If you’ve been doing your due diligence with draft preparation, most likely you’ve come across numerous deep sleeper articles recommending everyone from Antonio Brown to James Brown as late round sleepers to target in your draft.
The problem is a good portion of the players being endorsed have ADPs (average draft positions) above round 10 and are not what I would label as late round flyers.
I’m going to assume most of you play in 10 or 12 team leagues with 16 rounds, so let’s concentrate on what value there is deep in a 16 round draft. Deep means the 12th round or later in leagues this size.
• Ryan Broyles – Detroit Lions: (ADP 10 team 13.10-12 team 11.10) Broyles has had an uphill battle recovering from two ACL tears in as many years, and is now rehabilitating trying to be ready for training camp. Broyles showed what he is capable of in week 12 last season snagging six receptions for 129 yards against a pretty stout Houston defense. But with Nate Burleson going into training camp almost 100% recovered from a broken leg suffered last season, Broyles will have to be healthy and have a good showing to hold him off and secure the number 2 spot.
• Chris Givens – St. Louis Rams: (ADP 10 team 15.03-12 team 12.11) The Rams drafted Brian Quick in the second round of the 2012 draft hoping he would quickly adapt to the NFL game, but fourth round pick Chris Givens was able to see more playing time than Brian Quick and out produced him by a wide margin. He was targeted 80 times, which is considerable for a rookie, and managed almost 700 yards receiving and three touchdowns. He has good chemistry with Sam Bradford and if he takes a step forward in his second year his upside is considerable.
• Golden Tate – Seattle Seahawks: (ADP 10 team 15.06-12 team 13.02) The acquisition of Percy Harvin in the off-season had Tate scratching his head wondering what his role would be. But according to head coach Pete Carroll there will be enough at the trough for all. Having scored seven total touchdowns and finishing strong last season Tate appears ready to take the next step, “Golden is really ready to be a terrific football player,” Carroll said, “We love what he does, and we just have to get him the ball more and spread it around to him”. With Tate out wide and Harvin attracting lots of attention from the slot, look for Tate to eclipse his 2012 targets, receptions and touchdowns in 2013.
• Rueben Randle – New York Giants: (ADP 10 team 16.01-12 team 14.04) I could rattle off Randles 2012 stats to influence you, but with only 19 receptions and 250 snaps from scrimmage, his inexperience could sway you the opposite direction. Having said that, he is very talented, has good size (6’3-210 pounds) and has an impressive team leading 15.7 YPC (yards-per-catch average). Offensive coordinator Kevin Gilbride has been impressed with his performance at OTAs, “Oh, he is going to play -– he is going to play a lot,” Gilbride said. “He will play first and second downs. He will be an outside receiver for us. Whether he is at the ‘X’ or the ‘Z,’ he is going to play. He is looking like he deserves to be out there a significant time.” Convinced?
• Robert Woods – Buffalo Bills: (ADP 10-12 team 16.01) The Bills 41st overall pick in the 2012 draft sits number three on the Bills depth chart as a rookie. The USC product isn’t the biggest or fastest wide receiver ever drafted, but he has great hands, is a polished route runner, and at only 6’1 has great leaping ability. He will see plenty of playing time and if he can adjust to the physical play and speed that NFL defensive backs possess, he will help the Bills and your fantasy team this year, not next.
• Donnie Avery – Kansas City Chiefs: (Undrafted) The Chiefs finally have a legitimate wide receiver opposite Dwayne Bowe. Avery is a speedster who can get deep in a hurry and if he’s able to enter camp fully recovered from a high ankle sprain he has a good chance to emerge as a starter. With 60 receptions for 781 yards and three touchdowns last season and going undrafted in most every draft on earth, he is the quintessential late round lottery value. Don’t sleep on this one folks.
Bottom Line: There are two prerequisites these players need for success, talent and opportunity. The talent is there, and opportunity is smiling at them. Hopefully, for us, they’ll smile back.
Remember; “If you dare nothing, then when the day is over, nothing is all you have gained.” Stay calm, be flexible, stick to your draft plan, and don’t be afraid to take chances!
P.S. Our FakePigskin 2013 Draft Guide will be released on August 1st in PDF form for FREE! Simply go to our home page and sign up to receive it and our newsletter in the upper right corner right under our banner.
NFL Latest News
Maclin Returns to the Eagles
WR Jeremy Maclin, coming off an ACL tear that caused him to miss all of 2013, has signed a prove-it deal with the Philadelphia Eagles for one year at $5.5 million. While this is great for the Philly offense as a whole, it doesn’t bode well for Maclin’s fantasy value in 2014. He will join a crowded receiving corp featuring DeSean Jackson and Riley Cooper. Cooper will likely be the WR2, and the offense will still be centered around LeSean McCoy. Maclin will have some great games next year, but will likely struggle to provide consistent production.
Dennis Pitta Resigns With the Baltimore Ravens
TE Dennis Pitta signed a 5-year, $32 million dollar deal, putting an end to what could have been a long negotation. The absence of Pitta due to injury was one of the main reasons why the Ravens’ offense sputtered last year. Entering 2014 he’s got a ton of upside, as he’ll be QB Joe Flacco’s safety blanket. While he has the size of a TE, he plays the majority of his snaps in the slot. This creates matchup problems for smaller DBs who try to cover him. Look for Pitta to be one of the trendier sleeper TEs this offseason.
Break Out Candidate: Tyler Eifert
Tyler Eifert will become a dynamic weapon from the tight end position in his second season in Cincinnati. He has the athletic ability and size to dominate as a pass catcher. The Bengals could utilize him in the slot even with Jermaine Gresham lined up in the typical tight end position. The Bengals need an option to go opposite AJ Green and Eifert will be that guy. Eifert’s improved blocking ability should help be on the field for more snaps and have the chance to make more plays.
Value plays are a must in DFS. Here’s a few guys with low values on the up swing with values all under $5,400 on Draft Kings: Brian Roberts – $5,400 It can still be a Holiday with no Jrue! Over last 7 games 15PPG, 5APG, 2RPG, 1.5 SPG, & 2TPPG. Kent Bazemore – $3,200 2 games with new team. 16PPG, 2.5APG, 1.5RPG, 2SPG, & 1.5TPPG. In Mike D’s system expect numbers to climb. Kyle Singler – $4,100 Over last 7 games 12PPG, 4RPG, 1.5APG, 2SPG, while playing around 37 minutes a game. Thomas Robinson – $3,000 No Lamarcus means it’s Thomas time. February 23rd stat line. …
The State Of The Sixers
Don’t be scared by the big dump in Philadelphia, still tons of value which equal fantasy gold. Thaddeus ” The Beast” Young – $7,800 DK- Young has been a beast, averaging 60 fantasy points over last 2 games. Enough said! Tony Wroten – $4,700 DK- Tony very productive when he gets minutes. Over last 2 games he is averaging 20PPG, 3RPG, 3.5APG, & 1SPG. James Anderson – $4,100 DK- Over last 2 James averaging 11PPG, 2RPG, 3APG, & 1.5SPG. More minutes better numbers. Byron Mullens – $3,000 DK- Been riding pine in LA, conditioning inproves expect big things. In only 14 minutes on Feb …
As the regular season draws closer, Cruz seemed ready to bring down his asking price. Cruz could be a great fit in the middle of Baltimore’s lineup. If he pans out it could be one of the best lineups in the AL. Cruz is looking at the majority of his at-bats as the DH. Cruz could get an occasional start in the OF, whenever Markakis or David Lough need a day off. Source: Enrique Rojas on Twitter
There was some speculation that the Rockies “checked in” on Santana, on Monday. This speculation was due to the Rockies shutting down Chacin. However according to Thomas Harding of MLB.com “The hope is Chacin’s right shoulder-biceps issue is not serious enough for the Rockies to need to make a signing. The official said the club reached out to Santana early in the free-agency process, but it backed away and does not have renewed interest for several reasons.” So for now, the Rockies seemed content with their current pitching staff. Source: Thomas Harding MLB.com
Eto’o was forced into action today after being set to start the match against Tottenham on the bench. After Fernando Torres left warm ups with an apparent groin injury, Eto’o was called upon for the start in his place and took full advantage. The two sides went scoreless until the 56th minute until Eto’o intercepted an errant pass from Spurs defender Jan Vertenghen to net the first goal of the match. The goal essentially opened up the scoring for the home side who took a 4-0 result to push their lead at the top of the table to seven points.
Fernando Torres, Chelsea – Forward
Torres left the pitch during warm ups before Chelsea’s match with Tottenham on Saturday. Samuel Eto’o came on to replace Torres in the starting XI. The injury is initially being reported as a groin injury, but stay tuned as we will have further news as the injury is assessed by the team. Source: NBCS
Steven Caulker, Cardiff City – Defender
Caulker all but locked up the EPL fantasy player of Matchweek 29 with a two goal performance at home against Fulham. Caulker found himself unmarked for a tap in off a deflection in the 45th minute and then again free on a delivery from the corner by Jordon Mutch in the 67th minute to win a very important three points for his club. Cardiff City is not out of trouble just yet as they move up just one spot to 18th in the table.
The Ultimate Fighter: Brazil 3 will debut March 9 on UFC Fight Pass. The show, which features Wanderlei Silva (35-12-1 MMA, 5-7 UFC) and Chael Sonnen (28-14-1 MMA, 7-6 UFC) as opposing Head Coaches, recently wrapped up filming in Brazil. Sonnen and Silva will headline a UFC card on May 31 in a yet to be determined city in Brazil.
Bart Palaszewski, a former WEC and UFC fighter, has officially announced his retirement from MMA. One of only two fighters to beat current UFC Champion Anthony Pettis, Palaszewski (36-17) most recently fought at The Ultimate Fighter 17 Finale, where he was submitted by Cole Miller. Soon after that loss, he was released from his UFC contract. He hadn’t fought since.