NFC North Week 12 Fantasy Preview

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at DETROIT LIONS

 

Matt Stafford

Stafford had one good quarter last week. He still finished with 362 passing yards and 2 TDs, which would have been a lot more if he hadn’t missed on 3 long (potential TD) passes. The Buccaneers have given up the 6th most fantasy points to opposing QBs, and Stafford is poised for another huge game. Over 300 yards and at least 2 TDs should be in order. He’s a top-3 option this week.

 

Reggie Bush

Bush was seemingly benched last week, presumably for fumble issues. However, prior to that, he hadn’t exactly been doing much, as the Steelers focused on taking him out of the game. However, his day could have ended much differently had Stafford not overthrown him on what would have been a long TD. It may be hard to trust him this week, but we still like him as a top-10 option, with over 100 total yards.

 

Calvin Johnson

Calvin is a monster. Calvin is the best player at his position in the league, in both real life and fantasy football. Calvin should be the top point scorer again this week. Over 100 yards and a TD should be in order, as always.

 

Kris Durham / Nate Burleson

Both of these guys are desperation plays this week, because beyond Bush and Calvin, it’s too difficult to guess where the targets in Detroit are going. Neither is likely to go beyond 50 yards.

 

Joe Fauria / Brandon Pettigrew

Removing his week 6 explosion, Fauria has averaged 1.8 points per game. Avoid. Per ESPN, Stafford has targeted Pettigrew at least 5 times in all but 1 game this season. He’s managed to convert that into an average of 3.3 points per game. Avoid.

 

MINNESOTA VIKINGS at GREEN BAY PACKERS

 

Scott Tolzien

So, Tolzien has underwhelmed in his two starts this season. Perhaps that will be rectified when he faces a Vikings giving up the second most fantasy points to opposing QBs. When he has weapons at his disposal and a tasty matchup, Tolzien is in solid QB2 territory. Over 250 yards and 2 TDs seems a reasonable expectation, albeit with multiple turnovers.

 

Minnesota QBs

The Vikings seem to have started some strange kind of “quarterback by committee” situation, rotating players in and out as the game progresses. Avoid at all, all costs.

 

Eddie Lacy

Lacy was mainly disappointing last week, averaging under two yards per carry. He also scored a TD, which left him with a respectable fantasy total. He should get back on track this week against the Vikings, and should approach 100 total yards and a TD. He’s reached the level where that can be expected every week.

 

Adrian Peterson

Peterson hasn’t been himself this season, and is still the 5th highest scoring RB. Given the fears after his monster season last year, Peterson has performed admirably. As always, he’s a top-3 option at the position, and can be pencilled in for 100 yards and a TD.

 

Jordy Nelson

 

So Tolzien hasn’t been setting the world alight, but last week he and Nelson showed some rapport, with Jordy finishing with 8 catches for 117 yards. This week we like him to score, and add around 80 yards. He’s a top-10 option at the position, like every week.

 

Jarrett Boykin

Boykin and Tolzien continue to show they are on the same page, and Boykin continues to be in the (low-end) WR2 discussion. Against a porous Vikings secondary, he should continue his production and record around 80-90 yards.

 

James Jones

Jones is too dependent on big plays to start without an elite QB. With Rodgers on the field, he’s a threat to score on any play. Without Rodgers, his chances of a long score diminish greatly, and he’s far from a possession receiver. Start him at your own risk.

 

Greg Jennings

After Jennings’ tirade against the Packers (and strangely Rodgers, specifically), he’s hugely underperformed, particularly against his old team, finishing with one catch for 9 yards in his first meeting with the Pack. If he breaks 50 yards this week, we’d be VERY surprised.

 

Jerome Simpson / Cordarrelle Patterson

Simpson might not play, and if he does, it’ll likely be on a snap count due to his recent off the field troubles. Patterson has seen his role increase lately, but the Vikings’ passing attack is just so toothless that it’s next to impossible to trust any player involved.

 

Brandon Bostick

Last week against the Giants, Bostick caught his only target for 26 yards. His role in the offense is still undetermined, but he’s a much more viable fantasy consideration than Andrew Quarless, due to his added dynamism. He’s still not a viable starter.

 

John Carlson

Since replacing Kyle Rudolph two weeks ago, Carlson has been more involved than “The Red Zone Reindeer” outside of the red zone. He’s a safe bet for between 50 and 80 yards, and has an above average chance to score this week.

 

 

CHICAGO BEARS at Saint Louis Rams

 

Josh McCown

Since McCown will play the whole game (barring some absolutely unforseen circumstance), he’s an absolutely worthwhile start. He’s performed admirably when he has played, and whether it’s due to him or Trestman more, we #degenerates really don’t care. McCown sits just outside QB1 territory this week.

 

Matt Forte

Hooray! Forte bounced back from his disappointing game in week 10 and had another big game (18 non-PPR points) against a good Ravens defense. This week, he faces the Rams, who have given up the 3rd most points to opposing RBs. Forte should record around 120 total yards and a TD this week, and is a top-3 option.

 

Brandon Marshall

Marshall was disappointing last week, but most players (outside of Ray Rice, strangely) were. It’s easy to think that Marshall is having a down year, but he’s the #5 non-PPR wideout on the season. Continue to roll him out as so, and expect a baseline of 80 yards and a TD.

 

Alshon Jeffery

Alshon is challenging Josh Gordon as our “WR2 with the highest upside in the league”. He’s been exceptional this season, and his talent is too much to bench against any team, much less a soft Rams secondary. He should have at least 80 yards and is a better than 50-50 shot to score.

 

Martellus Bennett

For the first time this season, Bennett ranks outside our top-12 tight ends for the week. He’s faded after a bright start, and that shows no signs of changing at the minute. We’d love to be wrong, because Bennett has shown he can be a top-5 option at the position, but his ceiling at the minute seems to be capped at 50 yards. Avoid using him if you can.

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