AFC West Fantasy Preview: Week 11

AFC West Preview Week 11

 

Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos (Sunday 8.30pm ET)

Peyton Manning will score you top 5 QB points, even against a D like Kansas. Don’t hesitate to start him this week.

Knowshon Moreno has only had two sub 10 pt performances all season and they came in weeks 1 and 3. Since then he’s been consistent on the ground and he’s only 15 points behind Jamaal Charles in non-PPR scoring. Keep him in your lineup whilst he’s giving you solid production.

Demaryius Thomas and Wes Welker both have 9 receiving TDs, tied with Calvin Johnson as the most for WRs. Start either of them as WR1s and Eric Decker is a legitimate WR2 with WR1 upside. You can’t really lose with these guys.

Demaryius Thomas is now the 3rd highest scoring WR in fantasy after a huge week 10 effort – photo from www.cbssports.com

Julius Thomas also has 9 TD catches as well as the 3rd most receiving yards among TEs. He does not rely on TDs but they do boost his value. Fact is he gets both in abundance and I’d expect top 10 numbers every week as a bare minimum. This week he’s sure to get at least 6-10 points.

Broncos D/ST are a top 12 fantasy defence this week.

 

Alex Smith was poor in his last outing against a very easy Defence. This week he will be under pressure from the off and I can’t see Kansas relying on lots of passing to win them this game unless they fall behind early to a big score (even v Manning that isn’t likely). He threw the ball for just 124 yards and set season lows in all relevant categories. This week I can see him getting 10-14 points so start him accordingly.

Jamaal Charles is one of the most reliable fantasy RBs out there. Start him this week in all leagues and formats.

Dwayne Bowe will start this week despite his arrest. I’d be more concerned as a dynasty owner, but Bowe can only offer you flex points at best in this offence.

No Chiefs TE is offering any fantasy relevance this year. Best avoided.

Chiefs D/ST are only worth benching occasionally, and this may be a good time to do so. If you can find a Jets, Panthers or Cardinals on the waiver wire I’d plug them in for this week, otherwise stick with what you’ve go and hope for the best.

 

 

San Diego Chargers @ Miami Dolphins (Sunday 4.05 ET)

 

Philip Rivers was very average in a game I felt he would excel in. Against the ‘Fins he is going to have a rough ride as they possess good pass rushers and a competent secondary. The key to Rivers’ fantasy production is down to volume and if he throws the ball 40+ times he’s going to rack up yards and points. I’d peg Rivers as a QB8-12 this week.

Ryan Mathews and Danny Woodhead managed to combine for a decent fantasy score last week and this time they are playing a defence that cannot stop anybody running on them. Start both as mid range RB2s this week, I can see at least one of them finding the end zone and they should get over 120 yards on the ground between them.

Can Mathews score double digit fantasy points 2 weeks in a row? I think so against this run Defence – photo from www.zimbio.com

Keenan Allen was really disappointing last time out but I still like him for the rest of the season. Against the Dolphins he may struggle a little though as they have only allowed one receiving TD to WRs all year. Allen should be able to get close to 100 yards anyway so I’d be happy with him as a high flex option in 12 team leagues.

Antonio Gates has been very quiet of late, in fact his average since week 5 is just 5 fantasy points. There are definitely better TE options out there but Gates does have that undoubted upside that can explode at any moment. He should score between 4-8 points this week in my book.

Chargers D/ST drop them now.

 

 

Oakland Raiders @ Houston Texans (Sunday 1.00pm ET)

Introducing rookie QB Matt McGloin – photo from justblogbaby.com

Terelle Pryor had another stinker, and I’m starting to think my faith in him was at the least premature, and at worst misguided. Long term I do believe he has a future, just so long as the Raiders improve their OL. Pryor’s legs will give him QB1 upside every week, but be aware he is a risky play. This week he is questionable to start and Matt McGloin might make an appearance. If Pryor plays then you should only expect 6-10 points from him, McGloin even less so.

Darren McFadden is out this week and all but done in Oakland. Rashad Jennings was reasonable against a poor defence last week and I think he’s going to get significant game time and carries for the rest of the season. This week he’s likely to see an even higher workload as McGloin is probably going to be under-center. Jennings is looking at a 12-16 points haul I’d think, so long as he gets a 4 YPC or higher.

Denarius Moore will lose value this week if Pryor is out. He will still see 10+ targets no doubt, but the Texans secondary have been brutal to WRs this year and Moore will be frustrated. Moore is looking at a sub 6 point performance I think this week. Mychal Rivera is not ownable in any but the deepest leagues. Avoid him and all Raiders TEs.

Raiders D/ST shouldn’t be owned or started.

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