AFC South Week 9 Preview

A week where I don’t have to write about Jacksonville is a good week…..haha. It’s seriously frustrating when MJD shouldn’t have a good week, then has a decent week and beats you in 2 leagues. A nice divisional match up this week with Indy heading into Houston and Tennessee gets to head into St. Louis who almost surprised the mighty Seahawks. Let’s get into it!

Tennessee at St. Louis

Jake Locker had a nice game two weeks ago before his bye. His improved play is going to benefit the players around him, but I don’t know that you’re starting him. Maybe in a really deep league, but the Rams rank 12th against the pass (227 yards per game) though they have given up 14 passing TDs this season. There’s some potential for a good game, but you’d have to be a gambler to start him.

CJ2K (I may be the only one still calling him that) had a poor rushing game before the bye, but he did get involved in the passing game with a long TD catch and run. That salvaged an otherwise poor performance. The problem was that Tennessee was out of this game at halftime which is why CJ2K didn’t get a lot of carries. This week it should be closer, so I expect CJ2K to have a decent game. St. Louis is 23rd against the run, however they did just shut down Marshawn Lynch. Be wary, but there’s a lot of upside this week in my books.

Kendall Wright has emerged as the Titans clear #1 option. With 9 receptions and 98 yards two weeks ago, he also looks like Jake Locker’s favourite target. As I mentioned above, the Rams pass defense is fairly solid, but I like Wright in this game. I figure he is going to get a ton of targets and hopefully that leads to a lot of yards and a score. Delanie Walker found the endzone and had a good TE week in the last game the Titans played. His only issue is lack of work, just 5 targets in this game. I feel that if the Titans aren’t behind (or even ahead) in this game, Locker won’t be throwing a ton so there won’t be a lot of work for Walker. He’s really only going to have a good week if he scores a TD – probably better options out there. Britt and Hunter weren’t involved a lot in this game, but Nate Washington had 10 targets, something to monitor this week and the next couple of weeks. I don’t think he does well this week as he’s been sort of boom or bust, but if he keeps getting targets he may be a low end bye week fill in type WR. Wow that was a mouthful #LowEndByeWeekFillinTypeWR haha.

Indianapolis at Houston

Case Keenum has been named the starter in this game. Indy is decent against the pass (12th in the league, just 8 TDs in 7 games through the air) and if you’re thinking about starting Keenum, you’re likely very desperate. He may improve, but his situation is similar to Jake Locker; wouldn’t start him but if he improves, it helps the guys around him. Andrew Luck had a very good game against a weak Denver pass defense two weeks ago – but he may have more trouble this week. Houston ranks 1st against the pass, though they have given up 10 TDs in 7 games this year. I think if you have Luck you’re going to start him and ride the roller coaster that he has been this season, but I would temper expectations.

Good news for the Running Backs in this game – both teams are awful against the run! Indy ranks 28th against the run giving up 122 yards per game and Houston ranks 27th against the run giving up 121 yards per game. Both teams however have given up less than 1 TD on the ground per game.  Indy loves to run the ball –  they run it 28 times per game on average. Good news for Trent Richardson who has struggled this year. This may be the game he can (finally) break out. Looking to the Texans’ running backs, I think whichever one of Foster and Tate is starting, you’re starting. Monitor reports on their injuries and hopefully you have Tate if you drafted Foster. Houston also runs the ball 28 times on average per game, so if Foster is healthy enough to start, play him. If Tate is starting and Foster inactive, play him. Whoever starts is going to have a good game, its just a matter of which of the two is going to be active in this game.

Andre Johnson had a bit of a down game before the bye week. Hopefully he can get some chemistry with Keenum over the bye week and get back to putting up his usual numbers. He still had that yards (89) but he only had 4 receptions which is unlike him. Keenum was spreading the ball around though, with 6 different players catching the ball at least twice. DeAndre Hopkins I will continue to say isn’t worth starting if you’re in a normal sized league. Deeper league maybe, but even then I think there’s a lot of better options. Garrett Graham since taking over for Daniels has only had 5 receptions for 63 yards in 2 games. I don’t like his chances this week, I definitely think there are better options.

That loss of Reggie Wayne sucked…..plain and simple. Just want to take a minute here and say that he’s one of my favourite players ever and I hated seeing him go down with a torn ACL and losing the rest of his season. All the best to Reggie, I’ll be waiting for your return next year! Anyways – TY Hilton gets a huge boost with Wayne being out. I figure he is going to see a lot of targets the rest of the year. This is a really tough match up for the Colts pass catchers however. I think you start TY and probably Darrius Heyward-Bey, but don’t expect huge games. I think there will be a lot of running in this game, especially by the Colts. DHB gets a good bump in value as well with Wayne done for the year, but he’s been somewhat unimpressive this year (similar to the rest of his career). He did have his best game of the year against Denver, finally finding the endzone, so that’s something to look at going forward. I think there’s better options this week but DHB could be a good add/stash for the coming weeks. Coby Fleener is another guy who gets a good boost in value (its like there’s a trend or something here….haha) who could be a sneaky play this week if you’re desperate at TE. He hasn’t been putting up the huge yardage numbers, but he does have 3 TDs this year.

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