AFC South Week 5

Kansas City at Tennessee

I think this Chiefs team is definitely legit. Their offense is rolling with their Dunkin Donuts west coast playbook and their defense looks like it is real. Fitzpatrick never really impressed me in Buffalo and now he has some younger guys he is throwing to. I don’t like his prospects this week against this KC secondary that has been solid thus far. Not starting him unless I have no other options. The Chiefs have a very good pass rush with Houston getting after the QB as well.

CJ2K continues to be unimpressive both in the run game and the passing game. This defense did give up a lot of yards to Shady McCoy, but that was on a short week on the road and CJ2K isn’t even close to McCoy. I expect KC to be ahead in this game so I don’t like CJ2K a lot this week. To be honest, I won’t like him until he manages to put up over 100 yards on less than 20 carries and manages to find the end zone at least once. This Chiefs defense kept David Wilson under wraps for the most part (yes he’s been terrible so far but still) so I’m out on Chris Johnson.

It’s tough to gauge how the WRs are going to do this week: Fitz hasn’t played much with them, they are young and inexperienced, and the Titans so far have spread the ball around (last week nobody had more than 5 receptions). Kendall Wright has looked fairly decent the past couple of weeks, so if he can find the end zone he should have a solid week. Nate Washington found the end zone twice last week, but one was a long play in which he ran over the official. I don’t expect that to continue and I think last week was somewhat fluky. Justin Hunter found the end zone again but that was his only catch. Bottom line, I’m not starting these guys unless I have to and I would rank them: Washington, Wright, Walker, Hunter.

Seattle at Indianapolis

Luck finally had a good game last week…..albeit against a rough Jags team. I am maybe looking to a better match up this week for a QB if you own Luck; I don’t think he will have a good game. Schaub had a decent game last week but this defense has held Newton and Kaepernick under wraps so I expect much of the same for Luck.

Trent Richardson will continue to get better in this offense, but I don’t like him this week. I’m expecting a down game in week 5. Even though Foster had a good game, he only averaged 3.8 per carry and he had 27 carries which I don’t expect Trent to have this week. I would look to another option if you’re in a shallow league, but for most you have to start Trent but he looks like a let-down this week.

This Seahawks secondary is likely the best in the league and so with Reggie Wayne and T.Y. Hilton/Darrius Heyward-Bey matching up against Sherman and Browner, I don’t like their prospects this week. If Seattle gets way up in this game, there are always garbage time points to be had. I don’t know if that will happen because Indy’s defense has played half decent as of late, but you never know what to expect when Marshawn Lynch is running in a dome. I’m starting Wayne but not expecting much and I’m looking for a better option if I own DHB or TY Hilton. Fleener showed promise last week, but the safeties of Seattle are both very big and good with coverage which is bad for Fleener. I’m looking to another option if I own him.

Jacksonville at St. Louis

The only reason I might start MJD this week is because Gore ran all over this defense last week. That being said, the Jaguars just traded their starting left tackle so I don’t like his prospects this week. If you have a better option, go with them. I’m not expecting much for MoJo this week because the passing game isn’t much of a threat with Gabbert under center. (DON’T BOTHER WITH GABBERT)

Justin Blackmon finally comes back…..and gets to face Cortland Finnegan! I’m waiting on Blackmon personally because Gabbert sucks and he’s likely a little bit rusty. I want to see what he does before I plug him into my lineup. Really not expecting much from him or Shorts. Jacksonville hasn’t managed many points so far this year and I expect that trend to continue against a St. Louis defense that is better than it played last week. There’s always garbage time potential so if you want to gamble on that, best of luck.

Houston at San Francisco

I’m expecting this game to be a defensive struggle and be somewhat low scoring. I think the only reason I would start Foster is because the game won’t get out of hand and he will likely get another 25-30 touches in this game. With the exception of the game against Indy, the 49ers rush defense has been stingy. Lynch managed 98 yards against them, but he only had a 3.5 YPC. Foster will likely find the end zone, but hope that Brown returns at LT for the Texans.

As I expect this is going to be a lot of running and defense, I don’t like Schaub a lot this week. I don’t see him throwing 40 times unless the game gets out of hand, which I don’t think will happen. In the exception of Aaron Rodgers (who I think is pretty match up proof) this 49ers defense has held the opposing QBs to low scoring fantasy games. I’m looking to the waiver wire for someone to start over Schaub if he’s my only option this week.

Andre Johnson still has not found the end zone but he is still putting up decent numbers (especially in PPR). I expect much of the same in this game – a ton of receptions and a ton of yards.

Owen Daniels I think will get a few catches and some yards but ultimately you have to hope for a short TD for him to be a good start this week for you. DeAndre Hopkins looks like the number 3 pass catcher (or even further down if you include Foster) so I don’t see much value for him except in deeper leagues or if you desperately need him. If Schaub isn’t throwing the ball a ton (as I expect) I don’t see these guys being of a ton of value this week. Look for better options other than Johnson if you have them.

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