AFC South Week 6

Lots of potential this week for this division……lots of garbage time points to be had for the Jaguars! Indy goes out west on Monday night against a weak Chargers D, Houston gets to avenge their loss last week against the lowly Rams and Tennessee…..well they get one of the best defenses in football, at home, after their maddening loss against the Colts. Let’s check it out!

St. Louis at Houston

Matt Schaub looks awful…..as I said in the Touch-Ception podcast, Schaub might be 1 pick-6 away from becoming the next Josh Freeman. I’m not starting him this week, even if St. Louis gives up a lot through the air. They’ve given up 11 passing TDs in 5 games, so Schaub could have a good game. However, I also could see him struggling again and likely throwing a pick or two against the Rams’ two solid corners.

I’m starting Arian Foster this week, obviously. He’s had a couple of good weeks now and the Rams are 27th against the run this season. After giving up 70 yards to MJD last week and getting torched by the 49ers the week before, I think Foster is in for a huge game with at least 1 score on the ground, not to mention he will likely be involved in the passing game a little bit.

Andre Johnson had a very down game last week, but an encouraging sign is that he still saw 10 targets in a blowout loss. I think Houston is going to control this game from the start and I like Andre to be a big part of that. He likely won’t have any huge plays but they could use him in shorter passing routes to move the ball and control the clock along with their running game. In PPR he’s going to be very good and in standard you almost have to hope for a score. Maybe this will be the week…..maybe. DeAndre Hopkins was scarcely involved last week and I think that will continue. He has a chance for a TD which would help, but I see the Texans using the run and shorter passes to Andre/Graham a lot this week. I don’t like him except in deeper leagues. Garrett Graham has a real opportunity here – he is the 13th ranked TE in standard and PPR, with Owen Daniels IN the lineup. Now that he’s out for 8 weeks, he will most definitely be a TE1 going forward. He has 3 TDs in 4 games played so far; I like him this week against a weak defense and the fact that he is going to be on the field for a ton of snaps. Schaub is going to look for him to move the chains and in the red zone.

Tennessee at Seattle

Insert players I don’t like playing Seattle here. Yeah sorry, I stole that joke from Matthew Berry. But honestly, you’re not starting Fitzpatrick unless your other choices are Matt Cassel and Blaine Gabbert – and even then I don’t know. Luck had a good week but was helped by a blown coverage huge play TD last week for 73 yards.

Here are the leading rushers (RBs only) the past four weeks against this Seattle defense: 56 yards, 102 yards (on 27 carries, 3.8 YPC), 43 yards and 16 yards. I don’t like CJ2K this week one bit. I don’t see Tenneesee being close in this game, so I’m sitting CJ2K this week. Unless you’re really desperate or are decimated by injuries, I’m looking for another option. His stat line last week was inflated by a big receiving TD that was a horrible desperation dump off from Fitz that he managed to turn into a long TD. Don’t see that happening again and I don’t see a huge run happening against this stout Seahawks D. It was encouraging to see CJ2K involved in the passing game more (4 receptions), so that’s something to monitor as the season moves on.

The Titans passing game struggled against a solid Chiefs D last week and I expect them to be even worse against the Seattle secondary that is 3rd against the pass. They have given up 1 TD per game through the air, but they’ve shut down offenses better than this Titans offense.  If you’re starting one guy, its likely Kendall Wright. He was the most involved last week and I think that will continue. Nate Washington looks like a 1-2 week wonder and Kenny Britt is Kenny Britt. Don’t wait on Delanie Walker because he is a minor part of this offense. Don’t like any of these guys this week especially, but if you’re desperate I think Wright has the best week.

Jacksonville at Denver

This game is probably going to be over at half time. I mean come on, Jacksonville is a 28 (give or take) point underdog against Peyton and Co. That means there is lots of potential for garbage time points for the receivers. I like both Justin Blackmon (especially after his showing last week) and Cecil Shorts this week to have lots of receptions, yards and probably both hit the end zone against the league’s worst pass defense in terms of yards. I’m going to take a shot in the dark and say they give up the most yards in the air because they are always ahead (by a lot) so teams are passing to try and catch up and they’re playing relaxed defense (again just a guess, don’t know if that’s on the right track, haha).

If Denver is dominating this game, I don’t expect a lot from MJD. Denver is 1st against the run, though they have given up 1 rushing TD per game so far. MJD is averaging 16 touches per game which just isn’t enough to be worth a start, especially in a game where the Jags are going to probably pass 80 times.

Passing 80 times you say? I should start Chad Henne right?! Wrong. Do not bother with him unless you’re playing in a league where you want terrible QBs. He might be able to throw a couple TDs solely because Denver will have their practice squad in – and even then I don’t know if they’ll be able to score.

Indianapolis at San Diego

I like just about everyone playing for Indy this week against the Chargers. Luck had an awesome week last week against a tough Seattle D. Even though he’s on the road on Monday night, I think he will throw for at least 3 TDs against the Chargers secondary. They’ve given up 10 TDs in 5 games so far while facing not so great passers.

San Diego must be good against the run if they’re no good against the pass right? Wrong! Start Trent Richardson this week – San Diego is 24th against the run this year in terms of yards and give up 4.9 yards per carry (4th worst in the league). Yes Donald Brown had a goal line carry and yes San Diego has only given up 2 rushing TDs but Indy loves to run the ball and with Bradshaw likely out for the season, they’re gonna run run run with T-Rich.

TY Hilton looks like the big play guy nowadays, with Reggie Wayne taking on a different role. I like both a lot in this game as well. Heyward-Bey I’m way down on and I still don’t know what to think of Fleener. DHB didn’t have a catch last week but still had 6 targets and Fleener was involved very little. I’m continuing to wait on Fleener to see if he can break out but I’m not waiting much longer. Wayne and Hilton are the pass catchers you want in this game and going forward.

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