Elite QB, Late Round Grab: Joe Flacco a Fantasy Steal

We know the names. Aaron Rodgers, Drew Brees, Tom Brady, Peyton Manning, Matthew Stafford, Cam Newton, blah, blah, blah. 
 
Yes, they are all great QBs, but they’ll cost you an early draft selection.
 
My M.O. every draft is to wait on a QB and build up your RB/WR depth.
 
With that said, if you wait for a QB, who’s one QB who could end up being sneaky good in 2013? Maybe like, oh I don’t know, top-10, top-12 caliber?
 
I’ll tell you who: Baltimore Ravens quarterback, Joe Flacco.
 
Now, as a Ravens fan, personally, I might be a bit biased here, but in all seriousness, he could end up a stud.
 
After Week 14, the Ravens fired (at the time) Offensive Coordinator, Cam Cameron. They replaced him with former Colts Head Coach, Jim Caldwell. Caldwell had a pretty decent track record as a Head Coach, and not to mention, he did coach this pretty good quarterback named Peyton Manning.
 
Under Caldwell during the regular season, Flacco only played one game. It was Week 15 versus the Denver Broncos. The Ravens eventually lost, but in fantasy all you care about are the numbers (unless you’re a Ravens fan, too!). In that game, Flacco threw for 309 yards with 2 TDs and 0 INTs.
 
A very small sample size, but Flacco was also under Caldwell during the playoffs.
 
If I remember correctly, Flacco was pretty good during the playoffs.
 
During the post-season, he averaged 285 passing yards, 2.75 TDs and 0 INT’s per game.
 
So, if you take the 5 games he served under Caldwell’s new offense he would then average 289.8 passing yards and 2.6 TDs. If you extrapolate that over a full season, he would have finished with 4637 passing yards and 42 TDs and an unrealistic 0 INTs.
 
Granted during the playoffs and all that there were extra motivators like Ray Lewis retiring and his contract, but Flacco is a good quarterback.
 
I think under Jim Caldwell he’s going to thrive. Maybe not 4637 yards and 42 TDs, but very solid, top-10, top-12 caliber numbers.
 
Projections: 4213 yards, 30 TDs, 11 INTs, 2 rushing TDs.
 
PS: Yup, I said it. 30 TDs for Joe Flacco.

One Comment

  1. Jeremy

    June 14, 2013 at 6:01 pm

    You’re right. Flacco’s going to have a huge year. Look at what switching out offensive coordinators did for Matt Ryan last year. Mike Mularkey was awful. So they bring in Dirk Koetter and Ryan explodes.

    I wouldn’t expect as big a leap for Flacco as Ryan had because Flacco really doesn’t have the offense around him that Ryan does (Jones, White, and Gonzalez). But he’s going to be much better than people are expecting out of him, both fantasy-wise and real life football-wise.

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