If you’ve been doing your due diligence with draft preparation, most likely you’ve come across numerous deep sleeper articles recommending everyone from Antonio Brown to James Brown as late round sleepers to target in your draft.
The problem is a good portion of the players being endorsed have ADPs (average draft positions) above round 10 and are not what I would label as late round flyers.
I’m going to assume most of you play in 10 or 12 team leagues with 16 rounds, so let’s concentrate on what value there is deep in a 16 round draft. Deep means the 12th round or later in leagues this size.
• Ryan Broyles – Detroit Lions: (ADP 10 team 13.10-12 team 11.10) Broyles has had an uphill battle recovering from two ACL tears in as many years, and is now rehabilitating trying to be ready for training camp. Broyles showed what he is capable of in week 12 last season snagging six receptions for 129 yards against a pretty stout Houston defense. But with Nate Burleson going into training camp almost 100% recovered from a broken leg suffered last season, Broyles will have to be healthy and have a good showing to hold him off and secure the number 2 spot.
• Chris Givens – St. Louis Rams: (ADP 10 team 15.03-12 team 12.11) The Rams drafted Brian Quick in the second round of the 2012 draft hoping he would quickly adapt to the NFL game, but fourth round pick Chris Givens was able to see more playing time than Brian Quick and out produced him by a wide margin. He was targeted 80 times, which is considerable for a rookie, and managed almost 700 yards receiving and three touchdowns. He has good chemistry with Sam Bradford and if he takes a step forward in his second year his upside is considerable.
• Golden Tate – Seattle Seahawks: (ADP 10 team 15.06-12 team 13.02) The acquisition of Percy Harvin in the off-season had Tate scratching his head wondering what his role would be. But according to head coach Pete Carroll there will be enough at the trough for all. Having scored seven total touchdowns and finishing strong last season Tate appears ready to take the next step, “Golden is really ready to be a terrific football player,” Carroll said, “We love what he does, and we just have to get him the ball more and spread it around to him”. With Tate out wide and Harvin attracting lots of attention from the slot, look for Tate to eclipse his 2012 targets, receptions and touchdowns in 2013.
• Rueben Randle – New York Giants: (ADP 10 team 16.01-12 team 14.04) I could rattle off Randles 2012 stats to influence you, but with only 19 receptions and 250 snaps from scrimmage, his inexperience could sway you the opposite direction. Having said that, he is very talented, has good size (6’3-210 pounds) and has an impressive team leading 15.7 YPC (yards-per-catch average). Offensive coordinator Kevin Gilbride has been impressed with his performance at OTAs, “Oh, he is going to play -– he is going to play a lot,” Gilbride said. “He will play first and second downs. He will be an outside receiver for us. Whether he is at the ‘X’ or the ‘Z,’ he is going to play. He is looking like he deserves to be out there a significant time.” Convinced?
• Robert Woods – Buffalo Bills: (ADP 10-12 team 16.01) The Bills 41st overall pick in the 2012 draft sits number three on the Bills depth chart as a rookie. The USC product isn’t the biggest or fastest wide receiver ever drafted, but he has great hands, is a polished route runner, and at only 6’1 has great leaping ability. He will see plenty of playing time and if he can adjust to the physical play and speed that NFL defensive backs possess, he will help the Bills and your fantasy team this year, not next.
• Donnie Avery – Kansas City Chiefs: (Undrafted) The Chiefs finally have a legitimate wide receiver opposite Dwayne Bowe. Avery is a speedster who can get deep in a hurry and if he’s able to enter camp fully recovered from a high ankle sprain he has a good chance to emerge as a starter. With 60 receptions for 781 yards and three touchdowns last season and going undrafted in most every draft on earth, he is the quintessential late round lottery value. Don’t sleep on this one folks.
Bottom Line: There are two prerequisites these players need for success, talent and opportunity. The talent is there, and opportunity is smiling at them. Hopefully, for us, they’ll smile back.
Remember; “If you dare nothing, then when the day is over, nothing is all you have gained.” Stay calm, be flexible, stick to your draft plan, and don’t be afraid to take chances!
P.S. Our FakePigskin 2013 Draft Guide will be released on August 1st in PDF form for FREE! Simply go to our home page and sign up to receive it and our newsletter in the upper right corner right under our banner.
NFL Latest News
Brian Hoyer named starter over Johnny Manziel
The Cleveland Browns have named Brain Hoyer their starting quarterback for week one. This may or may not be a shock to everyone. Johnny Manziel will likely start at some point this season. When that it happens depends on how well Hoyer and the Browns do to begin the season. Hoyer helped Josh Gordon and Jordan Cameron be fantasy stars last season. Manziel taking over shouldn’t hurt the pass catchers in this offense.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Charles Sims will undergo Surgery
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers Charles Sims will undergo surgery on the ankle he injured in practice. Sims is expected to be out for 12-14 weeks. This should be good news for Doug Martin owners, as Sims seemed the likely contender to carries in Tampa Bay. Bobby Rainey, Mike James and Jeff Demps are all vying for carries as well. Sims could be a worth add from the waiver wire depending on how the early part of the season goes.
Dwayne Bowe will be suspended for one game
The Kansas City Chiefs Dwayne Bowe has been suspended for the first game of the season. This will drop him slightly in my rankings. Owners who worry about receiver taken early in their draft may want to target Bowe, who will provide stability. He is currently coming off the board as a 10th round pick and receiver forty-two per myfantasyleague.com. His ADP will likely drop with the news, giving even more value to Bowe.
Value plays are a must in DFS. Here’s a few guys with low values on the up swing with values all under $5,400 on Draft Kings: Brian Roberts – $5,400 It can still be a Holiday with no Jrue! Over last 7 games 15PPG, 5APG, 2RPG, 1.5 SPG, & 2TPPG. Kent Bazemore – $3,200 2 games with new team. 16PPG, 2.5APG, 1.5RPG, 2SPG, & 1.5TPPG. In Mike D’s system expect numbers to climb. Kyle Singler – $4,100 Over last 7 games 12PPG, 4RPG, 1.5APG, 2SPG, while playing around 37 minutes a game. Thomas Robinson – $3,000 No Lamarcus means it’s Thomas time. February 23rd stat line. …
The State Of The Sixers
Don’t be scared by the big dump in Philadelphia, still tons of value which equal fantasy gold. Thaddeus ” The Beast” Young – $7,800 DK- Young has been a beast, averaging 60 fantasy points over last 2 games. Enough said! Tony Wroten – $4,700 DK- Tony very productive when he gets minutes. Over last 2 games he is averaging 20PPG, 3RPG, 3.5APG, & 1SPG. James Anderson – $4,100 DK- Over last 2 James averaging 11PPG, 2RPG, 3APG, & 1.5SPG. More minutes better numbers. Byron Mullens – $3,000 DK- Been riding pine in LA, conditioning inproves expect big things. In only 14 minutes on Feb …
Ozuna went 2-4 with two RBI, and a home run. His second game in a row with a HR. Ozuna had been struggling, but it may be possible the struggles are over. He is still producing some good HR numbers, if he can cut down on the strikeouts things could turn around for him.
Sale came off the DL in a big way Thursday night, throwing six shutout innings with ten strikeouts. Sale had a no- hitter going into the sixth, but with two outs Zolio Almonte singled to center to break it up. According to Sale and manager Robin Ventura, they had discussed before the game that even if Sale had been throwing perfect game he was not pitching more than six innings.
Keuchel dominated again Monday night against the Angels. Throwing almost his second complete game in consecutive outings. Keuchel threw 8.2 innings, allowing 5 hits, 2 earned runs, and he stroke out 8. Keuchel has been very tough, not allowing no more than 4 runs in his nin starts. He will look to continue his dominance on Saturday against Seattle.
The Rangers have strengthened their attack with the signing of Vargas on a season long loan from Napoli. The highly rated Chilean striker will bolster a shallow position within the club, where manager Harry Redknapp previously only had three strikers to select from. Vargas had spent the second half of last season on-loan at Valencia where he picked up five goals in 25 appearances. He has 15 goals in 32 matches in his time with Chile, most notably scoring the match-winner against Spain in the group stages in the 2014 World Cup. Source: dailymail.co.uk
Mario Balotelli, Liverpool – FWD
Liverpool are amidst yet another summer signing to bolster their squad as they have agreed to terms on a £16m deal for striker Balotelli from AC Milan in a blockbuster move that will replace the departed, top scoring Luis Suárez. Since joining the Serie A club from Manchester City on a £19m transfer fee a year ago, Balotelli racked up 30 goals in 54 matches. The deal is still in the negotiating phase, but Balotelli has reportedly said his goodbyes and is set for the move. Liverpool will face his former PL club on Monday night at Etihad Stadium. Source: bbc.com
Robin van Persie, Manchester United – FWD
The United squad is set for a boost with van Persie’s return ahead of this weekend’s match against Sunderland. The striker’s imminent return comes with good timing as squad mates Marouane Fellaini and Jesse Lingard have come down with injuries of their own and are set to miss time. van Persie has yet to feature in the starting XI due to his involvement in Holland’s third place finish in the 2014 World Cup, but appears to be back to match fitness. Barring any set-back in training ahead of the Sunderland match, he is expected to feature. Source: theguardian.com
Tim Kennedy executed his gameplan to perfection and virtually dominated Michael Bisping in the Main Event of The Ultimate Fighter Nations: Bisping Vs Kennedy. The former U.S. Army sniper, ranked #8 at middleweight, can now look to move into possible title contention with his win over #5 ranked Bisping. Kennedy improves his overall record to 18-4, 3-0 in the UFC.
Patrick Cote Grinds Out a Win
Patrick Cote defeated Kyle Noke via Unanimous Decision in the Co-Main Event of The Ultimate Fighter Nations: Bisping Vs Kennedy. Cote served as head coach of the Canadian team on The Ultimate Fighter Nations: Canada Vs Australia. He runs his record to 20-8 overall and 7-8 in the UFC.
Elias Theodorou Wins The Ultimate Fighter Nations Middleweight Final
Elias Theodorou defeated Sheldon Westcott via TKO to win The Ultimate Fighter Nations: Canada Vs Australia middleweight final and secure himself a contract in the UFC. The win puts his overall record at 9-0 and 1-0 in the UFC