to the Ultimate Daily Fantasy Football Guide… Turkey Day Edition! We are delivering the best value plays from each major Daily Fantasy Sports site each week. This week we are providing an Expert Roster specifically for a Turkey Day Play!
No more scouring Twitter for recommendations for your favorite DFS site… we’ve got them all! Well, we only have three sites this week (FanDuel, Draft Kings, Draft Street), but we will be adding more soon!
The Ultimate Daily Fantasy Football Guide will be broken up into three sections for each DFS site:
Top 3’s- These are the top 3 undervalued players for that DFS site. These guys are going to outperform their salary and lead you to tons of cash.
Stack Attacks- Looking for high upside plays? Stack these two players from the same team to double up on points this week. Great for large tournaments!
Expert Roster- This is a roster hand crafted by your DFS expert. This is where you’ll find your BONUS roster this week. Feel free to use or tinker with as you wish.
Blurbs of Reason (BOR) at the bottom of our Top 3’s and Expert Rosters. This will provide quick explanations of what our DFS experts are thinking. Enjoy!
Fan Duel
By Evan Hale, @EHaleYea
Top 3’s
QB
Tony Romo $9000 vs Oak
Cam Newton $8600 vs TB
Eli Manning $6500 @ Was
BOR: Romo and Newton face secondaries that have given up the 10th and 7th most fantasy points to quarterbacks. Washington’s defense is horrible, and their offense can’t stay on the field, Eli will have plenty of opportunity.
RB
Jamaal Charles $9600 vs Den
Rashad Jennings $6700 @ Dal- give up most fan pts to RB
C.J. Spiller $5700 vs Atl
BOR: Expecting KC to be in catch up mode, and Alex Smith loves to dump the ball off to Charles. Jennings faces the horrible Cowboys run D on Thanksgiving, and C.J. is coming off a bye against the Falcons who have mailed this season in.
WR
A.J. Green $8800 @ SD
Josh Gordon $8400 vs Jax
Alshon Jeffery $6200 @ Min
BOR: San Diego and Minnesota give up the 3rd and 6th most fantasy points to wide outs, so A.J. and Alshon will eat. Josh Gordon can’t be ignored anymore, especially against Jacksonville.
TE
Jordan Cameron $5700 vs Jax
Martellus Bennett $5400 @ Min
Jordan Reed $5500 vs NYG
BOR: Cameron plays Jacksonville who allows the most fantasy points to opposing tight ends and Martellus will benefit from Minnesota giving up the 5th most fantasy points to tight ends. RGIII clearly missed his security valve on Monday night and will welcome Reed back with open arms.
Stack Attacks
SF: Collin Kaepernick $7900 and Anquan Boldin $5900
Cle: Jason Campbell $5800 and Jordan Cameron $5700
Ari: Carson Palmer $7300 and Michael Floyd $6300
Turkey Day BONUS Expert Roster
$60K Salary Cap
QB: Tony Romo $9000
RB: Eddie Lacy $7500
RB: Rashad Jennings $6700
WR: Jarrett Boykin $6500
WR: Jerricho Cotchery $5000
WR: Calvin Johnson $10100
TE: Heath Miller $4700
K: David Akers $5000
Def: Dallas $5500
BOR: Romo faces a very giving Oakland secondary, and on the other side of the ball, Rashad Jennings will attack a very gracious Dallas front seven. Jennings’ and Lacy’s generous prices allow me to load up my wide receivers with Megatron and target monster Boykin.
Sunday ONLY Expert Roster
$60K Salary Cap
QB: Cam Newton $8600
RB: Jamaal Charles $9600
RB: C.J. Spiller $5700
WR: A.J. Green $8800
WR: Alshon Jeffery $6200
WR: Dwayne Bowe $5300
TE: Jordan Reed $5500
K: Robbie Gould $5000
D/ST: New England $5100
BOR: Cam Newton keeps progressing, and his salary is still manageable. Charles will eat against Denver, and catch a ton of balls out of the backfield this week. A.J. and Alshon have great matchups, and Bowe should get some involved in a shootout.
Draft Kings
By Eric Florin, @That_RedGuy
Top 3’s
QB:
E.J. Manuel vs. ATL $5,900
Ryan Fitzpatrick vs. IND $6,300
Josh McCown @MIN $6,400
BOR: I think many people forgot how well E.J. Manuel was playing before he was injured (averaging at least 16 fantasy points). Manuel did look shaky his first game back, but since that game he put up 22 fantasy points against the Jets and had a bye week, giving him time to shake off any potential rust. Need more to convince you? Fine, the Falcons defense has not given up less than 17 fantasy points to opposing QBs this season. I’ll repeat myself just in case. The Atlanta Falcons defense has not given up less than 17 fantasy points to opposing QBs this season. It’s always an awesome feeling when you are adamant about a player doing well, and then having them performs up to expectations. Just in case you missed the article last week, Fitzpatrick is adding on to his numbers now, averaging 268.6 passing yards over the past three games to go with six TDs. Oh, and the Colts have allowed multiple passing scores in four of the past five. As much as I love Fitzpatrick, my love for McCown has really shown. McCown is making his third appearance on my side of the Ultimate DFS guide. I can’t help it. He has produced, outscoring QBs like Brees, Stafford, and Peyton Manning last week. It helps that he has had great match ups, but that’s not changing this week either, the Vikings allow the third-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks.
RB:
Reggie Bush vs. GB $7,100
Giovani Bernard @SD $5,400
Fred Jackson vs. ATL $5,600
BOR: The Packers are allowing at least one touchdown to RB’s over the last five games, along with allowing an average of 150 yards on the ground the last four games. Bush will end his TD drought and get back in the end-zone. Giovani Bernard is a top 10 RB in a PPR format, and he is facing the Chargers, who have surrendered 129 yards per game this season to RBs and have surrendered seven rushing TD’s. Bernard is an absolute steal, as he is extremely undervalued. Fred Jackson production has tailed off quite a bit, and mainly because he has not rushed for TD in the last three games. It could be that he has hit a wall and his legs are giving on him. However, on the bright side Jackson is coming off a bye and is facing the Falcons who rank 25th good combination for low end RB1 numbers, making Jackson a great buy for your roster.
WR:
Victor Cruz @WAS $7,100
Percy Harvin vs. NO $4,500
Harry Douglas @BUF $6,500
BOR: Since week 7 Harry Douglas is second in receiving yards to you guessed it, Calvin Johnson. What I am trying to say here is that, since week 7, Harry Douglas is tearing it up. This is a bounce back game for Cruz. I know the Giants passing game have been extremely unreliable this season, but Cruz has been the one constant. It helps that they are facing the Redskins, who lead the league in missed tackles. Percy Harvin is a great boom/bust play this week. He is coming off a bye week, which allowed Harvin to get more in game shape making it likely that he will not be on a snap count against the Saints. The Saints have been pretty good against the pass this season, however the loss of Jabari Greer showed last Thursday against the Falcons.
TE:
Julius Thomas @KC $5,000
Jordan Reed vs. NYG $4,500
Ladarius Green vs. CIN $3,000
BOR: For many that don’t know, Ladarius Green has been the tight-end in waiting in SD. I suppose the Chargers got tired of waiting. Green has 80 yards in last two games, along with a TD last week. They are finding ways to get him involved, and that will continue. He is a good option to help you maximize your roster this week. For the other TE’s, Reed and Thomas, they have extremely cheap value because they did not play last week. You must make sure they are active, and if they are, get them into lineups.
Stack Attacks
CHI: Josh McCown $6,400 and Brandon Marshall $9,200 /Alson Jeffery $6,400
NYG: Eli Manning $6,300 and Victor Cruz $7,100/Rueben Randle $4,700
BUF: E.J. Manuel $5,900 and Robert Woods $3,400
BONUS Turkey Day Expert Roster
Salary 50k
QB: Tony Romo 7,700
RB: Reggie Bush 7,100
RB: Joique Bell 3,000
WR: Dez Bryant 7,700
WR: Calvin Johnson 10,600
TE: Mychal Rivera 3,000
FLEX: Rod Streater 4,300
D/ST: Detroit 2,500
K: David Akers 3,000
BOR: This roster is a little something special for our readers who are going to roll out a roster, on Thanksgiving Day. I had to absorb somewhat of hit at my RB2 spot to have Calvin in my lineup, but it was well worth it. Not only did I do this because I believe Calvin will do well, but mainly because I did not trust any of the other WRs. If you continue to read below you will find out about making sacrifices for your daily roster.
Expert Roster
Salary 50k
QB: E.J. Manuel 5,900
RB: Matt Forte 8,000
RB: Shane Vereen 6,500
WR: AJ Green 8,300
WR: Harry Douglas 6,500
TE: Mychal Rivera 3,000
FLEX: Giovani Bernard 5,400
K: Dan Carpenter 3,000
D/ST: Tennessee 2,300
BOR: Sometimes while making a DFS roster you have to make some sacrifices. There are three positions I am completely fine with making sacrifices at, TE, D/ST, and kicker. Unless you are rolling with Gronk or Graham, TE is a crap shoot. So I prefer to maximize my roster, and going with the TE that is least expensive, that I believe will get into the end-zone. While making this roster, I filled every position and I saved TE for last. I kept switching Harry Douglas in and out for Jordy Nelson, but in the end I like Douglas this week (check WR section).
Draft Street
By Andy Getrey, @PatsFever24
(All Top 3’s and Stack Attacks are for Turkey Day!)
Top 3’s
QB
Tony Romo vs Oak $13,993
Matt Stafford vs GB $16,585
Matt Flynn at Det $12,045
BOR: Turkey day is the Matt & Tony show for you fantasy fanatics. Romo & Stafford have been top 10 all year. Their high salaries are no worry as I expect them to carve up their opponents and make turkeys out of them. Flynn saved Green Bay’s season last week as he came off the bench to throw for 218 yards and a touchdown.
RB
DeMarco Murray $11,286 vs Oak
Eddie Lacy $11,373 at Det
Rashad Jennings $11,179 at Dal
BOR: Lacy has been the fantasy draft steal of the year. He is a top 5 back averaging almost 26 fantasy points a game since his week 4 bye. His reasonable salary against a weak running defense makes him a very tasty pick. Jennings has been one of the hottest backs the last 4 weeks averaging almost 28 fantasy points a game. Facing a very poor run defense expect another top 10 performance. Murray is only one of 2 backs averaging over 5 yards per carry. Expect the same as he faces a very weak run defense.
WR
Dez Bryant $13,415 vs Oak
Nate Burleson $8,754 vs GB
Antonio Brown $11,630 at Bal
BOR: Brown and Bryant’s high salaries are justified as they have been top 10 receivers all season. The combination of playing poor pass defenses and high projections make this dynamic duo a turkey day treat. Brown leads the league in catches he and is a PPR monster. Burleson came back from injury with a bang last week producing 77 yards and a touchdown. With his reasonable salary against a weak passing defense Nate could be the sleeper pick on turkey day.
TE
Jason Witten vs Oakland $8,609
Heath Miller at Baltimore $5,889
Joseph Fauria vs Green Bay $2,100
BOR: Witten is starting to come on again. Against a very poor passing defense expect him to be the Thanksgivings top TE. Miller is Big Ben’s safety net. Fauria, the TD machine, has 6 TD’S with only 11 catches. I expect the TD machine to catch another. In a position like Tight End, that can usually take your roster from a bust to a boom.
Stack Attack
Dal: Tony Romo $13,99 and Jason Witten $8,609
Det: Matt Stafford $16,585 and Nate Burleson $8,754
Pit: Ben Roethlisberger $12,128 and Antonio Brown $11,630
Turkey Day Expert Roster
$100,000 Salary Cap
QB: Matt Flynn $12,045
QB: Tony Romo $13,993
RB: DeMarco Murray $11,286
RB: Eddie Lacy $11,373
WR: Antonio Brown $11,630
WR: Nate Burleson $8,754
TE: Joseph Faurina $2,100
FLEX: Rashad Jennings $11,179
FLEX: Reggie Bush $12,137
D/ST: Dallas $5,335
Total: $99,772
BOR: Fauria’s insanely low salary allow’s me to stack the 4 top RB’S on turkey day. When you can set your line up with the 4 top running backs, top quarterback, top wide receiver, and top defense playing on Thanksgiving, get ready to hit your pot of fantasy gold.
Again, special thanks to Eric (@That_RedGuy), Evan (@EHaleYea), and Andy (@PatsFever24)!