AFC East Week 11 Fantasy Preview

 

Jets @ Bills

Chris Ivory: If you own a lot of stock in the Jets offensive players you will be less than pleased to know that I think Ivory is the only Jet offensive player you can bet on to be fantasy relevant this week. In two of his last three starts Ivory has rushed for over 100 yards and in week nine against the Saints Ivory had 34 carries, which is more than significant, and he rushed for 139 yards. The Bills defense is allowing on average 117.3 rushing yards per game but have only given up two rushing touchdowns in ten games. This isn’t the easiest matchup for Ivory but he is getting warmed up now and with the Jets receivers being what they are this year the Jets don’t really have anyone else that comes close to being fantasy relevant in my humble opinion.

Nick Folk: In week nine against the Saints Folk went four for four in field goals and in his last three games has ten field goals and has not missed a field goal in 23 attempts this season. Yes he’s a kicker, but someone has to score points for the Jets this week.

Bills

Fred Jackson: The Jets are only allowing 73.8 rushing yards per game and have given up only five rushing touchdowns this season. Last week Jackson rushed for only 55 yards on 12 carries against the Steelers, hasn’t rushed for 100 yards yet this season and has been shut out of the end zone for two straight games. The good news is he’s scored six touchdowns this season and co-number one running back C.J. Spiller is apparently still dealing with an ankle injury and has been one of the biggest busts of the season to this point so Jackson will get his carries and it’s always possible he scores but it’s risky.

Marquise Goodwin: Starting receivers Steve Johnson and Robert Woods are both dealing with injuries and may not be on the field this week. If that happens Goodwin would make a nice sleeper if you’re in a deep league or feel like gambling. The Jets are giving up 251.4 passing yards per game and have allowed 17 passing touchdowns this season. In week nine against the Chiefs Goodwin had two receptions for 64 yards and one touchdown which was the second of his season. If you own Goodwin keep your ears open for news concerning the availability of Johnson and Woods this week…then place your bet if you’re feeling lucky.

Scott Chandler: Like Goodwin, Chandler is another risky play this week. He’s hovering outside the circle of trust this season having only scored twice and his last two games have done nothing to change his position. Week nine he only had three receptions for 26 yards and last week almost matched those numbers. If you’re dead set on using Chandler the silver lining is in week three he finished with five receptions on six targets for 79 yards and one touchdown against these very Jets and the Jets are giving up 62 yards per game and have allowed six touchdowns to tight ends through nine games.

Dolphins vs Chargers

Ryan Tanney-hill: Tannehill is just barely squeaking into this fantasy relevant preview and hopefully you’ve got better options this week but if not Tannehill is at least serviceable against the Chargers. The Chargers are ranked 28th in pass defense allowing 279.6 yards per game and have given up 14 passing touchdowns this season. Last week Tannehill went 27 or 42 for 229 yards and two touchdowns and now has 13 passing touchdowns in nine games.

Lamar Miller/Daniel Thomas: Uggghh! This is one to the worst rushing teams in the NFL. Last week they BOTH rushed for zero yards. Let’s move on.

Rishard Matthews: Slot receiver Brandon Gibson was placed on injured reserve with a knee injury but was receiving eight targets per game when he got hurt. Enter Matthews who last week exploded onto the fantasy relevant stage finishing with 11 receptions on 14 targets for 120 yards and two touchdowns. I’m in the camp that advises not to chase fantasy points but with Gibson on the shelf for the season and Wallace and Hartline being less than desirable week to week Matthews should retain his some fantasy luster going forward. Having said that be reasonable in your expectations for Matthews this is still a pretty bad offense in general.

Brian Hartline/Mike Wallace: Hartline hasn’t scored a touchdown since week three but if you’re happy with around 40 or 50 yards and four receptions he’s your guy. Wallace hasn’t scored since week two and although he’s gone over 100 yards receiving in two of nine games this season he’s just not getting it done for fantasy purposes. Wallace is one of the fastest receivers in the league but this isn’t a track meet and last week he had four receptions for 15 yards to prove it. They are facing the 28th ranked passing defense if that is any consolation so there is a chance things improve this week but are you willing to put all your chips in on that?

Patiots @ Panthers

Tom Brady: The Panther’s pass defense is ranked 4th giving up only 201.3 yards per game and have only allowed 7 passing touchdowns through nine games but Brady is coming off his best performance of the season passing for 432 yards and four touchdowns against the Steelers 5th ranked pass defense. Brady has only had two games over 300 yards this year and thrown 13 touchdowns thus far but he’s got tight end Rob Gronkowski and receiving running back Shane Vereen back so things are definitely trending upward for Brady and the Patriot offense. Tough matchup for sure but he’s hard to sit even against a very good Panthers defense.

Steven Ridley: In Ridley’s last four games he’s rushed for 340 yards and six touchdowns and last week against the Steelers he had whopping 26 carries. Having said that there are a couple factors involved this week that might slow Ridley’s momentum. Running back Shane Vereen is healthy and will play this week and the most important factor comes in the form of a #2 ranked Panther rushing defense which is allowing a mere 82 yards per game and has given up only two rushing touchdowns. This is risky business for Ridley this week.

Shane Vereen: After a nine week recovery from a wrist injury Vereen is finally ready to blow the dust off this week. Vereen gave us a sampling of what could have been for the last nine weeks rushing for 101 yards on 14 carries and seven receptions for 58 yards in week one against the Bills. He faces all the defensive pitfalls that Steven Ridley does this week against the #2 ranked Panther rushing defense but at least he will be able to catch dump off and swing passes to avoid the stout front four of the Panthers and hopefully find some open space to showcase the speed and running ability we saw in week one.

Rob Gronkowski: In week nine Gronkowski finished with nine receptions on ten targets for 143 yards and one touchdown. Now he’s had a bye week to get even healthier and if there’s a chink in the Panther’s defensive armor it’s against opposing tight ends who have scored a touchdown in four of the last six games. Quarterback Tom Brady loves throwing to Gronkowski and targets him in the red zone and end zone before looking elsewhere and it usually ends in a touchdown. In his first game back Gronkowski was targeted 17 times and had eight receptions for 114 yards. Do I need to go on? I didn’t think so, start him and don’t look back.

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